2023 NFL Predictions: NFC South

Before the start of the season, we will post NFL division-by-division predictions for the 2023 NFL regular season and postseason.

Instead of projecting an outright winner and loser in all 272 regular-season games, we've assigned a win probability to each team in every game and totaled them up.

The four NFC South teams are projected to win the sixth-most games combined in our 2023 full-season projections.

See where the Buccaneers stand in our 2023 NFC South Predictions


2023 Fantasy Football Projections: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Baker Mayfield544.1338.73808.723.415.2347.9167.71.92243.78
Kyle Trask47.328.6326.41.841.668.720.90.2620.75

Baker Mayfield: After Tom Brady's (second) retirement, the Bucs find themselves in the unenviable position of having to start Mayfield, who beat out Kyle Trask but is on his fourth team in the past 18 months. The former No. 1 overall draft pick completed only 60% of his pass attempts in 2022 for 2,163 yards (6.5 Y/A), 10 touchdowns and eight interceptions over 12 games. While he's clearly undraftable in standard (one-QB) leagues, he downgrades the outlook for all of the team's pass catchers.

MORE: Continue reading our 2023 Fantasy Football Projections: Tampa Bay Buccaneers


Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2023 NFL Schedule

Below you will find the weekly NFL regular-season schedule for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2023.

MORE: 2023 NFL Strength of Schedule

WeekDateOpponentTime (ET) / Tickets
Week 1Sun., Sep. 10at Minnesota VikingsW 20-17
Week 2Sun., Sep. 17vs. Chicago BearsW 27-17
Week 3Mon., Sep. 25vs. Philadelphia Eagles7:15 PM / Tickets
Week 4Sun., Oct. 1at New Orleans Saints1:00 PM / Tickets
Week 5BYE
Week 6Sun., Oct. 15vs. Detroit Lions1:00 PM / Tickets
Week 7Sun., Oct. 22vs. Atlanta Falcons1:00 PM / Tickets
Week 8Thu., Oct. 26at Buffalo Bills8:15 PM / Tickets
Week 9Sun., Nov. 5at Houston Texans1:00 PM / Tickets
Week 10Sun., Nov. 12vs. Tennessee Titans1:00 PM / Tickets
Week 11Sun., Nov. 19at San Francisco 49ers4:05 PM / Tickets
Week 12Sun., Nov. 26at Indianapolis Colts1:00 PM / Tickets
Week 13Sun., Dec. 3vs. Carolina Panthers1:00 PM / Tickets
Week 14Sun., Dec. 10at Atlanta Falcons1:00 PM / Tickets
Week 15Sun., Dec. 17at Green Bay Packers1:00 PM / Tickets
Week 16Sun., Dec. 24vs. Jacksonville Jaguars4:05 PM / Tickets
Week 17Sun., Dec. 31vs. New Orleans Saints1:00 PM / Tickets
Week 18Sun., Jan. 7at Carolina PanthersTBD / Tickets

MORE: Tampa Bay Buccaneers historical W-L records - Tampa Bay Buccaneers historical head-to-head records

Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule (SOS)

How easy or difficult is the fantasy football schedule for Tampa Bay Buccaneers players?

Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule by position:


Tampa Bay Buccaneers Mock Draft Roundup 1.0

Throughout the year and leading up to the 2024 NFL Draft, we will update our Tampa Bay Buccaneers Mock Draft Roundup showing picks for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers from several prominent sites and draft analysts.

The following are picks in recent mock drafts for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers:

EDSFootball - Kevin Hanson (5/9)

3. Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina

Maye is the leading challenger to Williams for the QB1 honor in 2024, and he is coming off a breakout true sophomore season (4,321 passing yards, 38 touchdowns and seven interceptions with 698 rushing yards and seven touchdowns). Baker Mayfield is on a one-year deal, and former second-round pick Kyle Trask has nine career pass attempts. If the Bucs are picking third overall in 2024, this pick will almost certainly be a quarterback.

CBS Sports - Josh Edwards (5/8)

6. JC Latham, OT, Alabama

Tampa Bay adds another massive offensive tackle to play with Tristan Wirfs.

ESPN - Todd McShay (5/4)

TRADE - 1. Caleb Williams, QB, USC

The Bucs are going into the 2023 season with Baker Mayfield and Kyle Trask under center, but I don't think either is the long-term plan -- especially since Mayfield is on a cheap, one-year deal. Mayfield was last in QBR in 2022 (24.6), and Trask, a second-rounder in 2021, has thrown nine passes in the NFL. Williams is coming off a Heisman season, throwing for 4,537 yards in 2022. He has a good arm and excels at creating when things break down. He's an exceptional QB prospect and would be worth the move up from No. 5 to get him.

The Athletic - Dane Brugler (5/2)

4. Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina

With 45 total touchdowns last season, Maye not only put himself on the NFL radar, but he also jumped near the top of the list. With his size, arm and athleticism, he has skills comparable to those of Justin Herbert.

MORE: Continue reading our 2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Mock Draft Roundup


Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 2023 Draft Results

The table below are all of the 2023 NFL Draft picks selected by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

RoundOverallPlayerPositionSchool
119Calijah KanceyDTPittsburgh
248Cody MauchOTNorth Dakota State
382YaYa DiabyEDGELouisville
5153SirVocea DennisLBPittsburgh
5171Payne DurhamTEPurdue
6181Josh HayesDBKansas State
6191Trey PalmerWRNebraska
6196Jose RamirezEDGEEastern Michigan

More: 2023 NFL Draft Results - Tampa Bay Buccaneers Draft History

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2023 NFL Power Rankings: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Throughout the 2023 NFL season, we will compile a consensus NFL Power Rankings that averages the rankings of all 32 NFL teams.

Below you will find a Week 3 roundup for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in our consensus 2023 NFL Power Rankings.

ESPN -- Rank: 13

Player: WR Mike Evans
Current contract situation: Under contract through the 2023 season

Evans, the franchise-record holder in almost every receiving category, is currently in the final year of his contract. Evans and his agent gave the Buccaneers a Sept. 9 deadline on getting an extension done before the season, but no deal with reached, nor was one even offered in the final hours. There's a real chance Evans plays somewhere else next season. At 30, he's still producing at a high level, as evidenced by his 171 receiving yards and a touchdown in Week 2. -- Jenna Laine

NFL.com -- Rank: 21

Mike Evans is still dusting defensive backs. Shaquil Barrett remains a backfield wrecker. Baker Mayfield is out there slinging tough passes and barreling for first downs as a runner. Who are these guys? Well, the 2-0 Bucs are in some ways who they've been, even as the Tom Brady-led teams naturally kept their identity under his umbrella. But the way Mayfield is playing -- fearlessly and decisively -- makes me think this team should compete in the wide-open NFC South. Mayfield has always had the ability to make game-changing plays, but his negative ones seemed to sting a bit more in the past. Through two games, however, he's taken one sack (spinning out of several) and thrown zero interceptions. That's a winning formula.

Continue reading Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Power Rankings Roundup

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