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Our FREE NFL picks versus the spread are purely for entertainment purposes only. But, let's face it, being right (winning) is more fun than being wrong (losing).
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DAILY WEEK 17 LINES FROM SPORTSBOOK.COM
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SUMMARY OF PICKS BY CONTRIBUTORS
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Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17
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Picks are for entertainment purposes only.
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Picks and spreads are as of Saturday, December 31st at 12:53 p.m. ET
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Lines used are always as of the time the pick was made.
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Date/Time (ET)
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Favorite
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Spread
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Underdog
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Kevin
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Dan
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Sean
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Sun, Jan 1 at 1:00 p.m.
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EAGLES
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8.5
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Redskins
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Sun, Jan 1 at 1:00 p.m.
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49ers
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10.5
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RAMS
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SF -10.5
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Sun, Jan 1 at 1:00 p.m.
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VIKINGS
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1.5
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Bears
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Sun, Jan 1 at 1:00 p.m.
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Lions
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3.0
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PACKERS
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Sun, Jan 1 at 1:00 p.m.
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SAINTS
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8.0
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Panthers
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CAR +8
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Sun, Jan 1 at 1:00 p.m.
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Titans
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2.0
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TEXANS
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TEN -2
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Sun, Jan 1 at 1:00 p.m.
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JAGUARS
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3.5
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Colts
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Sun, Jan 1 at 1:00 p.m.
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DOLPHINS
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3.0
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Jets
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NYJ +3
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Sun, Jan 1 at 1:00 p.m.
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PATRIOTS
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10.0
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Bills
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Sun, Jan 1 at 4:15 p.m.
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FALCONS
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11.5
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Buccaneers
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Sun, Jan 1 at 4:15 p.m.
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Ravens
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2.0
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BENGALS
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BAL -2
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BAL -2
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Sun, Jan 1 at 4:15 p.m.
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Steelers
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6.5
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BROWNS
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Sun, Jan 1 at 4:15 p.m.
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RAIDERS
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3.0
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Chargers
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Sun, Jan 1 at 4:15 p.m.
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BRONCOS
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3.0
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Chiefs
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DEN -3
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Sun, Jan 1 at 4:15 p.m.
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CARDINALS
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3.0
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Seahawks
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Sun, Jan 1 at 8:30 p.m.
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GIANTS
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3.0
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Cowboys
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NYG -3
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DAL +3
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CONTRIBUTOR
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GAME 1
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GAME 2
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GAME 3
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Kevin 2011 Record: 33-14-4 (70.2%)
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Ravens (-2) at Bengals
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Chiefs at Broncos (-3)
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Jets at Dolphins (-3)
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Ravens -2
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Broncos -3
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Jets +3
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This is a critical game for both teams. If the Bengals win, they're in the playoffs, which would be a remarkable feat considering the situation with quarterback Carson Palmer and ultimately starting a rookie quarterback with virtually no offseason. For the Ravens, however, it could be even more important. As the only AFC North team to make the postseason in each of the three previous seasons, the Ravens have had to play all of their playoff games on the road during that span as a wildcard team. A win in Week 17, however, will clinch the division (and a first-round bye). And in the unlikely scenario that the Patriots also lose to the Bills, the Ravens would secure home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Ironically, the Ravens need to win on the road to secure a home playoff game for the first time since the 2006 season. Over the past three seasons, the Ravens are 21-3 (8-0 in 2011) at home and 11-12 (3-4 in 2011) on the road. There is plenty of reason for them to do whatever it takes to win this game and the division. In their past six games, Ray Rice has 20-plus carries in all five of those games (all wins). In the loss (to San Diego), Rice had 19 touches (10 carries plus a season-high nine receptions). I think Cam Cameron will make sure Rice gets a heavy workload; if not, Terrell Suggs will surely let him know.
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Boy, I was certainly wrong last week when I took the Broncos over the Bills. And Kyle Orton would love nothing more than to return to Denver to stick it to his former team and their Tebow-billboard-buying fans. While Tim Tebow is not the league's most accurate passer by any stretch of the imagination, his career-worst four-interception performance was an anomaly. And their defense is not as bad as they have looked as they have allowed 40-plus points in back-to-back games. Granted, Orton is playing better (599 yards in past two games) than Tyler Palko, but the Chiefs offense lacks firepower, especially since losing Jamaal Charles for the season in Week 2. For eight consecutive games, the Chiefs have scored less than 20 points and only the Rams rank lower in scoring offense than the Chiefs. The Broncos control their own destiny as a win clinches the AFC West and the atmosphere at Mile High will be electric. Take the Broncos and give the points.
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Although the Jets do not control their own destiny in the AFC for the No. 6 seed, they absolutely need to win this game to remain alive. After that point, they need a ton of help. Having made it to the final two AFC Championship games (see past results), the Jets have some recent history in performing well on the road in important games. Dolphins running back Reggie Bush has been as good as it gets over the past four weeks. During that span, he has four straight 100-yard games including his 203-yard performance and no running back has more rushing yards than Bush during that span, but Bush has been ruled out for this week's game. In addition, the Dolphins are without left tackle Jake Long, who was placed on injured reserve, and the Jets have the Jordan-esque Darrelle Revis to limit the playmaking ability of Brandon Marshall. While the Jets may not win this game (and ultimately it may not matter considering the tie-breakers needed), I expect the Jets to at least keep the game close, especially if Mark Sanchez does not throw it 59 times this week.
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Dan 2011 Record: 24-21-6 (53.3%)
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Panthers at Saints (-8)
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49ers (-10.5) at Rams
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Cowboys at Giants (-3)
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Panthers +8
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49ers -10.5
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Giants -3
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First off Happy New Year to all, and congratulations to Kevin and Sean on another great season of picks. This game is only mildly important, as there is not much the Saints can do to improve their seeding. The Panthers have one more game left for pride, and will look to build momentum for next year. The Panthers have enjoyed success against the Saints in recent history, as they have gone 6-1 against the spread heads up. I also love the matchup of the Panthers running game going up against a defense that allows 4.8 yards per carry, as they have the ability to keep Drew Brees off the field. I think the Saints will win this game, but the Panthers have the ability to keep it close, and New Orleans will have the starters resting in the 2nd half.
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I always gravitate back to the 49ers for some reason, as they have been the best team in the NFL against the spread this year at 12-2-1. The Rams had a regression year after challenging for the division last year, they slid backwards and are in the running for the #1 draft pick overall. The Rams have been the worst team against the spread this year, as they have posted a 2-12-1 record against the number. I love the 49ers rushing offense going up against the worst rushing defense in the league that gives up 154 yards per game. With both St. Louis QBs Bradford and Feeley doubtful, I don't trust Steven Jackson going up against the best rushing defense in the league. The 49ers will sew up the number 2 seed here, and will cover easily.
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Finally we conclude with the game that has the most at stake, as the winner goes to the playoffs and loser goes home. The Cowboys will have to hope that Tony Romo's banged up hand will heal in time, as after he left the Eagles game last week they had no spark whatsoever. The Giants seem to always make it interesting in the last week, and have had the Cowboys number going 6-2 against the spread heads up in the last 8 games. I love Eli Manning going up against a Dallas pass defense that allows 238 yards per game, and how the Giants have been battle tested playing four of the top teams in the league this year. When it comes down to it, I like Tom Coughlin coaching over Jason Garrett, Eli Manning over Tony Romo to win the big one, and the Giants pass rush over the Dallas offensive line. Giants to the playoffs, as they always seem to qualify in week 17.
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Sean 2011 Record: 27-21-3 (56.3%)
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Titans (-2) at Texans
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Ravens (-2) at Bengals
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Cowboys at Giants (-3)
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Titans -2
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Ravens -2
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Cowboys +3
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The Titans need to win and get some help to get in. Houston has nothing to play for whatsoever other than to end Tennessee's playoff chances on Sunday. If you think of it, what team out of the teams fighting for a playoff spot would you MOST want to play? Probably the Titans, as they are probably the worst of the bunch on paper. If the Titans sneak into the playoffs, you are looking at the same exact game, same exact location for the playoffs the following week as the No. 3 seed vs. the No. 6 seed. Houston is going to have a dumbed-down gameplan this week, so they don't show Tennessee too many things for the following week, if it turns out that way. I think the Titans handle their business here. 23-17
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The Ravens have a lot to play for this week, if they want that No. 2 seed, and the Bengals are fighting for that last playoff berth. The Ravens have looked pretty average the past few weeks, but I think they get their act together this week and win a game against a very hungry Bengals team. A first-round bye and home-field advantage is crucial for the Ravens especially this year since they have sucked on the road (losing to Jacksonville, Tennessee and Seattle) all teams they should have beaten. Ravens win this one on the road though, and I believe will be a tough out in the playoffs in the AFC. Ravens 26-23
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Dallas should have beat the Giants in their first meeting and blew it. Both teams have issues on defense, but Eli Manning has been struggling as of late while Tony Romo has been on a roll. I think the Cowboys have too many weapons on offense, and I see them coming up big and winning the division on the final day on the road.
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