|
Our FREE NFL picks versus the spread are purely for entertainment purposes only. But, let's face it, being right (winning) is more fun than being wrong (losing).
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
DAILY WEEK 15 LINES FROM SPORTSBOOK.COM
|
|
|
SUMMARY OF PICKS BY CONTRIBUTORS
|
|
Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17
|
|
Picks are for entertainment purposes only.
|
Picks and spreads are as of Saturday, December 17th at 11:57 a.m. ET
|
|
Lines used are always as of the time the pick was made.
|
Date/Time (ET)
|
Favorite
|
Spread
|
Underdog
|
|
|
Kevin
|
Dan
|
Sean
|
Thu, Dec 15 at 8:20 p.m.
|
Atlanta Falcons 41, Jacksonville Jaguars 14
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sat, Dec 17 at 8:20 p.m.
|
Cowboys
|
7.0
|
BUCCANEERS
|
|
|
|
DAL -7
|
TB +7
|
Sun, Dec 18 at 1:00 p.m.
|
GIANTS
|
7.0
|
Redskins
|
|
|
|
NYG -7
|
|
Sun, Dec 18 at 1:00 p.m.
|
Packers
|
14.0
|
CHIEFS
|
|
|
|
|
GB -14
|
Sun, Dec 18 at 1:00 p.m.
|
Saints
|
7.0
|
VIKINGS
|
|
|
NO -7
|
|
|
Sun, Dec 18 at 1:00 p.m.
|
BEARS
|
3.5
|
Seahawks
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sun, Dec 18 at 1:00 p.m.
|
TEXANS
|
6.0
|
Panthers
|
|
|
HOU -6
|
|
|
Sun, Dec 18 at 1:00 p.m.
|
Titans
|
6.5
|
COLTS
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sun, Dec 18 at 1:00 p.m.
|
Bengals
|
7.0
|
RAMS
|
|
|
CIN -7
|
CIN -7
|
|
Sun, Dec 18 at 1:00 p.m.
|
Dolphins
|
NL
|
BILLS
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sun, Dec 18 at 4:05 p.m.
|
Lions
|
1.0
|
RAIDERS
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sun, Dec 18 at 4:15 p.m.
|
Patriots
|
7.5
|
BRONCOS
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sun, Dec 18 at 4:15 p.m.
|
EAGLES
|
3.0
|
Jets
|
|
|
|
|
PHI -3
|
Sun, Dec 18 at 4:15 p.m.
|
CARDINALS
|
6.5
|
Browns
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sun, Dec 18 at 8:25 p.m.
|
Ravens
|
2.5
|
CHARGERS
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mon, Dec 19 at 8:30 p.m.
|
49ERS
|
NL
|
Steelers
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
CONTRIBUTOR
|
|
GAME 1
|
|
GAME 2
|
|
GAME 3
|
Kevin 2011 Record: 33-14-4 (70.2%)
|
|
Saints (-7) at Vikings
|
|
Panthers at Texans (-6)
|
|
Bengals (-7) at Rams
|
| |
Saints -7
|
|
Texans -6
|
|
Bengals -7
|
| |
With Vikings running back Adrian Peterson listed as probable on the team's injury report, he's expected to return after missing the past three games with a high-ankle sprain. Peterson is one of the league's best running backs and teammate Percy Harvin has been playing as well as any receiver in the league recently. While the Vikings' offense should be fine, can they stop or at least slow down the Saints' high-powered offense? It's highly unlikely. Saints quarterback Drew Brees leads the NFL in passing yards (4,368) and is on a record-setting pace. In fact, Brees needs to average less passing yards than his worst performance of the season for the final three games to break Dan Marino's single-season record. Through 13 games, Brees has thrown for 300-plus yards 10 times. No team has allowed more passing touchdowns (26) than Minnesota, who is tied with the winless Colts for a league-worst six interceptions. With the 49ers having an edge based on the tie-breakers for the No. 2 seed (and first-round bye), the Saints will be fully motivated to take the lead (at least for a day until the 49ers host the Steelers on Monday Night Football) as Brees puts on an offensive clinic.
|
|
While both teams are starting rookie quarterbacks, their paths to get the starting nod are much different. Panthers quarterback Cam Newton was the first pick in this year's draft, has started from Day 1 and should be the league's NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year (see past winners). Texans quarterback T.J. Yates, the team's fifth-round pick out of North Carolina, is starting out of necessity as Matt Schaub and Matt Leinart both suffered season- ending injuries. That said, Yates threw his first-ever 300-yard game as the Texans clinched the AFC South and their first-ever playoff berth last week. While I don't expect a repeat performance from Yates, the Texans should be able to run the ball extremely well against a bad Panthers run defense. In fact, it wouldn't surprise me if the duo of Arian Foster and Ben Tate both rushed for 100-plus yards in this game like they did against the Browns in Week 9. Foster has eight 100-yard games (five rushing and three receiving) and Tate has four 100-yard games. As well as Newton has played, the Texans have the league's top-ranked defense (274.9 yards allowed per game) and they are top four in both rushing and passing defense. Against a team like Carolina that has one elite receiver, Jonathan Joseph should be able to contain Steve Smith and force the other (much less talented) Panthers receivers to step up.
|
|
Rams quarterback Sam Bradford is listed as doubtful for this week's game, which means the Rams will likely go with Kellen Clemens, who has 33 pass attempts from 2008 to 2011. That said, the Rams offense has not been particularly explosive regardless of who has been under center. No team has scored fewer points than the Rams (11.8 yards per game). Against the league's seventh-ranked defense (314.8 YPG allowed), that trend is unlikely to change. On the other hand, the Rams run defense has been particularly bad this season. No team has allowed more rushing yards (156.8 per game) than the Rams and the Rams are one of three teams to allow an average of at least five yards per carry this season. The Bengals have struggled recently in large part due to the level of their competition. In their past five games, they are 1-4, but those four losses have all come against 10-win teams (Pittsburgh twice, Baltimore and Houston). Look for the Bengals to bounce back big against the woeful Rams.
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
Dan 2011 Record: 24-21-6 (53.3%)
|
|
Cowboys (-7) at Bucs
|
|
Bengals (-7) at Rams
|
|
Redskins at Giants (-7)
|
| |
Cowboys -7
|
|
Bengals -7
|
|
Giants -7
|
| |
I love the exposure the NFL has now that the college season is all but over except for the bowls, and we now have games 3 nights a week. The Cowboys found another way to lose a game last week, and now they travel to Tampa in an attempt to right the ship. The Buccaneers have been really bad as of late, as they have gone 1-6 in their last 7 games against the spread. The Cowboys have also taken the historical edge against Tampa, as they have posted a 3-1 mark in their last 4 games against Tampa and the number. I love Tony Romo's matchup this week, getting to use Miles Austin, Jason Witten, Laurent Robinson, and Dez Bryant against a secondary that gives up 250 yards per game and 22 TDs on the year. I would look for the Cowboys to start early and fast, as they need to keep pace in the NFC playoff chase.
|
|
This game really stood out to me once I first saw the line, and after going more in-depth, I love this contest. The Bengals will really need this game to keep pace in the wildcard standings, as they will be battling the Jets for the final spot. The Rams have certainly regressed this year, and I guess the only positive thing to say is that they should have a decent draft position at the end of the year. The Rams have been really bad against the spread this year, as they have posted a 2-11 mark, while the Bengals have gone 7-5-1. The Rams have just been inept on offense this year, as they have only averaged 11.8 points per game. I love Cedric Benson going up against the worst rushing defense in the league, and an underrated 6th ranked overall defense limiting the Rams to a few field goals on Sunday.
|
|
The Giants have finally finished their meat grinder of a schedule portion, and will look to come back home and play the frisky Redskins. The Giants have recently held the edge when going up against Washington, as they have gone 4-2-1 in their last 7 games. The Giants have just played 6 brutal games, in which 4 will be certain playoff teams and the other two were divisional rivals. I really like the ground game of the Giants to carry the day against a Redskins team that allows 116 yards per game. I also love the vaunted Giants pass rush going up against that patchwork Redskins line, and a shaky Rex Grossman on the road. I would lay the 7 here, as the Giants will blowout Washington with ease.
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sean 2011 Record: 27-21-3 (56.3%)
|
|
Packers (-14) at Chiefs
|
|
Jets at Eagles (-3)
|
|
Cowboys (-7) at Bucs
|
| |
Packers -14
|
|
Eagles -3
|
|
Bucs +7
|
| |
Kansas City hasn't scored more than 10 points in a game since October, and now they face the league's best offense. Not sure how this game is only two touchdowns. I think this line should be around 17-1/2 points. This is a gift folks, and you won't get a game like this often. The Packers won't miss Greg Jennings this week, as they are very deep at WR. Rodgers will have a big day picking apart a banged up Chiefs defense and the Packers should win this one with ease. I like the Packers big on the road. 34-10
|
|
The Eagles start their spoiling this weekend with a win over the Jets. I also expect very close games with the Giants and Cowboys as well this weekend, so this is a must-win for the Eagles if they want any chance at coming back in the NFC East. Stranger things have happened, and both the Giants and Cowboys' schedules are difficult the final three weeks. Mark Sanchez and the Jets have been on a mini roll lately, but that was against pretty bad competition. On paper, the Eagles crush the Bills, Redskins and Chiefs. This game might be for Andy Reid's job and I see the Eagles stepping up at home and winning this one late. 24-20.
|
|
Dallas doesn't have that killer instinct to put away people when they are up. We saw it last week versus the Giants and we will see it again this week on the road in Tampa. Tampa has lost 7 straight games and is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games, BUT I think with a healthy Josh Freeman back, and being a prime time game they will keep this game close if not win it outright. Just when you thought Dallas was getting healthy getting Miles Austin back, they lost rookie RB DeMarco Murray for the season. They are a different team with Felix Jones as the primary ball carrier thats for sure. They go from a well-balanced offense, to more of a one dimensional passing offense. I am calling for the Bucs in an upset on another FG winner, this time in overtime. 23-20
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|