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Our FREE NFL picks versus the spread are purely for entertainment purposes only. But, let's face it, being right (winning) is more fun than being wrong (losing).
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Every week, the three "handicappers" at The Weekly Blitz will pick their three best NFL games against the spread (ATS).
Final results: Through Week 17, we have a combined record of 84-56-13 (60.0 percent) ATS.
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See also:
- Weekly Fantasy Football Rankings: QB - RB - WR - TE
- NFL Schedule - Tickets - CFB Schedule - Tickets
- 2012 Mock Draft Databases: NFL - NBA
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DAILY WEEK 9 LINES FROM SPORTSBOOK.COM
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SUMMARY OF PICKS BY CONTRIBUTORS
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Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17
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Picks are for entertainment purposes only.
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Picks and spreads are as of Saturday, November 5th at 9:52 p.m. ET
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Lines used are always as of the time the pick was made.
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Date/Time (ET)
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Favorite
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Spread
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Underdog
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Kevin
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Dan
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Sean
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Sun, Nov 6 at 1:00 p.m.
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Falcons
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7.0
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COLTS
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ATL -7
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Sun, Nov 6 at 1:00 p.m.
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SAINTS
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8.5
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Buccaneers
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TB +8.5
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TB +8.5
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Sun, Nov 6 at 1:00 p.m.
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TEXANS
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10.5
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Browns
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HOU -10.5
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Sun, Nov 6 at 1:00 p.m.
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BILLS
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2.5
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Jets
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Sun, Nov 6 at 1:00 p.m.
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CHIEFS
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4.0
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Dolphins
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Sun, Nov 6 at 1:00 p.m.
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49ers
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4.0
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REDSKINS
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SF -4
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SF -4
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Sun, Nov 6 at 1:00 p.m.
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COWBOYS
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11.0
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Seahawks
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DAL -11
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Sun, Nov 6 at 4:05 p.m.
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RAIDERS
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7.5
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Broncos
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DEN +7.5
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Sun, Nov 6 at 4:05 p.m.
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TITANS
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3.0
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Bengals
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Sun, Nov 6 at 4:15 p.m.
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CARDINALS
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3.0
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Rams
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ARI -3
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Sun, Nov 6 at 4:15 p.m.
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PATRIOTS
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9.0
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Giants
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Sun, Nov 6 at 4:15 p.m.
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Packers
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6.0
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CHARGERS
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Sun, Nov 6 at 8:30 p.m.
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STEELERS
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3.5
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Ravens
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Mon, Nov 7 at 8:30 p.m.
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EAGLES
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7.5
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Bears
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CONTRIBUTOR
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GAME 1
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GAME 2
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GAME 3
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Kevin
2011 Record: 33-14-4 (70.2%)
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49ers (-4) at Redskins
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Seahawks at Cowboys (-11)
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Falcons (-7) at Colts
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49ers -4
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Cowboys -11
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Falcons -7
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Fortunately for the Redskins, tight end Fred
Davis is no longer in a walking boot and is
likely to play this week. That said, Davis has
been the team's only offensive bright spot
recently. With Tim Hightower out for the
season, the team's top two running backs
have been ineffective since their bye. In
those three games combined, Ryan Torain
has 20 carries for 31 yards and Roy Helu has
three carries for five yards total. Despite
getting only limited work, those carries came
against three of the worst run defenses in the
league: Philadelphia, Carolina and Buffalo.
Running the ball won't get any easier against
the 49ers, who have the league's stingiest run
defense (73.4 yards allowed per game) and
are the only team to have yet to allow a
rushing touchdown. Unlikely to establish the
run this week, the Redskins will need to better
protect quarterback John Beck, who was
sacked nine times last week by the Bills.
Entering the game, the Bills had only four
sacks for the season. Even if the Redskins
can protect Beck better, Washington's
receiving corps is especially weak without
Santana Moss. For the 49ers, the secret to
their success is not really a secret: play solid
defense, run the ball well (Frank Gore has
four straight 125-yard games) and limit Alex
Smith's opportunity to make mistakes. Then
try not to create a controversy with the
post-game handshake.
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As one would expect from the only team in
the league to retire the number 12 in honor
of their fans, the Seahawks play much
better at home than they do on the road.
In the past four and a half seasons, the
Seahawks are 19-16 at home and 9-27 on
the road. While the Cowboys have a losing
record (3-4) and are coming off a 27-point
beatdown in primetime against division
rivals, there is no doubt that the Cowboys
are a far superior team than the Seahawks
when it comes to talent. As an example,
33 players in the NFL are averaging at least
61 receiving yards per game. The Cowboys
have four of them: Miles Austin (70.0),
Jason Witten (68.1), Laurent Robinson
(67.2) and Dez Bryant (61.2). The easiest
way to make Tarvaris Jackson look like a
legitimate starting quarterback is to need
Charlie Whitehurst to play a couple of
games. That said, Jackson has not thrown
a touchdown in three of his six games
played this season. Yet their passing
attack is even better (or less worse) than
their ground attack. This seems weird to
say (or, technically, write), but the only
team in the league to have a worse rushing
offense than Seattle is Tennessee. Seattle
has 77.7 rushing yards per game and
Marshawn Lynch has rushed for more than
33 yards in only two of six games this
season. Plus the Cowboys have the
fourth-ranked run defense. In their past
30 home games against teams with a
losing record, the Cowboys are 21-7-2
against the spread.
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Prior to their bye last week, the Falcons won
back-to-back games for the first time this
season after getting off to a disappointing
start. Maybe the bye slows their
momentum some, but it also gives the
Falcons an extra week to prepare for the
Colts and to get healthy. Atlanta has been
without rookie receiver Julio Jones since he
suffered a hamstring injury in Week 5.
Prior to the injury, Jones posted
back-to-back 100-yard games. The
Falcons have relied heavily on Michael "The
Burner" Turner in their past two wins.
Turner has had 27 carries and more than
100 yards in each game. The Colts have
the second-worst run defense in the league
allowing 144 yards per game and are one
of three teams to allow double-digit rushing
touchdowns this season. Not only are the
Colts winless this year, but they are 1-4
against the spread in their last five home
games. Meanwhile, the Falcons are 4-1
ATS in their past five games as road
favorites.
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Dan
2011 Record: 24-21-6 (53.3%)
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49ers (-4) at Redskins
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Bucs at Saints (-8.5)
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Rams at Cardinals (-3)
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49ers -4
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Bucs +8.5
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Cardinals -3
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Here in the state of Connecticut many of us lost power for many days when a nor'ester hit last weekend. Many of us (including Dan) still
are without power and therefore Dan has picks this week. Next week, you should expect picks, rationale and our weekly fantasy football
podcast (Dan is co-host) to resume as normal.
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Sean
2011 Record: 27-21-3 (56.3%)
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Browns at Texans (-10.5)
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Broncos at Raiders (-7.5)
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Bucs at Saints (-8.5)
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Texans -10.5
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Broncos +7.5
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Bucs +8.5
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Cleveland is a mess on both sides of the ball.
Peyton Hillis and Montario Hardesty will both
be out this week, and Colt McCoy isn't exactly
lighting it up. Even without Andre Johnson this
week the Texans have too many weapons not
to put up points against Cleveland. I like
Houston big at home, 31-13.
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Tim Tebow shouldn't be a starting QB in the
NFL; well, neither should Carson Palmer
after sitting out all season. Palmer looked
rusty in Oakland's previous game, and I
expect a hangover in this one. I think
Oakland wins behind their rushing attack,
but I think Denver keeps it close in a
low-scoring battle. Oakland, 20-14
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New Orleans will come out and correct some
things that they did wrong last week versus
St. Louis, but this line is way too high for a
division game. Tampa swept the series last
year, and I think they keep this game close
here. I think this is the Mike Williams
breakout game you fantasy owners have
been waiting for. Saints win in a shootout.
34-27
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