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Tee Higgins 2021 Fantasy Football Profile

BY KEVIN HANSON (@EDSFootball)
Updated: Monday, March 8th

Leading up to the start of the 2021 NFL season, we will post 2021 Fantasy Football Profiles for several fantasy-relevant players.

If it weren't for the season-ending injury to Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow in Week 11, it would have been an even better 2020 season for fellow rookie Tee Higgins.

Leading the team in both receiving yards and touchdowns, Higgins finished his rookie campaign with 67 catches for 908 yards and six touchdowns on 108 targets. Meanwhile, Higgins (14) had twice as many 20-yard receptions as any other receiver (Tyler Boyd, seven) on the roster.

In addition, only two rookies -- Justin Jefferson (1,400) and CeeDee Lamb (935) -- had more receiving yards than Higgins in 2020.

The rookie barely played in Week 1 (15 snaps, zero targets) and Burrow was injured in Week 11, as noted above. Before Burrow's injury, however, Higgins was really hitting his stride from Weeks 3 to 10.

During that seven-game span, Higgins averaged 14.3 fantasy points per contest and only 10 receivers scored more fantasy points than the rookie. He had at least 62 yards in six consecutive games from Weeks 4 to 10 with an average of 88.0 per game over that stretch.

Higgins performed as fantasy's WR27 (half-PPR scoring) from Weeks 1-11 (43/629/4). The table below breaks down Higgins per-game splits with/without Burrow.

SplitRec.Rec. YardsY/RRec. TDTGT
With Burrow (W1-11)4.362.914.630.47.1
W/O Burrow (W12-17)4.046.511.630.336.0

Continue reading our Tee Higgins 2021 Fantasy Football Profile

Dak Prescott 2021 Fantasy Football Profile

Entering the league as a fourth-round pick, Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott had immediate success as the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2016.

While Prescott missed the final 11 1/2 games of the 2020 season, he has never finished any worse than fantasy's QB11 in any of his four full seasons.

In his last full season, he scored the second-most fantasy points behind Baltimore's Lamar Jackson, the 2019 NFL MVP. In addition, Prescott and the Cowboys' offense finished as the league's top-ranked offense in 2019.

Before suffering his season-ending ankle injury in Week 5 last year, Prescott was off to a terrific start -- from a statistical standpoint. Prescott was fantasy's QB4 through the first five weeks of the season.

That said, the trio of Patrick Mahomes (138.86, QB2), Josh Allen (138.66, QB3) and Prescott (138.64, QB4) were separated by a mere 0.22 fantasy points -- equivalent to 5.5 passing yards -- over that stretch to begin the season.

Continue reading our Dak Prescott 2021 Fantasy Football Profile

2021 Fantasy Football QB Strength of Schedule

Fantasy football strength of schedule helps fantasy managers determine which teams and players have favorable (or unfavorable) schedules for the 2021 NFL season.

Based on each team's scheduled opponents for 2021, we have tallied the average fantasy points allowed by each of their opponents to the position.

[Note: Our SOS includes all 17 opponents given the expectation that the NFL will implement a 17-game regular-season schedule in 2021.]

While strength of schedule should not be the sole factor in determining who to draft/add, it could help potentially break a tie between two players that you may view as comparable.

The complete strength of schedule for quarterbacks is below:

RankTeamPlayerFantasy SOS
1New York JetsSam Darnold19.94
2New England PatriotsJarrett Stidham19.84
3Pittsburgh SteelersBen Roethlisberger19.78
4Indianapolis ColtsCarson Wentz19.77
5Denver BroncosDrew Lock19.65
6New Orleans SaintsDrew Brees19.62
7Houston TexansDeshaun Watson19.59
8WashingtonKyle Allen19.52
9Jacksonville JaguarsGardner Minshew19.5
10San Francisco 49ersJimmy Garoppolo19.47
View full Fantasy Football QB Strength of Schedule (SOS)

Note: Fantasy SOS = Average fantasy points per game allowed in 2020 of each team's 2021 opponents.

More positions:

Cam Akers 2021 Fantasy Football Profile

Leading up to the start of the 2021 NFL season, we will post 2021 Fantasy Football Profiles for several fantasy-relevant players.

Despite a modest start, Los Angeles Rams rookie running back Cam Akers emerged as a workhorse down the stretch in 2020.

Making his NFL debut against the Dallas Cowboys with 15 touches, Akers exited early -- after three touches -- with a rib injury sustained against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 2. That rib injury kept him out of Week 3 and 4 as well. From Weeks 5 to 12, he never exceeded 10 touches.

In that Week 12 matchup against the San Francisco 49ers, however, Akers was clearly the team's most productive back as he carried the ball nine times for 84 yards and a touchdown. After that point, he became the clear lead back.

"Probably about midseason, that's when I started to get a good grasp on the run concepts, what the coaches wanted," Akers said after the season (per ESPN). "I just kind of settled in, played football and it showed."

Even though he missed Week 16, only four running backs had more touches than Akers (94) from Weeks 13 to 17.

Continue reading our Cam Akers 2021 Fantasy Football Profile

Kevin Hanson's Way-too-early 2021 Fantasy Football Rankings

FantasyPros tracks fantasy football rankings accuracy and Kevin Hanson's 2020 rankings were 9th-most accurate (among 149 experts tracked). Hanson has now finished top 20 in accuracy six times since 2011.

The 2020 NFL season is now two weeks behind us.

Even so, it's arguably never too early to look ahead to the upcoming season. NFL free agency in March and the NFL Draft in April will certainly alter our early fantasy football rankings and we will update these rankings after the start of the NFL free-agency period and the NFL Draft.

Way-too-early 2021 Fantasy Football QB Rankings

For now, here are our early fantasy quarterback rankings for 2021 season:

1. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

Barring injury, Mahomes is the easy choice as the top-ranked fantasy quarterback given the combination of his elite skill set, supporting cast and coaching. The only real decision for fantasy managers is whether or not to invest the early draft capital necessary to secure Mahomes as their starter. Leading the NFL with 316.0 passing yards per game, Mahomes was only a 260/2 game away from a second 5,000/40 season before the Chiefs rested him in Week 17.

2. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

One of the league's best young dual-threat quarterbacks, Allen has exactly 300 rush attempts in his three NFL seasons and has racked up 1,562 yards and 25 touchdowns on the ground. Remarkably, he has rushed for at least eight touchdowns in all three of his NFL seasons.

Continuing to make major strides as a passer, Allen shattered previous career bests across the board in 2020. In his third season, Allen threw for 4,544 yards (284.0/G, 7.9/A) and 37 touchdowns (6.5%) with only 10 interceptions (1.7%). Despite last year's unusual offseason, the trade for Stefon Diggs paid immediate dividends as the duo's instant rapport allowed Diggs to post career highs across the board as well.

Continue reading our Way-too-early 2021 Fantasy Football QB Rankings

Way-too-early 2021 Fantasy Football RB Rankings

Our way-too-early fantasy running back rankings for 2021 season:

1. Christian McCaffrey, Carolina Panthers

If you drafted McCaffrey first overall in 2020, you likely find little solace that he was fantasy's top-scoring back over the three-week window in which he appeared (Weeks 1, 2 and 9). In those games, however, CMC handled 76 touches including 17 receptions, racked up 374 yards from scrimmage and scored six touchdowns. All of those numbers were either first or second among running backs in that split timeframe.

Before his lost season due to injury, McCaffrey was nearly an every-snap iron man in 2019. Heading into his age-25 season, he remains the top choice for me in 2021 drafts.

2. Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings

Once again, Cook has missed multiple games, but he set career highs in touches (356), yards from scrimmage (1,918) and touchdowns (17) and scored the third-most fantasy points (half-PPR) among running backs. The clear lead back in one of the league's most run-heavy offenses, Cook averaged a career-high 5.0 YPC and has a minimum of 40 catches in each of the past three seasons.

Continue reading our Way-too-early 2021 Fantasy Football RB Rankings

Way-too-early 2021 Fantasy Football WR Rankings

Our way-too-early fantasy wide receiver rankings for 2021 season:

1. Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers

Not only did Adams miss two games in 2020, but he has missed multiple games in three of his past four seasons. Even so, the seven-year veteran led the NFL in receiving touchdowns (18) and yards per game (98.1) and also set a career high in receptions (115). With double-digit touchdowns in four of five seasons, Adams has a total of 58 scores in 71 games over that span. With Aaron Rodgers still playing at an MVP level, Adams is the clear choice to be drafted as fantasy's WR1 in 2021.

2. Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs

Few players at any position have as much upside as Hill to erupt for a massive performance in any given week. Setting a career high in touchdowns (17), Hill had 87 receptions for 1,276 yards and 13 carries for 123 yards in 2020.

Continue reading our Way-too-early 2021 Fantasy Football WR Rankings

Way-too-early 2021 Fantasy Football TE Rankings

Our way-too-early fantasy tight end rankings for 2021 season:

1. Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs

Tampa Bay's Rob Gronkowski finished as fantasy's TE8 (126.8). Kelce was so good in 2020 that he actually doubled Gronk up (260.26, TE1).

Kelce extended his 1,000-yard streak to five seasons and broke the single-season receiving yardage record (1,416) for tight ends in the process. In fact, he set career highs across the board (105/1,416/11) in his age-31 campaign. Kelce ended the regular season with eight consecutive games with at least seven catches.

Regardless of how you slice it, Kelce is not only the slam-dunk TE1 heading into 2021, but he's worthy of drafting in Round 1.

2. George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers

The only thing that can slow Kittle down is injury. Missing exactly half of the 2020 season, Kittle had 48/634/2 in eight games, which is comparable to a 96/1,268/4 pace. Meanwhile, Kittle had 85/1,053/5 in 2019 and 88/1,377/5 in 2018.

Continue reading our Way-too-early 2021 Fantasy Football TE Rankings

Fantasy Football 2021: Way-too-early three-round mock draft

With three playoff games still to be played, we are roughly seven months away from when most casual fans begin to think about their fantasy football draft(s).

Between now and then, much will change due to NFL free agency, the 2021 NFL Draft, injuries and breakouts in training camp and the preseason, etc.

That said, it won't stop us from taking a way-too-early look at how the top of a fantasy football draft may shake out -- at least, if we were selecting for every team.

Our initial one-man, 12-team mock draft will go three rounds. For those 12 teams, all but three have started with at least two running backs.

While running backs (20, 55.6%) make up the majority of players selected, there were also 13 wide receivers and three tight ends selected. No quarterbacks were selected in the first three rounds.

[Note: We will release the first iteration of our 2021 fantasy football rankings no later than the Monday after the Super Bowl.]

2021 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 1

1.01 - Team 1: Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

If you drafted McCaffrey first overall in 2020, you likely find little solace that he was fantasy's top-scoring back in the three weeks in which he appeared (Weeks 1, 2 and 9). In those games, however, CMC handled 76 touches including 17 receptions, racked up 374 yards from scrimmage and scored six touchdowns. All of those numbers were either first or second among running backs.

Before his lost season due to injury, McCaffrey was nearly an every-snap iron man in 2019. Heading into his age-25 season, he remains the top choice for me in 2021 drafts.

1.02 - Team 2: Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings

Once again, Cook has missed multiple games, but he set career highs in touches (356), yards from scrimmage (1,918) and touchdowns (17) and scored the third-most fantasy points (half-PPR) among running backs. The clear lead back in one of the league's most run-heavy offenses, Cook averaged a career-high 5.0 YPC and has a minimum of 40 catches in each of the past three seasons.

1.03 - Team 3: Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans

The clear favorite among the top five picks in this mock to finish last in receptions, Henry more than compensates for his smaller role as a receiver with his dominant rushing production. Not only is he the back-to-back rushing champion coming off a 2,000-yard campaign, but Henry has led the league in rushing touchdowns in the past two seasons with 33 rushing scores in 31 games.

No running back scored more fantasy points in non-PPR formats, but Henry finished second in half-PPR and third in PPR as well. In other words, the limited passing-game role hasn't hurt his value much, even in leagues that reward a full point per reception.

1.04 - Team 4: Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

No running back scored more fantasy points in half-PPR formats than Kamara in 2020. The versatile back had exactly 81 receptions in each of his first three NFL seasons and then set a career high (83) in 2020. That said, he was on pace for a much higher career-best number before Drew Brees (ribs) missed four weeks. The only three games that Kamara failed to reach three catches came with Brees sidelined.

If Brees retires and the Saints utilize Taysom Hill as their starter, it will cap Kamara's upside and lead to more volatility in his weekly production. In the four-game span with Hill under center, 10 running backs scored more half-PPR fantasy points than Kamara. In the 12 games with Brees, Kamara was a top-10 weekly producer in all but one game. In four games with Hill, here were Kamara's weekly finishes: RB25, RB36, RB9 and RB9, respectively.

Continue to our Way-too-early 2021 Fantasy Football Mock Draft

Fantasy Basketball Mock Draft Simulator

Even though it feels like the NBA season just ended, the preseason is underway and the 2020-21 (regular) NBA season is less than 10 days away.

As you prepare for your upcoming fantasy basketball draft(s), our fantasy basketball mock draft simulator will allow you to:

+ Complete fantasy basketball mock drafts for free

After your draft(s), check out more resources from FantasyPros:

+ Draft Analyzer: Get analysis on the team you just drafted or ...
+ MyPlaybook: In-season advice to help manage your season-long basketball team.