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EatDrinkandSleepFootball.com
Where Football's a Way of Life!
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Our FREE picks against the spread are purely for entertainment purposes only. But, let's face it, being right (winning) is more fun than being wrong (losing).
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CONTRIBUTOR
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GAME 1
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GAME 2
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GAME 3
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Kevin
2009 Record: 60.0% (18-12)
2008 Record: 63.3% (31-18-2)
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Titans at Jets (-3)
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Packers (-6.5) at Rams
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Panthers at Cowboys (-8.5)
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Titans +3
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Packers -6.5
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Panthers +8.5
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While it's not surprising that one of the these
two teams is undefeated (2-0) and the other
is winless (0-2) heading into their week 3
matchup, most would have expected their
roles to have been reversed. Instead, it's a
rookie head coach and a rookie QB (this
seems familiar) that is surprising folks and in
first place while the top overall AFC seed in
2008 is winless. That being said, the Titans
are better than an 0-2 team and desperate
for a win. I expect the Titans to got off the
schneid this week, but I'd gladly take a field
goal as security.
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The Rams are arguably the worst team in
the NFL. The Packers are my pick to win the
NFC North. After a disappointing home loss
to the Bengals in which Chad Ochocinco did
the Lambeau Leap, the Packers will take
care of business against the lowly Rams.
The Packers' biggest problem so far has
been protecting Aaron Rodgers. And that
will continue to be a problem -- against
good defenses, i.e., not the Rams. The
Rams are one of four teams to allow an
average of 400+ yards per game of offense
this season and have recorded only one
sack in their two games.
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A desperate team with playoff aspirations in
2009. You could argue that description fits
both teams. But an 0-3 start for the
Panthers would be disastrous in a division
with two 2-0 teams. While the Cowboys
passing defense is awful, their passing
offense has its flaws as well. Speaking of
flaws, Tony Romo will succumb to the
pressure of trying to do too much as
several Cowboys' greats, such as Tony
Dorsett and Troy Aikman, have criticized
Romo in the media this week. The Cowboys
may still win (and as a Cowboys' fan, I
hope they do), but a touchdown plus is too
much for them to spot the Panthers.
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Dan
2009 Record: 60.0% (18-12)
2008 Record: 60.0% (30-20-1)
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Saints (-6) at Bills
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Steelers (-4) at Bengals
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Redskins (-6.5) at Lions
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Saints -6
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Steelers -4
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Lions +6.5
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Through the first two weeks, the Saints
offense has been putting up video game
numbers. C'mon, you all do this picking on
the helpless computer 83-0 in easy mode.
The aerial attack of New Orleans has been
astounding, as they look to keep pace with
the Patriots 2007 offense. Drew Brees has
been lights out, and he is doing it with a
plethora of weapons, and not just keying on
Marques Colston. The Bills are home dogs,
and a big reason why is that they are ranked
31st in the league vs the pass. If they
couldn't keep a recovering Tom Brady under
350 yards, I can't imagine the statistical totals
after an offense firing on all cylinders gets
done with them. New Orleans has won 3 out of
the last 5 historical matchups, as they look to
put up another 45+ point performance. Look
for the Bills to get their scores, as this is a
fantasy player's dream matchup. But Brees
and his cadre of 10 different receivers will put
this one away. And memo to Buffalo fans:
please stop vandalizing and robbing your
home team player's houses.
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It certainly looks like the week of the road
favorite, but the numbers back up a Steeler
victory in Ohio, after they laid an egg in
Chicago. Cincinnati comes into this game
after a strong win up north against Green
Bay, where Carson Palmer looked like his
old self. One of the strange happenings in
this short season is the lack of a Pittsburgh
rushing attack, but have no fear as coach
Mike Tomlin will be sure to address this. On
the trend side, Pittsburgh has won 5 in a
row vs the Bengals and will look to continue
this streak. The Steeler line has looked
porous as of late surrendering 6 sacks in
the 2009 campaign. Look for another
classic 250-yard, 2 TD day for Ben
Roethlisberger, and for the Steelers to
finally get Wille Parker on track. As for the
Bengals, a hobbled Cedric Benson and a
pressured Carson Palmer will struggle to
find points. Lay the points and take the
defending champs. After all, Roethlisberger
is also 11-0 when he plays in Ohio.
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There is no question, Detroit will certainly
get a win this season -- you can count on
that. Will it be this Sunday? The potential is
there, but I like the Lions to keep it close
even if they don't win the game straight up.
These two teams have had a lot of recent
history, because let's face it they are both
bottom feeders. Yes, Washington has won
3 in a row vs the Lions, but Detroit is 2-1 vs
the spread in those previous matchups.
Washington's offense has looked anemic to
be polite, and many pundits are calling for
coach Jim Zorn to open up the playbook or
take the train. Detroit has enjoyed some
sparks of offensive ability, led by Calvin
Johnson and his 17.6 yards per catch
average. Washington, for all of their
offensive troubles has been stalwart on the
defensive side of the ball, I would look for
a grinding game, with heaping side of
turnovers to boot. I'm not sayin' the streak
for the Lions will end at 19 losses in a row,
but I do like their chances of keeping it
close.
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Sean
2009 Record: 55.2% (16-13-1)
2008 Record: 52.9% (27-24)
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Titans at Jets (-3)
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Saints (-6) at Bills
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Falcons at Patriots (-4)
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Titans +3
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Bills +6
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Patriots -4
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The Titans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5
meetings vs the Jets, but this is a must-win
game for the Titans to keep their season
alive. The chance of a 0-3 team to make the
playoffs is very slim, in fact it has only
happened 3 times since 1990. The Titans
have their backs against the wall, and the Jets
are on cloud 9 after a huge victory against
their archrival New England last week. This is
a little role reversal from their last meeting
where the Jets broke up the Titans' perfect
season when they thumped them down in
Nashville. The Titans are no stranger to Rex
Ryan and his defensive scheme and actually
were having a pretty good game offensively
versus the Ravens in the playoffs last year
until Ed Reed tore Chris Johnson in half after
the whistle, which forced Johnson to the
sidelines for the rest of the game. I think
Johnson will have another big game here, and
the Tennessee offensive line will dominate
the Jets up front. The Mawae/Jenkins
matchup is a huge one for sure. Tennessee
has Jacksonville, New England and Indy
staring them in the face after this game, so it
is a must win, and I think they have the talent
and coaching to get it done.
- Titans 23 Jets 13
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A lot of money will be on New Orleans here
especially after how they absolutely cruised
against the Philly defense, but don't count
this Bills team out. I really liked what
Buffalo did last week against Tampa Bay
offensively, and if they can put up 26
offensive points up against Tampa, they
can definitely do the same against the
Saints this week. I absolutely love Fred
Jackson. He is the perfect back for this
team, because he causes so many
problems in the passing game. Buffalo's
offensive weapons are arguably as good as
the Saints are. Last week 70% of the
money in Vegas was on the Steelers, and I
fell victim to the trap. This is another one
of those games as the heavy money is on
the Saints early. I actually think the Bills
will win this one outright. Isn't the NFL
great?
- Bills 31 Saints 27
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Atlanta is definitely one of the top young
teams in this league, but playing in New
England will be no easy task for this team.
Steve Smith had a field day against the
Falcons defense last week, and I believe
the Brady-to-Moss combo will be back in full
form this week with a pair of TD grabs.
Atlanta's defense is just not good enough
to hold the Patriots below 20 points, and I
think Ryan will have trouble with BB's crazy
defensive schemes. New England might be
missing 2/3 of their players from their glory
days, but as the Steelers always do, the
Patriots do as well. It is the scheme, and
plugging in players. This will be the
statement game of the week. I think the
Pats win this one big.
- Pats 34 Falcons 19
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Jamie
2009 Record: 43.3% (13-17)
2008 Record: 55.1% (27-22-2)
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Titans at Jets (-3)
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Panthers at Cowboys (-8.5)
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Steelers (-4) at Bengals
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Jets -3
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Panthers +8.5
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Steelers -4
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The Jets are bringing one of the best D's in
the NFL into this weekend's matchup. The
Titans, on the other hand, look nothing like
the team they were from last year. Led by a
very poised rookie QB in Sanchez, and the
crazy blitzes Ryan will dial up, the Jets will win
this one by 7+ easily as the Titans will
continue what happened to last year.
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Is Dallas 9 points better than anyone in the
league? Let alone the team that made it to
the conference championship last year?
Not with Tony Romo playing under center.
And this is coming from a lifelong Cowboys'
fan. But in no way can I trust him to cover
these many points. I do fully expect Dallas
to win this game but in no way do they
cover this spread. Take the points.
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Forget the fact that Troy "Head and
Shoulders" Polamalu is still out. Tomlin will
have his boys from Steel Town angry and
out for blood this week. I fully expect a
dominating performance by Pittsburgh's D
and Big Ben to do enough for the Steelers
to win this by 10+ as Tomlin will refuse to
accept last week's poor performance. Big
bounce-back week for the Steelers.
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