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EatDrinkandSleepFootball.com
Where Football's a Way of Life!
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Our FREE picks against the spread are purely for entertainment purposes only. But, let's face it, being right (winning) is more fun than being wrong (losing).
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CONTRIBUTOR
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GAME 1
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GAME 2
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GAME 3
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Kevin
2009 Record: 60.0% (18-12)
2008 Record: 63.3% (31-18-2)
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Patriots (-3.5) at Jets
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Steelers (-3) at Bears
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Colts (-3) at Dolphins
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Patriots -3.5
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Steelers -3
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Colts -3
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This game could easily be an embarrassment.
However, it won't necessarily be embarrassing
in the way that Jets' safety Kerry Rhodes
expects. Rhodes said, "You go out from the
first quarter on, from the first play on, and try
to embarrass them. Not just go out there and
try to win, try to embarrass them." Is it wise
to provide bulletin-board material for the
three-time champions (this decade) and a
team that has beaten the Jets in the
Meadowlands in eight consecutive games? Of
course not. This game could get ugly (and
fast).
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How much do I like the Steelers in this
matchup? Nearly as much as I dislike the
Bears. Last week, Bears quarterback Jay
Cutler threw four interceptions against the
Packers. Granted, some of the picks may
have been the fault of the Bears receivers.
But Cutler could have easily have had six
picks in that game. The Steelers, who had
the top-rated defense in 2008, will bring
the pressure against Cutler and stymie the
run. Not much on the ground and mistakes
in the air for the Bears' offense equals a
Steelers' win and cover.
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In their last 16 home games, the Dolphins
are only 3-13 against the spread (ATS). As
a home underdog of 3 points or less, the
Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last six
matchups. Despite being without Anthony
Gonzalez, the Colts still have Reggie
Wayne, who had 162 receiving yards
against Jacksonville last week, and Dallas
Clark in the passing game as weapons for
Peyton Manning. On the other hand, the
Dolphins offense looked anemic against
the Falcons last week and have now turned
the ball over nine times in their past two
games.
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Dan
2009 Record: 60.0% (18-12)
2008 Record: 60.0% (30-20-1)
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Seahawks at 49ers (-1.5)
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Patriots (-3.5) at Jets
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Browns at Broncos (-3)
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Seahawks +1.5
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Patriots -3.5
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Broncos -3
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Well, not one week does the season make, or
else we might be looking to put these teams
into the NFC playoffs with thier efforts out of
the gate. San Francisco had an impressive
gameplan, and grounded the aerial assault of
Arizona last week with a big road win. Seattle
made St. Louis look like a prep team, as they
easily handled the Rams. The 49ers look to
make thier home debut special, and jump out
with a 2-0 divisional record as well. Coach
Mike Singletary has his boys playing well, but
I think they will run into a wall on Sunday. The
most telling takeaway from the 49ers, is their
inability to run the ball, as Frank Gore only
ran for 30 yards on the ground, despite
having 22 carries. Look for the re-emergence
of Matt Hasselbeck to continue, and it
appears that Julius Jones still has a pulse.
Although it will be a close game, Seattle has
beaten the 49ers 9 out of the past 12 match
ups. I would grab the points, and look for
Patrick Kearney and the ballhawking
Seahawks defense to make life difficult for
Shaun Hill.
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Okay, so the recent quote of the day is
"talk is cheap" coming from Tom Brady,
and well it certainly seems that the Jets are
doing plenty of it. In looking at the
comparison of both teams' efforts last
week, one would think that this line is a
tough reach for the Pats. Despite some of
the best laid plans, and well some of the
best soundbites in recent memory, no word
ever goes unnoticed on the Patriots bulletin
board. New England looked shaky in thier
offensive timing last week, however they
still remain as one of the best prepared
teams in football. New York looked great in
their dismantling job of the Texans, and
rookie Mark Sanchez looked like the real
deal in driving the Jets down the field. New
England will continue their aerial assault, as
the Jets front line led by Kris Jenkins is
difficult (at best) to run on. And on
defense, look for New England to throw their
classic disguised coverage packages at
Sanchez. Remember the Patriots have won
8 in a row vs the Jets in the Meadowlands,
and as the last defensive back to speak up
against Brady got torched, look for the
bomb to Moss, when Rhodes is providing
safety help.
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Although the Belichick-Ryan matchup is
gaining the most heat, this contest shapes
up as a battle of the protegees, Mangini of
the Browns, and Josh McDaniels of the
Broncos. The Browns looked respectable for
a half against Minnesota, of course they
also had to play offense, and then they just
let Adrian Peterson take over. The Broncos
can thank their 1-0 start to a miracle play,
but hey all Kyle Orton does is win games it
seems. The Broncos will look to pound
Cleveland's interior defense with the duo of
Knowshown Moreno and Corell Buckhalter.
Sure those guys aren't the best backs in
the league, but Denver still has it's great
run blocking offensive line. There is much
to say about Kyle Orton, but simply said he
doesn't put his team in position to lose
games, and by winning the turnover battle
in this contest is the key to victory in this
game. From a past performance point of
view, Denver has won the last 8 meetings in
a row, and Brady Quinn will be facing a
difficult day, as I would look to see Champ
Bailey put Braylon Edwards on lock. I would
take Denver at home in the friendly
confines of Mile High.
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Sean
2009 Record: 55.2% (16-13-1)
2008 Record: 52.9% (27-24)
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Colts (-3) at Dolphins
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Steelers (-3) at Bears
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Patriots (-3.5) at Jets
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Colts -3
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Steelers -3
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Patriots -3.5
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I know Miami was 11-5 last year and won the
division, but I don't see a repeat this year, in
fact I got them finishing in last place. There
is a lot of money on the Colts already in this
one, it will be a small play for me but you
have to like the Colts in this one. Miami is
having too many problems on offense to put
up the necessary points needed to beat the
Colts. I am going against the trend in this
one as the Colts are 1-5 ATS playing against
Miami in their last 6. Miami will show a
national audience that they are not an 11-5
team, but a 5-11 team. Colts 27 Phish 14
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The Steelers are a different defense without
Troy Polamalu. Kerry Collins started to
show that in the 2nd half in week 1. The
same can be said about the Bears defense
without Urlacher. Two defensive stars not
playing. Chicago will not be able to run the
ball against this Steelers defense, which
means that Jay Cutler will have to carry this
team, and if he can't have a good outing
against Green Bay, (who might I add is a
good D), how is he going to play against
one of, if not the best defenses in the
league. Big Ben will limit his mistakes, and
Pittsburgh should win this one.
Steelers 20 Bears 10
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The Patriots are 10-1 ATS in their last 11
meetings on the road versus the Jets. I
think we will make it 11-1 this week. Rex
Ryan this, Rex Ryan that. Mark Sanchez is
the next Joe Namath. Yawn. The Jets will
get exposed this week and I expect
another good game from the Brady Bunch.
New England does have some questions on
defense, losing Mayo definitely hurts, but I
think they will be fine. This will be a high-
scoring affair. New England will get scored
on for sure, but offensively I think they
could be better then they were 2 years ago.
Brady is just warming up.
Patriots 38 Jets 30
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Jamie
2009 Record: 43.3% (13-17)
2008 Record: 55.1% (27-22-2)
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Patriots (-3.5) at Jets
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Bengals at Packers (-9)
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Cardinals at Jaguars (-3)
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Jets +3.5
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Packers -9
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Cardinals +3
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Is Brady still feeling the effects of his injuries?
Looks like it to me and if not for McKelvin
being an idiot and just going down when he
was solidly wrapped up last week, they would
have lost to the Bills at home. Don't get me
wrong - I still think the Pats are a very solid
team, but I also think the loss of Seymour
hurts more than some think. If you watched
the Oakland game late Monday night, you
would have seen the impact he had while
basically introducing himself to his new
teamates during the game. They will also be
without Mayo now due to injury. The Jets are
coming off a very solid road performance in
Houston where the D looked great even
without 2 of the best players due to
suspension. Sanchez also showed even as a
rookie he is more than capable of running the
show. Anyways I have to take the home
underdog in this one after last week's
performance. J-E-T-S! JETS JETS JETS
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What's to say really about this one? The
Pack is at home with one of the best
defenses in the league as they switch to a
3-4 and have an explosive offense. The
Bungles? Well, let's just say if you saw how
the game ended for them last week on the
immaculate reception version 2.0, they are
the Bungles for a reason. I thought Lewis
was supposed to be a defensive coach. How
the hell do you not have like 4 guys deep
in that situation? Anyways like Dennis
Green said, "They are who we thought they
were!" Yep, they are the Bungles.
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Am I missing something on this one? I
would actually take the moneyline on this
one, which is +115. But either way you got
to love the Cards to bounce back this
weekend as they ran into a buzzsaw last
week versus a much-improved San
Francisco team under the direction of Mike
"Da Mooner" Singletary. Jax is 1-8 ATS in
their last 9 games as a favorite and 2-14
ATS in their last 16 games on grass. Seems
too good to be true. And one of the keys to
the Cards offense should be back this week
in Steve Breaston. You got love the Cards
to bounce back in this one
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