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Kevin Hanson's 2021 NFL Mock Draft 4.0

Kevin Hanson's mock drafts have been among the most accurate:
FantasyPros
- 2020: #14 of 210 mock drafts
- 2019: #6 of 138 mocks
- 2018: #5 of 137 mocks
The Huddle Report
- #4 in 5-year accuracy (2016-2020)
- Mock Draft Champion in 2015

As we approach the start of NFL free agency in less than two weeks, some teams will address their biggest needs, others won't, but we could get a clearer picture of which prospects (positions) some teams may target early in the draft next month.

So far this offseason, Matthew Stafford, Jared Goff and Carson Wentz have new cities to call home, Philip Rivers has retired, Drew Brees may (or may not) retire, etc. The biggest quarterback domino to potentially fall is whether or not the Houston Texans will trade franchise quarterback Deshaun Watson before the draft?

Watson's status could shake up the top eight of the draft as the New York Jets, Miami Dolphins, Carolina Panthers and Denver Broncos (among others) are expected to pursue a trade for Watson.

For now, here's a look at how the 2021 NFL Draft may play out based on what we currently know:

1. Jacksonville Jaguars - Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson

New mock, same pick for the Jaguars. Of course, this pick won't change between now and April 29th.

As noted in our 2021 NFL Mock Draft, 3.0, this marks the first time in franchise history that the Jags own the rights to the first overall pick and it couldn't have come at a better time. While no quarterback or prospect is a "sure thing," Lawrence is a generational talent that is arguably the best quarterback prospect to enter the league since Andrew Luck.

2. New York Jets - Zach Wilson, QB, BYU

Given the holes up and down their roster, the Jets could go in a number of different directions here.

Even though Sam Darnold won't turn 24 until June and wasn't put in a position to succeed, he has struggled with durability and hasn't yet shown that he's the long-term answer. Wilson has enjoyed a pre-draft rise similar to that of Joe Burrow last year. Although not the biggest quarterback in this draft class, Wilson uses his athleticism to make and extend plays and is especially accurate throwing downfield.

3. Miami Dolphins - Ja'Marr Chase, WR, LSU

Chase opted out of the 2020 collegiate season, but the 2019 Biletnikoff Award recipient would have been the WR1 had he been eligible to join last year's talent-laden crop of wide receivers. As a true sophomore and a 19-year-old, Chase dominated SEC competition to the tune of 84 receptions for 1,780 yards (21.2 Y/R) and 20 touchdowns. Not only did he lead the country in yardage and touchdowns, no receiver had more 15-yard receptions (46) or 25-yard receptions (25) than Chase in 2019.

4. Atlanta Falcons - Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State

It was an up-and-down season for Fields, but he showed tremendous leadership and toughness in the semifinal win over Clemson as he threw for 385 yards and six touchowns in that game. A two-time Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year, the dual-threat quarterback has accounted for 78 total touchdowns -- 63 passing and 15 rushing -- while throwing only nine interceptions over 22 games as Ohio State's starter.

5. Cincinnati Bengals - Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon

Upgrading the offensive line needs to be one of the team's top offseason priorities. While Sewell opted out of the 2020 season, the 2019 first-team AP All-American was dominant in his true-sophomore campaign and won't turn 21 until October. If Sewell lasts until No. 5, the No. 2 prospect on our 2021 NFL Draft Big Board should be a no-brainer selection.

Continue reading our 2021 NFL Mock Draft

2023 NFL Mock Draft: Top 10 Picks

We are more than two years away for the 2023 NFL Draft, which will be held in Kansas City, MO.

While we have posted a 2021 NFL Mock Draft and 2022 NFL Mock Draft, we've decided to take a way-too-early look at how the top of the 2023 NFL Draft could play out.

For our 2021 (and 2022) mock draft(s), we know which prospects have declared early (or decided to return for another season). For the pool of players for our early top-10 mock draft for 2023, we've limited our pool of prospects to only players that will become draft-eligible beginning in 2023.

The draft order used is based on the inverse order of NFL wins over the past decade.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars: Will Anderson, EDGE, Alabama

As noted in our 2021 NFL mock draft, the Jaguars own the rights to their first-ever No. 1 overall pick, which they will undoubtedly use on Clemson's Trevor Lawrence. More than likely, the Jags won't be picking first again in 2023 given their treasure trove of draft picks and ability to spend in free agency.

Nonetheless, they have the first pick based on our criteria for determining the draft order and get a disruptive edge rusher in Anderson. Among SEC defenders, only Georgia's Azeez Ojulari and former teammate Christian Barmore had more sacks in 2020 than Anderson had as a true freshman. Only the Cincinnati Bengals (17) had fewer sacks than the Jaguars (18) in 2020.

2. Cleveland Browns: Bryan Bresee, IDL, Clemson

The No. 1 recruit in the 247Sports Composite (2020), Bresee enjoyed immediate success for the Tigers. The ACC Defensive Freshman of the Year and First-Team All-ACC performer finished his true freshman season with 6.5 tackles for loss including four sacks and 33 tackles. With a rare combination of first-step explosiveness for a man his size, Bresee has the versatility to line up at various alignments along the defensive line.

3. New York Jets: Myles Murphy, EDGE, Clemson

Murphy stepped onto the Clemson campus with NFL-ready size and athleticism. As a true freshman, Murphy led the Tigers in tackles for loss (12.5) and forced fumbles (three), had four sacks and was as good as it gets against the run.

Continue reading our way-too-early Top-10 2023 NFL Mock Draft

Kevin Hanson's Way-Too-Early 2022 NFL Mock Draft

Updated: Thursday, February 18th

As difficult as it is to project how the NFL Draft will play out two months from now, it's (obviously) even more difficult when trying to project one year and two months from now.

Not only will two free-agency periods impact team needs, so will the actual 2021 NFL Draft.

For the purposes of this mock draft, we took into consideration the player projected in the first round of our latest 2021 NFL Mock Draft.

To project draft order, I used recent Super Bowl 56 odds.

1. Houston Texans: Sam Howell, QB, North Carolina

If the Texans are picking first overall in 2022, that likely means that they met Deshaun Watson's trade demands. Trading away a franchise player like Watson would be a tough pill for Texans' fans to swallow, but Howell has elevated the play of those around him and has been one of the best deep passers in college since his freshman season.

2. New York Jets: Kayvon Thibodeaux, EDGE, Oregon

The top-ranked recruit on the ESPN 300 in 2019, Thibodeaux burst onto the scene with 12.0 sacks and 23.5 tackles for loss over 21 games in his first two seasons.

Current Oregon (and former Texas A&M) DC Tim DeRuyter recently compared Thibodeaux's explosiveness to one of his former pupils (Von Miller). DeRuyter said that Kayvon is "probably the first person that I've seen in a while who has that explosiveness off the edge like Von" [Miller].

3. Jacksonville Jaguars: Evan Neal, OT, Alabama

Neal has starting experience at both left guard (2019) and right tackle (2020), but it's possible he moves to the other side to replace Alex Leatherwood at left tackle in 2021. Regardless of how the Jaguars fill the void created by left tackle Cam Robinson's impending free agency, Neal would help upgrade the offensive line no matter where he lines up.

+ Continue reading our 2022 NFL Mock Draft

2021 NFL Draft Big Board

Our 2021 NFL Draft Big Board ranks the top-100 draft-eligible prospects for this year's NFL draft.

RankProspectPos.SchoolYearHgtWgt
1Trevor LawrenceQBClemsonJR6-6220
2Penei SewellOTOregonJR6-6330
3Ja'Marr ChaseWRLSUJR6-1200
4Kyle PittsTEFloridaJR6-6239
5Zach WilsonQBBYUJR6-3210
6Caleb FarleyCBVirginia TechrJR6-2207
7Justin FieldsQBOhio StateJR6-3228
8DeVonta SmithWRAlabamaSR6-1175
9Jaylen WaddleWRAlabamaJR5-10182
10Micah ParsonsLBPenn StateJR6-3244
2021 NFL Draft Big Board: Top 100 Prospects

For our top 10 per position, check out our 2021 NFL Draft Prospect Rankings

Arizona Cardinals Mock Draft Roundup 6.0

Throughout the year and leading up to the 2021 NFL draft, we will update our Arizona Cardinals Mock Draft Roundup showing picks for the Arizona Cardinals from several prominent sites and draft analysts.

The following are picks in recent mock drafts for the Cardinals:

EDSFootball - Hanson (3/5)

16. Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina

With Patrick Peterson, Dre Kirkpatrick and Johnathan Joseph set to become free agents, the Cardinals will need to add corners via the draft and/or free agency that can contribute right away. Horn, son of former Pro Bowl receiver Joe Horn, excels in press-man coverage due to his size, physical playing style and a competitive demeanor.

ESPN - McShay (3/4)

16. Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina

J.J. Watt and Chandler Jones spell problems for opposing QBs, but who will be in coverage? Both starting corners are primed to hit free agency this month, and the Cardinals' pass defense was middle-of-the-pack last year. Horn will get his hands on passes, bringing length and instinctive play to the outside. In just seven games in 2020, he broke up six passes and picked off two.

Josh Weinfuss on his fit with the Cardinals: Horn would come in and compete for a starting job in a secondary that's thin on cornerbacks. Arizona is set to lose two of its top corners in free agency in Patrick Peterson and Dre Kirkpatrick, and Robert Alford hasn't played a down in two seasons. Horn would see action right away.

CBS Sports - Trapasso (3/3)

16. Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech

Farley is a long, former wideout who tracks the football awesomely and has the athletic prowess to stick with receivers down the field.

Keep reading our Arizona Cardinals Mock Draft Roundup

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