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PROJECTED POINTS
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SCHEDULE
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PLAYER, TEAM
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1
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Antonio Gates, Chargers
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141.3
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147.3
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128.9
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18.4
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9
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at TB
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2
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Kellen Winslow, Browns
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136.1
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145.1
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130.1
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15.0
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5
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vs CIN
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3
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Jason Witten, Cowboys
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135.5
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142.0
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126.1
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15.9
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10
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vs BAL
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4
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Tony Gonzalez, Chiefs
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129.5
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135.5
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124.2
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11.3
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6
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vs MIA
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5
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Chris Cooley, Redskins
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117.6
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123.1
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113.7
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9.4
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10
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vs PHI
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6
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Dallas Clark, Colts
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112.9
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125.1
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99.5
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25.6
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4
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at JAX
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7
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Todd Heap, Ravens
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106.0
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113.5
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100.3
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13.2
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10
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at DAL
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8
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Vernon Davis, 49ers
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102.1
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119.5
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93.0
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26.5
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9
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at STL
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9
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Heath Miller, Steelers
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96.6
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111.3
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82.5
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28.8
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6
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at TEN
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10
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Tony Scheffler, Broncos
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94.9
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113.0
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78.1
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34.9
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8
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vs BUF
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11
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Alge Crumpler, Titans
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88.3
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98.6
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77.0
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21.6
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6
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vs PIT
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12
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Jeremy Shockey, Giants
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87.7
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96.3
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77.2
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19.1
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4
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vs CAR
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13
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Owen Daniels, Texans
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86.1
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93.9
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73.5
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20.4
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8
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vs GB
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14
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Ben Watson, Patriots
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79.2
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92.8
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70.9
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21.9
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4
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vs ARI
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15
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Donald Lee, Packers
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78.5
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93.7
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69.6
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24.1
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8
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at CHI
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16
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Zach Miller, Raiders
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70.8
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81.7
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63.0
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18.7
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5
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vs HOU
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17
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L.J. Smith, Eagles
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69.9
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75.6
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65.0
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10.6
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7
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at WAS
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18
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Randy McMichael, Rams
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65.1
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71.3
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53.0
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18.3
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5
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vs SF
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19
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Ben Utecht, Bengals
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64.4
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74.7
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57.0
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17.7
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8
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at CLE
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20
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Marcedes Lewis, Jaguars
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60.2
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69.8
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52.0
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17.8
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7
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vs IND
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HOW WE ARRIVED AT OUR RANKINGS: The sources for our projections are ESPN, NFL.com and DailyDose.com's pre-season magazine 2008 statistical projections as well as Sportsline.com.
Stats used for TEs are: Receiving TDs (6 pts), Receiving YDs (1 pt / 10 yds), Rushing YDs (1 pt / 10 yds), Rushing TDs (6 pts) and Fumbles Lost (-2 pts).
So, for example, if one of the sources projected 1000 yards receiving (100 pts), 10 receiving TDs (60 pts), 100 yards rushing (10 pts), 1 rushing TD (6 pts) and 1 Fumble Lost (-2) for a TE in 2008, then the projection from that source for that TE would be 174 points (100 + 60 + 10 + 6 + (-2)).
The process is repeated for each source and for every player. The theory is taking several expert opinions into consideration will result in a more meaningful projection.
Our average projection is simply an average of the values from all 4 sources. The High and Low represent the highest and lowest value included in the overall calculation. The range is the difference between the High and Low and is a measure of risk. The greater the range, the larger the difference in expectations for the fantasy player determined by the experts.
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Throughout the pre-season, we will make adjustments to these baseline projections. Check back for updates.
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