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MATT FORTE vs KEVIN SMITH?
Which rookie RB will have a more productive 2008 in fantasy football?

Matt Forte, Bears
Kevin Smith, Lions



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Wal-Mart.com USA, LLC
TOP 40 FANTASY RBs*
 
 
PROJECTED POINTS
SCHEDULE
RANK
PLAYER, TEAM
AVERAGE
HIGH
LOW
RANGE
BYE
W16 OPP.
1
Ladainian Tomlinson, Chargers
293.0
310.8
273.8
37.0
9
at TB
2
Adrian Peterson, Bears
277.2
297.4
233.0
64.4
8
vs ATL
3
Brian Westbrook, Eagles
260.1
272.4
252.5
19.9
7
at WAS
4
Steven Jackson, Rams
242.6
256.0
218.5
37.5
5
vs SF
5
Joseph Addai, Colts
235.9
258.7
198.0
60.7
4
at JAX
6
Frank Gore, 49ers
213.0
226.2
196.4
29.8
9
at STL
7
Marshawn Lynch, Bills
210.8
223.5
191.5
32.0
6
at DEN
8
Clinton Portis, Broncos
204.4
213.8
196.7
17.1
10
vs PHI
9
Larry Johnson, Chiefs
201.6
232.0
190.3
41.7
6
vs MIA
10
Marion Barber III, Cowboys
198.0
218.7
179.1
39.6
10
vs BAL
11
Ryan Grant, Packers
194.3
204.8
185.7
19.1
8
at CHI
12
Willis McGahee, Ravens
189.6
194.7
182.2
12.5
10
at DAL
13
Maurice Jones-Drew, Jaguars
179.6
191.1
174.0
17.1
7
vs IND
14
Jamal Lewis, Browns
179.3
191.1
172.4
18.7
5
vs CIN
15
Ronnie Brown, Dolphins
173.7
219.2
145.4
73.8
4
at KC
16
Brandon Jacobs, Giants
171.9
196.3
154.3
42.0
4
vs CAR
17
Darren McFadden, Raiders
170.7
213.0
149.4
63.6
5
vs HOU
18
Michael Turner, Falcons
168.5
199.2
151.2
48.0
7
at MIN
19
Willie Parker, Steelers
167.1
177.6
146.0
31.6
6
at TEN
20
Earnest Graham, Bucs
166.9
181.4
148.9
32.5
10
vs SD
21
Reggie Bush, Saints
156.5
166.0
151.8
14.2
9
at DET
22
Laurence Maroney, Patriots
156.4
159.5
154.5
5.0
4
vs ARI
23
Edgerrin James, Colts
155.2
172.3
145.5
26.8
7
at NE
24
Thomas Jones, Jets
151.7
163.5
143.5
20.0
5
at SEA
25
Julius Jones, Seahawks
150.3
174.1
116.8
57.3
4
vs NYJ
26
Rudi Johnson, Bengals
148.5
158.3
137.6
20.7
8
at CLE
27
LenDale White, Titans
145.2
151.4
134.2
17.2
6
vs PIT
28
Jonathan Stewart, Panthers
141.3
161.5
116.4
45.1
9
at NYG
29
Fred Taylor, Jaguars
139.6
160.0
132.0
28.0
7
vs IND
30
Kevin Smith, Lions
129.1
152.1
105.1
47.0
4
vs NO
31
Matt Forte, Bears
124.0
159.8
83.2
76.6
8
vs GB
32
Deangelo Williams, Panthers
118.4
142.6
107.4
35.2
9
at NYG
33
Chester Taylor, Vikings
113.2
123.5
105.2
18.3
8
vs ATL
34
Selvin Young, Broncos
111.3
136.9
78.6
58.3
8
vs BUF
35
Deuce McAllister, Saints
110.3
131.8
83.8
48.0
9
at DET
36
Justin Fargas, Raiders
108.4
123.6
100.0
23.6
5
vs HOU
37
Rashard Mendenhall, Steelers
105.9
130.0
81.8
48.2
6
at TEN
38
Ahman Green, Texans
104.5
124.4
77.7
46.7
8
at OAK
39
Jerious Norwood, Falcons
94.6
108.0
82.8
25.2
7
at MIN
40
Chris Brown, Texans
93.8
125.2
76.6
48.6
8
at OAK
               
               
HOW WE ARRIVED AT OUR RANKINGS:
The sources for our projections are ESPN, NFL.com and DailyDose.com's pre-season magazine 2008 statistical projections as well as Sportsline.com.

Stats used for RBs are: Rushing TDs (6 pts), Rushing YDs (1 pt / 10 yds), Receiving YDs (1 pt / 10 yds), Receiving TDs (6 pts) and Fumbles Lost (-2 pts).

So, for example, if one of the sources projected 1000 yards rushing (100 pts), 10 rushing TDs (60 pts), 100 yards receiving (10 pts), 1 receiving TD (6
pts) and 1 Fumble Lost (-2)  for a RB in 2008, then the projection from that source for that RB would be 174 points (100 + 60 + 10 + 6 + (-2)).

The process is repeated for each source and for every player.  The theory is taking several expert opinions into consideration will result in a more
meaningful projection.

Our average projection is simply an average of the values from all 4 sources.  The High and Low represent the highest and lowest value included in
the overall calculation.  The range is the difference between the High and Low and is a measure of risk.  The greater the range, the larger the
difference in expectations for the fantasy player determined by the experts.

* We've excluded all free agents (Benson, Henry, Alexander, Dayne, K. Jones, etc.).
               
Throughout the pre-season, we will make adjustments to these baseline projections.  Check back for updates.