DFS Roundtable: Favorite DraftKings Play for Week 12
Every week this season, our contributors will give their favorite plays for the week in DraftKings contests.
Q: Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 12?
I am playing the law of averages with Yeldon this week. He's the clear-cut lead back in Jacksonville and is going against the Chargers, who have given up the most fantasy points to running backs this season. Yeldon has had 10 days to rest his foot that had been bothering him and should be 100 percent this week. He has still averaged over 16 carries per game in his last four games and is going up against a Chargers team that gives up 125.9 yards per game on the ground, it's hard not to see him having a big game based on his volume and matchup.
The last three quarterbacks that have the Saints defense have scored the most or second-most fantasy points for that given week. In fact, the Saints have allowed multiple touchdowns in six consecutive games and a minimum of 324 passing yards in five of those six games. A bye week and a new defensive coordinator won't be enough to turnaround the league's most fantasy-friendly defense.
Before leaving the Bengals game early, Hoyer threw multiple touchdown passes in five consecutive games. During that span, Hoyer has scored a minimum of 17 fantasy points in each game with 20-plus three times. Despite his position-minimum salary, Hoyer should easily exceed value with top-five upside this week. Another factor in Hoyer's favor this week is that both Aaron Rodgers and Cam Newton play on Thursday and Tom Brady (at Denver) and Ben Roethlisberger (at Seattle) have tough matchups.
Rawls steps into the starting position for the Seahawks with Marshawn Lynch out for a few weeks, and while he has a difficult matchup, the opportunity is too great to ignore. Coming off a massive day against the Niners, Rawls will be fed the ball consistently against the Steelers and has a chance to greatly outproduce his salary.
Dan Yanotchko - T.J. Yeldon, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. SD), $4,800
This week I love T.J. Yeldon of the Jaguars going up against one the worst front-sevens in football, San Diego. Yeldon has a great number at $4,800, and he has 17-plus touches in six of his last seven games, plus 27 receptions on the year. I like Yeldon and his 4.0 YPC average going against a Chargers team that allows 126 yards per game and 4.9 yards per carry. C'mon, they let Spencer Ware rush for 96 yards on 11 carries and 2 TDs last week.
Last week was a tough week if you played a lot of the chalk. The cash lines in the Million maker and 50/50's were the lowest they have been all year. This week we are going to run into a lot of the similar type of chalk bargain players, so it is imperative that you nail the rest of your lineup. The chalk this week comes at the RB position, so I'll be paying at WR again this week. One player I absolutely love is Texans WR DeAndre Hopkins.
Hopkins comes in at a steep price tag of $9100, but like I mentioned, if you are playing the chalk RBs, you should have plenty of salary to get one or two of these top-notch stud WRs into your lineup this week. Some people have pretty short memories in the DFS world, but let's not forget how bad the Saints defense has been the past three games vs. the Giants, Titans, and Redskins. The Saints gave up 1,045 yards and 15 passing touchdowns during this time. There are ten teams in the NFL this year who have 15 or fewer passing touchdowns allowed all season. There is no WR in the NFL that has more targets than Hopkins (137). Hopkins also leads all WR in TDs with nine. Hopkins will be the center of my cash lineup this week.
Bonus Turkey Day Play: It's pretty unfortunate that DK doesn't have a 16-game slate this week because I would be on board rolling out QB Matthew Stafford as my cash game QB this week. Stafford has a juicy matchup against the Eagles tomorrow, and he still has a very fair price of $5,800. Stafford managed 20.4 DK points last week without having a good game. If you're playing the three-day Turkey slate, I recommend Stafford for GPPs. One great tip for playing small slate GPPs is avoiding the urge to spend your entire salary cap. Too many players make this mistake in tournaments, which leads to a lot of overlap. If you have a lineup $1500 short of the cap, there is a great chance that it's unique.
Week 12 DFS cheat sheets:
- Week 12 DraftKings DFS Cheat Sheet
- Week 12 FanDuel DFS Cheat Sheet
- Week 12 DraftPot DFS Cheat Sheet
- Week 12 FantasyAces DFS Cheat Sheet
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