September 27, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football QB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 4 to 16

Curious which quarterbacks have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 4 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for QBs (Weeks 4-16):

1. Philadelphia Eagles (Carson Wentz): 17.72
2. Chicago Bears (Brian Hoyer, Jay Cutler): 17.26
3. Minnesota Vikings (Sam Bradford): 17.22
4. Houston Texans (Brock Osweiler): 16.70
5. Washington Redskins (Kirk Cousins): 16.62

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 4 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for QBs (Weeks 4-16):

28. Jacksonville Jaguars (Blake Bortles): 13.34
29. New England Patriots (Tom Brady, Jimmy Garoppolo, Jacoby Brissett): 13.19
30. Indianapolis Colts (Andrew Luck): 12.83
31. Oakland Raiders (Derek Carr): 12.75
32. Miami Dolphins (Ryan Tannehill): 12.36

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football QB SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 4 to 16

Curious which running backs have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for RBs (Weeks 4-16):

1. Green Bay Packers (Eddie Lacy): 20.39
2. Philadephia Eagles (Ryan Mathews, Darren Sproles): 19.65
3. Oakland Raiders (Latavius Murray): 18.78
4. Carolina Panthers (Jonathan Stewart, Cameron Artis-Payne, Fozzy Whittaker): 18.56
5. Detroit Lions (Theo Riddick, Dwayne Washington): 18.30

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 4 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for RBs (Weeks 4-16):

28. New England Patriots (LeGarrette Blount): 15.53
29. New York Giants (Rashad Jennings): 15.52
30. Miami Dolphins (Arian Foster, Jay Ajayi): 15.10
31. Buffalo Bills (LeSean McCoy): 14.90
32. Indianapolis Colts (Frank Gore): 13.72

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football RB SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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2016 Fantasy Football WR Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 4 to 16

Curious which wide receivers have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire (our Week 4 waiver-wire post) or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for WRs (Weeks 4-16):

1. Philadelphia Eagles (Jordan Matthews): 24.29
2. Dallas Cowboys (Dez Bryant): 24.27
3. New York Giants (Odell Beckham, Sterling Shepard): 24.24
4. Chicago Bears (Alshon Jeffery): 23.57
5. Washington Redskins (DeSean Jackson): 23.43

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 4 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for WRs (Weeks 4-16):

28. Atlanta Falcons (Julio Jones): 19.13
29. New Orleans Saints (Brandin Cooks, Willie Snead): 18.72
T30. New York Jets (Brandon Marshall, Eric Decker): 18.64
T30. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Mike Evans, Vincent Jackson): 18.64
32. Oakland Raiders (Amari Cooper, Michael Crabtree): 18.56

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football WR SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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2016 Fantasy Football TE Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 4 to 16

Curious which tight ends have the most (or least) favorable strength of schedule for the rest of the season?

Based on the average fantasy points allowed per team, our 2016 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule ranks all 32 teams based on the average fantasy points surrendered by the remaining opponents on their schedule.

A Fantasy SOS may not be the most important factor in determining which player(s) to add off of the waiver wire or evaluating trade proposals, but it gives you an idea of which players will have the best weekly matchups over the rest of the season.

Five most favorable Fantasy SOS for TEs (Weeks 4-16):

1. Washington Redskins (Jordan Reed): 8.79
2. New York Giants (Larry Donnell, Will Tye): 8.77
3. Philadephia Eagles (Zach Ertz, Brent Celek, Trey Burton): 8.38
4. Arizona Cardinals (Darren Fells): 8.15
T5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Cameron Brate): 7.85
T5. Minnesota Vikings (Kyle Rudolph): 7.85

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 4 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter here.

Five least favorable Fantasy SOS for TEs (Weeks 4-16):

28. Cleveland Browns (Gary Barnidge): 5.46
29. New England Patriots (Rob Gronkowski, Martellus Bennett): 5.36
30. Indianapolis Colts (Dwayne Allen, Jack Doyle): 5.10
31. Miami Dolphins (Jordan Cameron): 4.53
32. Oakland Raiders (Clive Walford): 4.45

View Full 2016 Fantasy Football TE SOS

* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

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2016 Fantasy Football TE Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 4

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 4 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

TE - Zach Miller, Chicago Bears (40 percent)

Scoring a pair of garbage-time touchdowns, Miller finished as fantasy's TE1 in Week 3 with an 8/78/2 stat line against the Cowboys. Miller won't score multiple touchdowns every week, of course, and his Week 3 production was as much as he had in Weeks 1 and 2 combined.

That said, Miller is set up for success in Week 4 with a favorable matchup against the Lions. Through three weeks, no team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing tight ends than the Lions. Miller is an excellent streaming option this week.

NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 4 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 4 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

TE - Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings (41 percent)

Through the first three weeks of the season, only Greg Olsen has scored more fantasy points than Rudolph. In each of his first three games, Rudolph has finished with at least 65 yards and/or a touchdown and he has finished as a top-12 fantasy tight end every week.

Not only is he second behind only Olsen (27) among tight ends in targets (26), but Rudolph has a minimum of eight targets in each game. Even though the Giants have defended tight ends better this season, he gets a favorable matchup in Week 4 and is a strong streaming option.

TE - Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (two percent)

After being targeted four times in each of the team's first two games, Brate was targeted 10 times on Sunday and turned those targets into five catches for 46 yards and two touchdowns. Jameis Winston threw it 58 times on Sunday after throwing 52 pass attempts in Week 2. In other words, it's possible that Brate sees a consistent stream of targets, especially with Austin Seferian-Jenkins recently released following a DUI arrest. That said, his next two matchups aren't great as the Bucs will face the Broncos and Panthers in Weeks 4 and 5, respectively.

TE - Jack Doyle, Indianapolis Colts (10 percent)

With Donte Moncrief sidelined four to six weeks, we should see a higher volume of two-TE sets for the Colts over the next month. Since leading all tight ends in fantasy production in Week 1 with his two-TD performance, Doyle has been targeted five-plus times in the past two games with a total of 10 catches for 102 yards over that two-game span.

TE - Hunter Henry, San Diego Chargers (six percent)

Starting in place of the injured Antonio Gates (hamstring), Henry caught all five of his targets for 76 yards in Sunday's loss to the Colts. Unfortunately, he lost a key fourth-quarter fumble, but he's in a great spot if Gates misses another game. The Chargers will face the Saints and Raiders in Weeks 4 and 5, respectively.

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2016 Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 4

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 4 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

WR - Terrelle Pryor, Cleveland Browns (21 percent)

What didn't Pryor do on Sunday? The converted wide receiver and former quarterback threw for 35 yards, ran for 21 yards and a touchdown to go along with eight catches for 144 yards on 14 targets on Sunday.

With Josh Gordon suspended for one more week and Corey Coleman (hand) out for several more, Pryor will be the focal point of Cleveland's offense in Week 4 against Washington. Pryor has double-digit targets in back-to-back games and 31 through three games.

NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 4 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 4 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

WR - Steve Smith, Baltimore Ravens (39 percent)

In Sunday's win, Smith had eight receptions for 87 yards on 11 targets. Through three weeks, he now has 16 catches for 170 yards on 25 targets. Smith and his fellow Ravens receivers have a favorable matchup in Week 4 against the Raiders, who have allowed the most fantasy points to the position this season.

WR - Quincy Enunwa, New York Jets (34 percent)

Enunwa had only four receptions for 37 yards on Sunday, but he had a team-high 11 targets. Through three games, only Brandon Marshall (27) has more targets than Enunwa (25, 22.12 percent market share). Enunwa leads the Jets in receptions (17) and only Eric Decker (194) has more yards (183). Week 4's matchup (vs. Seattle) isn't great, but Enunwa figures to be a key component of the Jets offense for the entire season.

WR - Cole Beasley, Dallas Cowboys (20 percent)

Beasley should be owned in all PPR leagues as the Cowboys slot receiver has shown great rapport with rookie quarterback Dak Prescott. In his three games, Beasley has a minimum of five catches, six targets, 65 yards and 12.5 PPR points every week. Beasley has the 31st-most fantasy points in PPR formats (43rd-most in standard). The Cowboys face the 49ers in Week 4.

WR - Jamison Crowder, Washington Redskins (15 percent)

Through three weeks, Crowder has 16 catches for 175 yards and two touchdowns on 25 targets. That puts Crowder on a full-season pace of 85.3/933.3/10.7 on 133.3 targets. Of course, the 5-foot-8 Crowder is unlikely to score double-digit touchdowns, but he is tied with Jordy Nelson for the most red-zone targets (eight) through Sunday's games. Crowder currently has the 28th-most fantasy points in standard-scoring leagues (WR24 in PPR).

WR - Robert Woods, Buffalo Bills (one percent)

It's unclear whether Sammy Watkins (foot) will play in Week 4 after being inactive in Week 3. If he's out another week, however, Woods should lead the team's receivers in targets like he did last week. Woods had six catches for 51 yards on eight targets against the Cardinals on Sunday.

WR - Dorial Green-Beckham, Philadelphia Eagles (eight percent)

The Titans were quick to give up on the second-year, second-round receiver, but the Eagles plan to get Green-Beckham more involved in the offense. Coach Doug Pederson recently said, "... we'd love to obviously get him a little more involved from a standpoint of getting more targets thrown in his direction." DGB had just 3/33 on four targets in Week 3, but it wouldn't surprise me if he finishes the rest of the season as a top-50 receiver with upside for much better.

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 4

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some running back waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 4 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

RB - Jordan Howard, Chicago Bears (21 percent)

Navigating the running back injury minefield can be tricky and Jeremy Langford is the latest starter set to miss multiple games. Per ESPN's Adam Schefter, Langford will miss the next four to six weeks with an ankle injury.

With Langford sidelined, Howard is set to take over as the team's lead back. Howard has 12 carries for 67 yards (5.58 yards per carry) and six catches for 58 yards so far this season.

Howard gets a pair of favorable matchups in Weeks 4 and 5 against the Lions and Colts. The Lions have limited opposing running backs to the eighth-fewest fantasy points, but they have allowed opposing running backs to average 5.31 YPC this season. Meanwhile, the Colts have allowed the second-most fantasy points to the position.

NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 4 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 4 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

RB - Darren Sproles, Philadelphia Eagles (39 percent)

Earlier this summer, Philadelphia's current (and San Diego's former) offensive coordinator Frank Reich asked the following question in reference to Sproles: "How can we get this guy the football?" (And then sometimes, this happens.)

Carrying the ball only twice for negative one yard on Sunday, Sproles caught all six of his targets for 128 yards and a touchdown. On pace for close to last year's 55 catches (current pace: 53.3), Sproles is a top-25 running back early this season. (Last year, he finished as the RB25 in PPR.)

RB - Dwayne Washington, Detroit Lions (23 percent)

Washington (10) and Theo Riddick (10) split carries evenly although Riddick added seven receptions on nine targets as well. Considering the Lions were down by as much as 31-3 at one point in the second half, it's natural for Riddick to get a larger share of the workload. In games that are close, I'd still expect Riddick to lead the team's backfield in touches, but I'd expect Washington to get a little more work than he had in Week 3. More importantly, he remains the goal-line back.

RB - Orleans Darkwa, New York Giants (three percent)

With Shane Vereen (torn triceps) placed on IR, Darkwa would get the start if Rashad Jennings (thumb) is unable to go in Week 4. It seemed likely that Jennings would be ready for Week 3 so it's possible that Jennings misses more time. On Sunday, Darkwa had 10 carries for 53 yards and a touchdown in addition to a nine-yard reception on Sunday.

RB - Kenneth Dixon, Baltimore Ravens (12 percent)

With a three-down skill set, Dixon rushed for 1,000-plus yards in three out of four seasons and posted 30-plus catches in back-to-back seasons at Louisiana Tech. Dixon has missed the team's first three games with a knee sprain, but he has the talent to emerge as the team's lead back at some point this season. It's possible that he makes his debut in Week 4. If not, he should be getting close.

RB - Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins (37 percent)

Arian Foster (groin) missed Week 3 and the Dolphins have a short turnaround as they face the Bengals on Thursday Night Football. And it appears likely that Foster will miss at least one more game.

Technically, Kenyan Drake got the start for the Dolphins, but Ajayi scored the game-winning touchdown in overtime. It would be difficult to trust any of Miami's backs, but I expect Ajayi to lead the group in workload and fantasy production.

RB - DeAndre Washington, Oakland Raiders (11 percent)

Through three weeks, it's been a 50/25/25 split between starter Latavius Murray (40 touches) and backups Jalen Richard (20) and Washington (20). On a per-touch basis, Washington has been efficient -- 6.88 YPC and 7.0 Y/R -- and that has led to back-to-back top-36 weekly performances. Unless or until he sees an increase in usage, Washington is worth stashing on your bench.

RB - Cameron Artis-Payne, Carolina Panthers (19 percent)

Fozzy Whittaker deserves to be listed as well, but it was Artis-Payne that led the team in workload (13 touches), as expected, over Whittaker (10) with Jonathan Stewart sidelined. Stewart is expected to miss a couple more weeks, but both CAP and Whittaker are relatively low-upside options.

RB - Terrance West, Baltimore Ravens (21 percent)

The good news is that West has double-digit touches in all three games this season. The bad news is that he has yet to finish as a weekly top-30 fantasy running back. Through three weeks, he has 148 yards from scrimmage on 37 touches and no touchdowns. At some point, I expect Dixon to emerge as the lead guy (as mentioned above) in Baltimore's backfield.

RB - Wendell Smallwood, Philadelphia Eagles (one percent)

With Ryan Mathews (ankle) aggravating an ankle injury in Sunday's win over the Steelers, Smallwood handled nearly half of the running back touches (17, 48.6 percent). Productive in his expanded role on Sunday, Smallwood finished with 79 rushing yards (4.65 YPC) and a touchdown. The team has a Week 4 bye and Mathews appears likely to return in Week 5, but Smallwood should get the largest share of the workload if Mathews misses Week 5 (or any time in the future).

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 4

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 4 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

QB - Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles (19 percent)

Wentz and the Eagles go into their Week 4 bye with a perfect 3-0 record and the games haven't been close (+65 scoring differential). Playing beyond his years, the rookie from North Dakota State has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in two of three weeks and has thrown five touchdowns with no turnovers. In fact, the Eagles are the only team with no turnovers yet this season.

As is typical for a rookie, Wentz is sure to have some ups and downs (eventually), but he has vastly exceeded expectations so far. A strong streaming option in favorable matchups, Wentz gets the Lions out of his bye in Week 5. No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season than the Lions.

NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 4 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 4 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

QB - Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (44 percent)

Tannehill threw for 319 yards and three touchdowns (as well as two interceptions) in Sunday's overtime win over the Browns to finish as the weekly QB10. Tannehill has now finished as a weekly top-10 fantasy quarterback in back-to-back games and would have done so in all three games had Kenny Stills not dropped a wide-open 70-yard touchdown in the opener against the Seahawks. Either way, Tannehill has thrown for 708 yards and five touchdowns (with four interceptions) in his past two games and has scored the eighth-most fantasy points early this season.

Next week's matchup isn't great against the Bengals, but they just allowed Denver's Trevor Siemian to throw for 312 yards and four touchdowns as fantasy's Week 3 QB1. Actually, the Bengals have allowed a total of nine passing touchdowns in their first three games and the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks so far this season.

QB - Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys ( percent)

Completing two-thirds of his pass attempts (66 of 99), Prescott has played efficiently in leading the Cowboys to a one-point loss away from a perfect 3-0 start. Finally throwing his first touchdown of the season in Week 3, Prescott has also rushed in a score in back-to-back weeks. While he uses his mobility primarily to buy more time as a passer, he has the potential to pick up fantasy points with his legs.

Prescott and the Cowboys get a favorable matchup in Week 4 against the 49ers, who have allowed more than 48 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks in their past two games.

QB - Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens (29 percent)

Flacco has had a favorable schedule so far this season but has yet to capitalize on his opportunities as he has finished as the weekly QB23, QB19 and QB21 against the Bills, Browns and Jaguars, respectively. Ranking near the top of the league in pass attempts (118), Flacco has thrown more interceptions (four) than touchdowns (three) in this young season.

With a top-three Week 4 matchup, Flacco faces a Raiders defense that has allowed a league-high 1,020 passing yards through three weeks. While Drees Brees (423 yards and four TDs) and Matt Ryan (396 yards and three TDs) lit them up, they played much better against Marcus Mariota (214 yards, no TDs and two INTs) in Week 3.

QB - Brian Hoyer, Chicago Bears (two percent)

Filling in for an injured Jay Cutler, Hoyer threw for 319 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions in a loss to the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football to finish as fantasy's weekly QB11. Much of that production occurred in garbage time as the Cowboys had a commanding lead for most of the game, but the Bears have a favorable schedule over the next few weeks.

If Cutler misses another game, Hoyer will draw a start against the Lions, who have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks through Week 3. The Bears will then face the Colts, Jaguars and Packers in Weeks 5 to 7.

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September 25, 2016

Week 3 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

So far, so good through two weeks -- 4-2 ATS. With that said, here are my Week 3 NFL picks against the spread:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4 over Los Angeles Rams (3 Units)

This game "features" the past two No. 1 overall picks in the NFL Draft: Jameis Winston (2015) and Jared Goff (2016). Of course, Goff is holding a clipboard for Case Keenum, who has completed 53.8 percent of his pass attempts at 5.7 Y/A with no touchdowns and two interceptions.

Even though they have scored a league-low nine points (all field goals), the Rams are 1-1 (appropriate for a Jeff Fisher-coached team). Despite the immense physical talent of running back Todd Gurley, he has managed only 98 rushing yards (2.72 YPC) on 36 carries through two weeks.

Gurley has talked about how it feels like he's facing 12 defenders and things may not get much better this week. The Bucs have limited opposing running backs to 2.98 YPC, fourth-lowest in the NFL, through Week 2.

I like the Bucs to bottle up Gurley once again and I trust Winston much more than I trust Keenum to make plays in the passing game. The Bucs open up their home schedule in bounce-back fashion.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 3 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

Pittsburgh Steelers -4 over Philadelphia Eagles (2 Units)

Like the saying goes, you can only play/beat the teams on your schedule and the Eagles have done that. That said, their first two wins have come against the Browns and Bears, two of the bottom-three teams in my Week 3 NFL Power Rankings. In other words, they will get a real test this week against the Steelers.

Even without Le'Veon Bell, the Steelers have had plenty of success running the ball as 33-year-old DeAngelo Williams leads the NFL in rushing through Week 2. The Steelers have one of the better run defenses in the league and they will force Carson Wentz to beat them. The rookie has played incredibly well with no turnovers, but he faces his toughest test in his young career today.

Jacksonville Jaguars +2 over Baltimore Ravens (1 Unit)

All that hype. All those expectations. A team on the rise? It certainly hasn't looked that way so far as the Jags were pummeled into submission last week by Philip Rivers and the Chargers. As they return home and try to right the ship, they will host the 2-0 Ravens. This is more of a hunch call than anything, but I think the Jags play better football in Week 3 and get their first W.

The Ravens overcame a 20-0 first-half deficit against the Browns last week. Granted, they scored 25 unanswered points and won. But 20 first-half points to the Browns?! Maybe Blake Bortles and the Jaguars will score some points before garbage time this week.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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Week 3 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Travis Benjamin is listed below as a "start" for Week 3. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 3 with him as one of my starting wide receivers.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Julio Jones, Amari Cooper and Benjamin (and could only start two receivers), you should start Jones and Cooper -- and in turn, bench Benjamin.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 3:

WR - Jarvis Landry, Miami Dolphins (vs. CLE)

With double-digit targets in each of the team's first two games, Landry has a total of 17 catches for 196 yards going into Week 3. Not only do the Dolphins have one of the highest implied point totals this week, but he gets a favorable matchup against the Browns. So far, Cleveland has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.

Editor's note: NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 3 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 3 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

WR - Eric Decker, New York Jets (at KC)

Brandon Marshall may be on a snap count so it could lead to a few more targets for Decker this week. Either way, Decker has been incredibly consistent. Extending his touchdown streak to six games, Decker led the Jets in receiving with 6/126/1 last week. Decker has now scored a touchdown in 15 of his past 18 games. In addition, he has 80-plus yards and/or a touchdown in 18 consecutive games.

WR - Travis Benjamin, San Diego Chargers (at IND)

Given the season-ending ACL injury to Keenan Allen, the Chargers will rely on Benjamin as their No. 1 receiver. In addition, Danny Woodhead, who led RBs in receptions last year, is out for the season and Antonio Gates (hamstring) is doubtful for Week 3. Especially if Vontae Davis (questionable) sits once again in Week 3, Benjamin has plenty of upside. Only the Saints/Falcons have a higher over/under this week than the Chargers/Colts. Catching all six of his targets, Benjamin had 115 yards and two touchdowns in Week 2 against the Jags.

WR - Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions (at GB)

With Golden Tate and Jones described as 1(a) and 1(b) options, Jones is clearly the 1(a) out of the duo with 12 catches on 21 targets for 203 yards, all of which are team highs, and a touchdown. Averaging 16.9 Y/R, Jones has at least 85 yards in each game this season. The Packers have a number of key defensive players ruled out for Week 3 including cornerback Sam Shields (concussion).

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 3:

WR - Golden Tate, Detroit Lions (at GB)

Even though Jones has more targets, the good news is that Tate has a total of 16 targets (20.25 percent target share) through two games. The bad news is that Tate has turned those targets into only 54 yards on nine catches. Averaging just 6.0 Y/R, Tate's long reception so far is only 11 yards. Tate is more of a WR3/flex than a must-start WR2.

WR - Emmanuel Sanders, Denver Broncos (at CIN)

Sanders has exactly eight targets in each of his first two games, but Sanders has finished as the WR60 (or worse) with 5/49 and 3/39 lines. The Bengals have limited opposing receivers to the 12th-fewest fantasy points early this season. One of eight teams projected to score less than 20 points this week based on Vegas odds, things may not be much better for Sanders this week.

WR - Kevin White, Chicago Bears (at DAL)

Like Sanders, White has finished as the WR60+ in both of his first two games. With a total of 13 targets in those games, White had 3/34 against Houston and 4/36 against Philadephia. With a rare skill set that made him a top-seven draft pick in the 2015 NFL Draft, White has all of the physical tools to one day develop into a dominant (real and fantasy) receiver. For now, however, he should remain on your bench.

WR - John Brown, Arizona Cardinals (at BUF)

Finishing with 1,003 yards in his second NFL season (2015), Brown has played less than half of the team's offensive snaps (49.6 percent) through the first two weeks of the 2016 season. Targeted a total of seven times, Brown has only one catch in each game. Until Brown's role and snaps increases, I'd take a wait-and-see approach with him and keep him on the bench.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 3

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Week 3 Fantasy Football: Running Backs Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Charles Sims is listed below as a "start" for Week 3. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 3 with him as one of my starting running backs.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned C.J. Anderson, Matt Forte and Sims, you should start CJA and Forte -- and in turn, bench Sims.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 3:

RB - Melvin Gordon, San Diego Chargers (at IND)

His rookie season was a year to forget as Gordon averaged a pedestrian 3.48 yards per carry with zero touchdowns on 217 touches. Things are off to a much better start for the sophomore back. Rushing for a career-high 102 yards last week, MG3 scored his third touchdown of this young season. Finishing as a top-10 fantasy running back in both games, Gordon has scored the fourth-most fantasy points among running backs through Week 2.

With Danny Woodhead (ACL) out for the season, MG3 had a total of 27 touches in Sunday's rout of the Jaguars. Given the team's injuries on offense, Gordon should be a lock for a massive workload each and every week. Two weeks into the season, the Colts have already allowed a trio of top-10 fantasy running backs and no team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing running backs.

- Related: Gordon is my Favorite Play on DraftKings in Week 3

RB - Frank Gore, Indianapolis Colts (vs. SD)

The other running back in this game has upside as an RB2 this week as well. With the 20th-most fantasy points through two weeks, Gore is averaging only 3.81 YPC but he has at least 16 touches in each game. Only seven teams allow more fantasy points to the position this season than the Chargers, who allowed the fourth-most to opposing running backs last season. As home favorites, Gore and the Colts are projected to score the third-most points this week based on Vegas odds.

Editor's note: NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 3 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 3 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

RB - Charles Sims, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. LA)

As a change-of-pace option to Doug Martin last season, Sims finished as fantasy's RB22 (RB17 in PPR) in 2015. With Martin (hamstring) out this week (and expected to miss a few games), Sims will lead the backfield in usage over the next few weeks. Among running backs that ranked inside the top-40 running backs last season, no running back averaged more yards per touch (6.90) than Sims. Favored by 5.5 points at home against the low-powered Rams, Sims could benefit from positive game flow, but his receiving prowess should keep him on the field regardless of the score.

RB - DeMarco Murray, Tennessee Titans (vs. OAK)

Through two weeks, Murray has the eighth-most fantasy points (RB4 in PPR) with 222 yards from scrimmage, an RB-high (tied with T.J. Yeldon) 12 receptions and two touchdowns. While their pass defense has been lit up by Drew Brees and Matt Ryan, the Titans will likely rely on a ground-and-pound game plan with Murray and rookie Derrick Henry and should have plenty of success. Allowing an average of 517.5 yards and 34.5 points per game, the Raiders have allowed 4.40 YPC (eighth-most) to opposing running backs so far this season.

RB - Christine Michael, Seattle Seahawks (vs. SF)

Through two weeks, Michael has 25 carries for 126 yards (5.04 YPC) and five receptions for 31 yards. With Thomas Rawls out this week, the Seahawks will rely on Michael as their lead back. Nearly double-digit favorites, positive game flow should lead to a heavy workload (and perhaps multiple scoring opportunties) for C-Mike. Coach Pete Carroll said (via the Seattle Times): "He’s had 20-something carries so far. He’s ready to carry the ball 20-something times in a game. He could be fine with that."

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 3:

RB - Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings (at CAR)

The Star Tribune's Matt Vensel has projected that McKinnon could handle the "65" part of a 65/35 split with Matt Asiata in Adrian Peterson's absence. Most of McKinnon's yardage will likely come between the 20's, however, as the team seems to trust Asiata more in the red zone. In fact, Asiata has a league-high three games with three-plus rushing scores since 2013. While I'd prefer not to use McKinnon or Asiata as my RB2, both are in the flex mix for me.

RB - T.J. Yeldon, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. BAL)

The good news is that Yeldon had a total of 40 touches in Weeks 1 and 2 as Chris Ivory was a scratch. The bad news for Yeldon fantasy owners is that he generated an inefficient 107 YFS on those touches -- 21/39 rushing (1.86 YPC) in Week 1 and 8/10 receiving (1.25 Y/R) in Week 2. Due to his passing-game volume, Yeldon finished as the RB18 in PPR last week despite finishing as the RB46 in standard-scoring formats. With Ivory due to make his Jacksonville debut this week, Yeldon (and Ivory) should remain on your bench.

RB - Carlos Hyde, San Francisco 49ers (at SEA)

Productive in the opener, Hyde had 25 touches and scored two touchdowns as he finished as fantasy's RB5, but he managed only 3.83 YPC in Week 1. Even less efficient in Week 2 against the Panthers, Hyde averaged just 2.43 YPC and he also lost a fumble.

Things won't get any easier in Week 3 as the 49ers head north to Seattle. Only the Packers (1.84) and Vikings (2.65) have allowed fewer yards per carry to opposing running backs than the Seahawks (2.86) this season.

Facing a tough Seahawks defense, no team is projected to score fewer points than the 49ers this week based on Vegas odds. Nearly double-digit underdogs, game flow could limit Hyde's opportunities if the 49ers get down early, as expected.

RB - Matt Jones, Washington Redskins (at NYG)

Jones had 13 carries for 61 yards and a touchdown last week against Dallas as he scored the 14th-most fantasy points among running backs in Week 2. That said, the matchup isn't great for Jones in Week 3 as a road underdog against a revamped Giants defense. Not only have the Giants allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs, but they have allowed only 3.18 YPC to opposing backs as well.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 3

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Week 3 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Ryan Tannehill is listed below as a "start" for Week 3. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 3 with him as my starting quarterback.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Drew Brees and Tannehill, you should start Brees -- and in turn, bench Tannehill.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

With that said, here are some players to potentially start in Week 3:

QB - Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons (at NO)

Through the first two weeks of the 2016 NFL season, no quarterback has scored more fantasy points than Ryan (52.2). Throwing for a total of 730 yards and five touchdowns, Ryan has finished as the weekly QB6 and QB2, respectively.

Aside from his career 5-10 record against the Saints, Ryan has played well against the Saints. In the previous 10 games (over five seasons), Ryan has averaged 329.5 passing yards with 17 touchdowns and only four interceptions against the Saints. In addition, he has thrown for less than 290 yards only once over that 10-game (five-year) span.

Granted, I was low (perhaps too low) on Ryan entering the season, but he's a top-five play at the position for me in Week 3.

Editor's note: NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 3 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 3 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

QB - Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans (vs. OAK)

Starting your quarterback against the Raiders has been a profitable strategy so far this season. Through two weeks, no team has allowed more fantasy points per game than Oakland. One week after Drew Brees lit them up for 423 yards and four scores, Ryan threw for 396 yards and three touchdowns against them.

While I don't expect that type of production through the air from Mariota, the favorable matchup puts him inside of my top-12 quarterbacks for the week. Through two weeks, Mariota has thrown for 509 yards and four touchdowns and added 30 rushing yards.

QB - Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (vs. CLE)

The NFL schedule makers did not do the Dolphins any favors by scheduling the Seahawks and Patriots on the road to start the season. But things get easier, much easier, in Week 3 as Miami makes their home debut against the Browns.

Double-digit favorites, the Dolphins have an implied point total of 25.75 based on Vegas odds; only three teams (Saints, Packers and Colts) have a higher total for Week 3. In two games, the Browns have allowed a total of 580 passing yards and four passing touchdowns.

Through two weeks, Tannehill is the QB11 and he would have been much higher on his list if Kenny Stills did not drop a wide-open 70-yard touchdown pass against the Seahawks in Week 1. Even though much of last week's production occurred in garbage time, Tannehill finished as Week 2's QB7 in fantasy and that's my ranking for him this week as well.

- Related: Tannehill was the QB in our DraftKings tournament "drafted" lineup

QB - Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. BAL)

We saw some garbage-time Jags and Bortles last week as they were blown out in San Diego and didn't score any points until the fourth quarter. There was plenty of optimism about the Jaguars heading into the season, but they have been a major disappointment thus far. (No team has a worse scoring differential and they are 31st in my NFL Power Rankings.)

Tied for the league lead in pass attempts (89) through Week 2, Bortles has thrown for 320-plus yards in each of his first two games. On paper, the Ravens have a stingy pass defense -- fourth-fewest fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks -- but that was against the Bills and Browns. Josh McCown showed in the first half how vulnerable Baltimore's secondary can be.

Even though Bortles has finished as the QB19 and QB15 in each of his first two games, respectively, I expect him to finish as a top-10 perfomer in Week 3 as the offense starts to get on track.

Here are some players to potentially sit in Week 3:

QB - Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals (vs. DEN)

With a league-high 732 passing yards through Week 2, Dalton has thrown exactly 366 yards in each of his first two games. Holding Cam Newton (194) and Andrew Luck (197) to less than 200 passing yards in Weeks 1 and 2, respectively, the Broncos will provide Dalton with a stiffer challenge in Week 3. Despite passing volume, Dalton has managed to throw only one touchdown per game. Even though the Bengals are favored by 3.5 points on Sunday, they are still projected to be one of the bottom-half scoring offenses in Week 3.

QB - Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills (at ARI)

Shortly after Taylor threw for 297 yards and three touchdowns as the Bills put up 31 yards, the Bills fired offensive coordinator Greg Roman. While a tweet from Sammy Watkins (foot) on Saturday night suggested he may give it a go, ESPN's Adam Schefter has reported that Watkins will sit on Sunday. Through two weeks, the Cardinals have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and intercepted Jameis Winston four times last week.

QB - Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins (at NYG)

In back-to-back losses to the Steelers and Cowboys, Cousins has thrown the ball a total of 89 times for 693 yards, but he has only one touchdown to three interceptions. Spending heavily on the defensive side of the ball in free agency, the Giants have limited opposing quarterbacks to the sixth-fewest fantasy points through the first two weeks of the season.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 3

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September 24, 2016

Week 3 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Yanotchko)

Here are my Week 3 NFL picks against the spread:

New York Giants -3 over Washington Redskins (4 Units)

The Giants are certainly one of the league's most-improved teams, and as well as they have played, you can certainly state the opposite for Washington as they have been one of the league's most disappointing teams. For all the big money spent to acquire cornerback Josh Norman, Washington has certainly not reaped the rewards as they give up 284 yards passing per game, and a 73-percent completion rate to opposing quarterbacks.

The Giants are certainly going to be able to exploit that weak passing defense with their vertical passing offense led by Odell Beckham and Sterling Shepard. The Giants also spent a lot of bucks on the defensive side of the ball, and so far their rush defense has been exceptional only giving up 3.3 yards per carry and 71 yards per game. I like the Giants here, and they will run their record to 3-0.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 3 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

Philadelphia Eagles +4 over Pittsburgh Steelers (3 Units)

I really don't think that the Eagles are totally for real, after all they have only played the Bears and the Browns, but something about this game just strikes me as funny. As interesting as Carson Wentz has been for the first two weeks, one unit that is not getting nearly enough run is the Eagles defense, which has held opposing QBs to 194 yards passing per game, and they have collected six sacks.

I know Pittsburgh is one of the elite teams of the league, but they have been pretty dreadful in passing defense so far this year. The Steelers have allowed 348 yards passing per game, and they are really struggling to get to the quarterback, as they have only collected one sack. I think Pittsburgh gets the win here, but that passing defense leaves too much to be desired, so I am certainly taking the Eagles with the points at home.

Minnesota Vikings +7 over Carolina Panthers (3 Units)

Here is another game that strikes me weird, and I am sure it has been fairly influenced by the Vikings All World running back Adrian Peterson's knee injury. That being said, the Vikings offense absolutely lit up a very competent Packers defense last week, and now Sam Bradford and Stefon Diggs are everyone's Week 2 darlings. The Panthers have been an odd team this year, as they had a very tough game in Denver, and also they let the 49ers hang around for quite some time last week.

The one thing that is overlooked is the Vikings defense, as they have only allowed 216 yards passing per game this year, they have collected seven sacks, and by the way the rushing defense is even better, only giving up 3.3 yards per carry and 73.5 yards per game. The VIkings defense will absolutely be able to keep this one close, and yes, Minnesota was a playoff team last year that was a easy field goal miss away from beating Seattle, give me the 7.

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Week 3 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Beazley)

Here are my Week 3 NFL picks against the spread:

Jacksonville Jaguars +1 over Baltimore Ravens (3 Units)

I like the Jags to get in the win column this week and beat the overrated Ravens at home. The Ravens will not have an answer for Allen Robinson and the Jags passing attack. Jags win, 30-17.

Editor's note: DraftKings is running a FREE Week 3 contest with $100,000 in prizes (including $10,000 to 1st) and is FREE to enter. Enter here for free.

Tennessee Titans vs. Oakland Raiders, Under 47 (2 Units)

The Raiders defense has been shredded the past two weeks, but the Titans do not have the firepower that New Orleans or Atlanta had. Delanie Walker is questionable for the game with a hamstring injury and it wouldn't surprise me to see him sit out. (He missed practice Friday.) I think the Titans will go ground and pound just like they did versus the Raiders during the preseason. Titans 20, Raiders 19.

Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 over Philadelphia Eagles (5 Units)

I’d go 10 units here if I could. I like this game as much as I liked the Carolina game last week. The Eagles have beat the Browns and the Bears. Pittsburgh is clearly the better team and I expect them to win big. Steelers 38, Eagles 17.

Chicago Bears +7 over Dallas Cowboys (4 Units)

No Jay Cutler, no defense, no win right? This is the NFL baby, and I think the Bears come to play for backup QB Brian Hoyer and shock the world and beat the Cowboys! Bears 23, Cowboys 20.

[Editor's note: "Shock the world." LOL]

Indianapolis Colts -1.5 over San Diego Chargers (4 Units), Over 51.0 (4 Units)

One more time on Andrew Luck and the Colts. I am a glutton for punishment I guess. This game should be a shootout as both teams have no defense. This is one to stack in DFS. Colts 44, Chargers 31.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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September 23, 2016

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Tournament "Draft" for Week 3

Sean Beazley and I collaborated recently on putting together a tournament lineup for DraftKings main slate (Sunday games only) of Week 3 games.

Essentially, it was a draft with each of us alternating picks for the lineup. Sean had the first and odd-numbered picks; I had the second and even-numbered picks.

Below we will include analysis of each pick, but here is how the final roster shaped up:

QB - Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (vs. CLE), $6,200
RB - Melvin Gordon, San Diego Chargers (at IND), $5,800
RB - Matt Asiata, Minnesota Vikings (at CAR), $3,000
WR - Allen Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. BAL), $7,500
WR - Jarvis Landry, Miami Dolphins (vs. CLE), $6,600
WR - Phillip Dorsett, Indianapolis Colts (vs. SD), $4,400
TE - Jordan Reed, Washington Redskins (at NYG), $6,500
FLEX - Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys (vs. CHI), $6,900
DST - Green Bay Packers (vs. DET), $3,000

Below are the players in the order they were "drafted" (with comments by both of us):

1. Sean - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars, $7,500: I wrote up Robinson as my favorite DK play this week. I absolutely love him in this matchup vs. Baltimore. Jason Verrett and the San Diego secondary shut down Robinson last week so giving recency bias I am hoping Robinson gets overlooked this week. I am projecting Robinson to be the No. 1 WR this week in fantasy. I think a line of 8-140-2 is definitely attainable.

Comments by Kevin: It's been a slow start for Robinson (nine catches for 126 yards), but he has 20 targets through two games and a more favorable matchup in Week 3. One of the most talented young receivers in the NFL, I expect bigger and better things from A-Rob both this week and the rest of the season. With lots of upside, his ownership levels should be relatively low due to his slow start. I like this pick.

NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 3 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 3 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

2. Kevin - Ryan Tannehill, QB, Miami Dolphins, $6,200: Projected to score the fifth-most points (tied) based on Vegas odds, the Dolphins enter Week 3 as the biggest favorites of the week. Through two weeks, the Browns have allowed 580 passing yards and four touchdowns to rookie Carson Wentz and Joe Flacco. DeVante Parker (hamstring) was limited in yesterday's practice, but he had a strong debut (8/106) last week. The trio of Jarvis Landry, Parker and Kenny Stills should give the Browns secondary fits.

Comments by Sean: Tannehill and Dolphins stacks this week will not be sneaky. That being said, most multi-entry GPP players pick a core group of players and rotate in different QB/WR stacks. Ownership will never be too high on a QB. Tannehill has a great matchup vs. the Browns this week. Tannehill also has the ability to rush one in, which is huge. I think Tannehill should pay off this price tag.

3. Sean - Jarvis Landry, WR, Miami Dolphins, $6,600: Landry is the safe WR to stack with Tannehill, but safe doesn't necessarily rule out a good GPP play. Landry should be targeted heavily as Arian Foster will miss this week's game. Jay Ajayi and Kenyan Drake are not backs I would trust to move the chains even in a potential blowout. I think a 10/120/1 game is quite possible this week for Landry.

Comments by Kevin: In a full-PPR format like DraftKings, I'm fine with Landry here as the option to pair with Tannehill. Landry has double-digit targets in both games and a total of 17 catches through two weeks. With Arian Foster expected to miss this week's game, the Dolphins could end up using the short passing game with Landry to substitute for some of their running game.

4. Kevin - Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers, $5,800: With Danny Woodhead out for the year, the Chargers will rely heavily on Gordon (like they did last week). MG3 had a 24/102/1 rushing line last week and has a total of three scores through two weeks. In a favorable matchup against the Colts, who have allowed the most PPR fantasy points to opposing running backs, MG3 should get 20-plus touches and easily exceed value on his $5,800 salary.

Comments by Sean: Gordon is the mega chalk at RB this week facing the Colts, who just bleed yardage and points. The only thing that could worry me here is if the Colts get up big early. We could see the Chargers abandon the ground game. Given his salary and opportunity, Gordon should produce enough to pay off. I will have a lot of shares of Gordon on Sunday.

5. Sean - Phillip Dorsett, WR, Indianapolis Colts, $4,400: This game has the highest total of the slate and without Donte Moncrief this week, Dorsett’s targets should increase. T.Y. Hilton plays about 60 percent of his snaps from the slot, which could result in more Jason Verrett coverage for Dorsett, but I’m willing to take the gamble here. I will be targeting both wideouts heavily this week. The Colts defense cannot stop anyone, so I expect Andrew Luck to throw the ball 40-plus times.

Comments by Kevin: With Donte Moncrief (shoulder) out for a month-plus, Dorsett will start in two-receiver sets opposite T.Y. Hilton. At only $4,400, the speedy second-year receiver always has the potential for a big play or two and should be more involved overall.

6. Kevin - Matt Asiata, RB, Minnesota Vikings, $3,000: As weird as it feels to pick Asiata, I think the potential reward is big. The matchup isn't great and there are a lot of other cheap RBs this week including Asiata's teammate. I think his ownership level should be fairly low despite the bargain-basement price tag. Given that the Vikings trust him at the goal line and in pass protection, there could be opportunities for a score (or three) and some receptions. From 2013 to 2016, the leader in games with three rushing TDs is ... you guessed it ... Asiata (three such games). All three of those games came in an 11-game span overlapping the 2013 and 2014 seasons.

Comments by Sean: Matt YOLO Asiata! We know what the negative factors are here with this play. (Matchup, less workload than Jerick McKinnon). The positive play is that this is the perfect pivot off McKinnon. It worked great last week if you faded the chalk, Danny Woodhead, for MG3. Also, I expect the ownership to be high on Stefon Diggs as well since his salary was released before the monster game on Monday night. Asiata should get all the goal-line carries as well. He could be very sneaky this week. I'm on board for $3K.

7. Sean - Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins, $6,500: My final pick was Jordan Reed. Paying up at a position most people pay down at is optimal GPP strategy. The Giants defense is one of the worst defenses vs. the TE. The Redskins are 0-2, so I think they go back to what got them to the playoffs last year; a heavy dose of Reed. Reed will be the No. 1 TE in fantasy this week.

Comments by Kevin: It's been a somewhat slow start for Reed, but he has 18 targets and 12 catches through two games. Reed is tied for the positional lead in both categories. In two games against the Giants last year, Reed had 14 catches for 194 yards on 18 targets. There is plenty of upside here.

8. Kevin - Ezekiel Elliott, RB/Flex, Dallas Cowboys, $6,900: Things haven't gone as well as most had hoped so far with Elliott, who has a total of 139 yards on 44 touches. Favored by a touchdown at home in a favorable matchup against the Bears, however, Elliott should get another hefty workload (assuming he holds onto the ball) with the potential for some goal-line opportunities.

Comments by Sean: Zeke has scored in both of his first two NFL games this year, but hasn’t looked great in either game. Perhaps wearing a full jersey is what is slowing him down this year. He is only averaging 3.3 YPC behind arguably the best O-line in football. I’m not high on Elliott this week, but game script looks good here with the Cowboys being a 7.5-point favorite. Paying up for RB this week is contrarian as well as most will spend down for the injury replacements.

9. Kevin - Green Bay Packers DST, $3,000: With the Packers and Dolphins priced the same ($3,000), the majority of owners will choose Miami in this spot. So, Green Bay's defense should be very low-owned.

Comments by Sean: The Dolphins are going to be the highest-owned defense of the week, and it's probably not even going to be close. A pivot here to Green Bay could make or break this GPP lineup as I would imagine if you are stuck on this price point, 99 percent of the players will take Miami.

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September 21, 2016

DFS Round Table: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 3

Every week of the 2016 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 3?

Sean Beazley: Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. BAL), $7,500

There is a ton of value this week giving the plethora of injuries this past week. Getting one of your top-end options correct is going to be very important this week. One of those players I really like is the Jaguars receiver Allen Robinson at $7,500.

When you look for WRs, looking at targets is probably one of the most important factors. A-Rob has 20 targets in his first two games and leads the team. Robinson was shut down last week by Jason Verrett, who I think is a top-three CB in the league, so his ownership should be lower than normal.

The matchup is great vs. the Ravens despite the Ravens giving up the least amount of passing yards in the NFL this season. I hope the casual DFS player overlooks the fact that the Ravens first two games were versus Tyrod Taylor and Josh McCown. My bold call is that Robinson is the No. 1 WR this week in DFS. Get him in your lineups.

NFL $1.25M Play-Action Contest: DraftKings is running a $3 Week 3 contest with $50,000 paid to 1st place and is FREE for new depositors. Enter the Week 3 $1.25M Play-Action Contest.

Kevin Hanson: Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers (at IND), $5,800

Talent? Check. Heavy workload? Check. Favorable matchup? Check. What's not to like about Gordon this week? The 13th-most expensive running back this week, MG3 offers his owners plenty of value this week. Through two weeks, Gordon has three touchdowns after failing to score any as a rookie, and he had 27 touches in Sunday's win over Jacksonville. MG3 should be one of the staples of your cash-game lineups and he has some upside for GPPs as well.

Brendan Donahue: Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers (at IND), $5,800

Even though the Chargers added Dexter Mccluster this week, I don't see him stealing too many snaps from Gordon. With Gordon getting the bulk of the work against the defense that's currently allowing the most points per game to opposing RBs, Gordon has a great chance to surpass last week's performance that returned 24 points for his owners.

John Trifone: Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers (at IND), $5,800

The Chargers continue to offer value through injuries. It's early in the week and several RB injuries this past weekend are likely to open up some great cheap options, but at this point, Melvin Gordon already looks like one of the better plays. He's averaging over 20 DK points through two games, and with Danny Woodhead's injury, Gordon should get even more usage.

He had 24 carries for over 100 rushing yards, and has another great matchup with Indianapolis coming up. Gordon has looked more like the guy that San Diego thought he would be when they drafted him, and he should get plenty of opportunities to continue that trend.

Dan Yanotchko: Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals (at BUF), $6,900

I really like Larry Fitzgerald of the Cardinals this week, as he's turned back the clock to 2009 and he gets to play the Bills. Fitzgerald has 168 yards receiving on 14 receptions on 22 targets and three touchdowns. The Bills have given up 295 yards passing per game and just look woeful in the secondary after letting Ryan Fitzpatrick carve them up.

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September 20, 2016

2016 Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 3

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 3 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

WR - Tyrell Williams, San Diego Chargers (49 percent)

As the team's No. 3 receiver entering the season, the 6-foot-3 speedster had some sleeper appeal. With Keenan Allen lost for the season in the opener, however, it has immediately opened up opportunities for the rest of the team's pass-catchers including Williams.

With a commanding lead (21-0 at the half and 35-0 after three quarters), the Chargers threw the ball only 25 times on Sunday. Tied with Travis Benjamin, Williams was targeted a team-high six times in the win. Williams turned those targets into three catches for 61 yards, which included an impressive 44-yard touchdown.

Williams and the Chargers receivers have a phenomenal three-game schedule upcoming with the Colts, Saints and Raiders in Weeks 3 through 5.

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WR - Phillip Dorsett, Indianapolis Colts (42 percent)

How much time Donte Moncrief (shoulder) will miss is unclear? But it seems that he will miss some time even though he hasn't officially been ruled out for Week 3 yet.

With Moncrief expected to miss time, Dorsett will move into the No. 2 receiver role behind T.Y. Hilton. The second-year speedster has played 83.6 percent of the team's offensive snaps in Week 2 after playing 72.9 percent in Week 1. Dorsett converted only one-of-five targets for 30 yards against Denver on Sunday.

The next few matchups are favorable. Not only do I expect Jason Verrett to shadow Hilton this week, but the Colts face the Jaguars and Bears in Weeks 4 and 5.

WR - Quincy Enunwa, New York Jets ( percent)

Once again, Enunwa had at least six catches. Once again, Enunwa appears on my receiver waiver-wire list.

Different than Week 1, however, the team's dynamic duo of Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker both exceeded the 100-yard mark as well in Week 2. Through two games, Enunwa has a total line of 13/142/1 on 14 targets.

WR - Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints (48 percent)

Through two weeks, Thomas has had two solid games: 6/58 and 4/56. Playing in a Drew Brees offense with a bad defense, it wouldn't surprise me if Thomas approaches 900 receiving yards on the season. (Based on his average through two games, Thomas is on pace for 80/912/0.)

WR - Victor Cruz, New York Giants (37 percent)

With the Giants often using three-WR sets, the trio of Odell Beckham, Sterling Shepard and Cruz have all played greater than 90 percent of the team's offensive snaps. Given the durability concerns entering the season as he returned from his patellar tendon injury in 2014, Cruz has looked healthy. Cruz has a total of eight catches (on 12 targets) for 125 yards and a touchdown through two games.

WR - Cole Beasley, Dallas Cowboys (10 percent)

Beasley is worth an add in PPR formats. Through two weeks, the slot receiver has 13 catches for 140 yards on 18 targets. Beasley's 18 targets is tied with Jason Witten for a team high. The Cowboys get a favorable matchup in Week 3 against the Bears.

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2016 Fantasy Football RB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 3

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 3 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

RB - Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings (24 percent)

Adrian Peterson left Sunday night's game with a knee injury that has been diagnosed as a torn meniscus. While it could have been worse, Peterson is likely to miss a few games with the injury.

In his absence, it will be Jerick McKinnon and Matt Asiata that handle the workload. Matt Vensel of the Minneapolis Star Tribune projects a "65/35 split" in favor of McKinnon with Asiata getting the valuable goal-line opportunities assuming AP misses time.

On 168 career rushing attempts, McKinnon has averaged 4.9 yards per carry. The upcoming matchups aren't great as the Vikings face the Panthers, Giants and Texans over the next three weeks.

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RB - Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins (27 percent)

A healthy scratch in Week 1, Ajayi had five carries for 14 yards in Week 2 as Arian Foster left Sunday's game early with a groin injury. It appears likely that Foster will miss Miami's Week 3 favorable matchup against Cleveland, but usage for Ajayi may be more committee-like even with Foster sidelined. Given Foster's durability track record, however, Ajayi deserves to be owned in all leagues.

RB - Cameron Artis-Payne, Carolina Panthers (percent)

Artis-Payne has been a healthy scratch in each of the past two games, but he appears to be the favorite for touches (based on coach Ron Rivera's comments) assuming that Jonathan Stewart (hamstring) misses time.

"I've got a tremendous amount of faith in who CAP can be for us, and in knowing that you've got a good change-of-pace guy in Fozzy and a guy who can play situational football for you in Mike Tolbert," Rivera said. "CAP is a stout inside runner who runs the ball very well and has good vision. He makes good cuts, but he more plants the leg and drives straight ahead. Fozzy is more nifty, a little better lateral movement as you saw when he got outside, though he also ran inside a couple of times."

RB - Kenneth Dixon, Baltimore Ravens (eight percent)

With a three-down skill set, Dixon rushed for 1,000-plus yards in three out of four seasons and posted 30-plus catches in back-to-back seasons at Louisiana Tech. Dixon sustained a left knee sprain in Baltimore's third preseason game so he may still miss a few more games.

Javorius Allen has been a healthy scratch and neither Justin Forsett or Terrance West has lit the world on fire in the first two games. SI's Peter King wrote before the season that he wouldn't be surprised if Dixon (knee) is the starter by the middle of the October.

(Me either.)

RB - Terrance West, Baltimore Ravens (26 percent)

It's been a nearly even split between West (23/74, 3.2 YPC) and Justin Forsett (24/78, 3.3 YPC) through two weeks, but neither back has been all that inspiring. West has added three catches for 21 yards as well. With a couple of favorable matchups upcoming against Jacksonville, Oakland and Washington, West (and Forsett) could enter the flex discussion especially until Dixon is able to make his debut.

RB - Matt Asiata, Minnesota Vikings (two percent)

As noted above, Asiata is the favorite for goal-line opportunities for as long as Peterson is sidelined. Even though he has never averaged four yards per carry in a season, Asiata scored double-digit touchdowns -- nine rushing and one receiving -- in 2014 when Peterson was suspended for 15 games.

RB - Dwayne Washington, Detroit Lions (one percent)

With Ameer Abdullah exiting Sunday's loss with a foot injury and scheduled to see a specialist today, Washington appears to see an expanded workload in the near future. In addition, Washington will continue to get the important goal-line touches.

RB - Fozzy Whittaker, Carolina Panthers (three percent)

With Stewart leaving Sunday's win early, Whittaker carried the ball 16 times for 100 yards and added three catches for 31 yards as well. Based on comments from Rivera (see above), however, the Panthers expect Whittaker to stay in a change-of-pace role (behind CAP).

RB - Shane Vereen, New York Giants (19 percent)

Rashad Jennings (hand) played less than half of the team's snaps last week and Vereen had more touches (17) than Jennings (14) in Week 2. Through two weeks, Vereen has a total of 127 yards from scrimmage on 20 carries and six receptions. Jennings should be ready to go in Week 3, but he has long had a shaky durability history.

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2016 Fantasy Football QB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 3

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short- and/or long-term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire.

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 3 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

QB - Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (28 percent)

Nearly overcoming a large deficit, Tannehill finished with 389 yards on 32-of-45 passing with two touchdowns and two interceptions on Sunday. In addition, he added 35 rushing yards on six carries. Granted, (almost) all of that production was in garbage time, but there are a couple of reasons to be optimistic.

Not only did Jarvis Landry exceed the 100-yard mark, but DeVante Parker made his season debut on Sunday and the second-year receiver finished with eight catches for 106 yards. Tannehill has finished as the weekly QB17 and QB7 in his first two games, respectively, and was a Kenny Stills dropped 70-yard touchdown in Week 1 away from a pair of top-10 outings.

And after a pair of road games against the Seahawks and Patriots, Tannehill gets a more favorable matchup in Week 3 as the Dolphins host the Browns. The Browns have given up 25-plus points and multiple passing touchdowns in each of their past two games.

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QB - Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens (29 percent)

It was far from an efficient outing (25-of-45 passing and two interceptions), but Flacco led the Ravens to a come-from-behind win over the Browns as he threw for 302 yards and two touchdowns. And while I expected more fantasy production in a favorable Week 2 matchup, Flacco has a pair of top-five matchups coming up in Weeks 3 and 4.

The Ravens visit the Jags in Week 3 and host the Raiders in Week 4. Not only have the Raiders allowed at least 396 passing yards in each game, but the two defenses have combined to allow a total of 13 passing touchdowns to only one interception through Week 2.

QB - Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (45 percent)

Prescott showed good poise in the team's come-from-behind win on the road over their division rivals in Week 2. Prescott completed 22 of 30 pass attempts (73.3 percent) for 292 yards (9.73 Y/A) and added a six-yard rushing touchdown as well. In Week 3, the rookie gets a favorable matchup at home against the Bears, who will be playing on a short week.

QB - Ryan Fitzpatrick, New York Jets (41 percent)

On a short week, Fitzpatrick threw for 374 yards and a touchdown against his former team to score 21.06 fantasy points. Fitzpatrick, who finished as fantasy's QB11 in 2015, will have plenty of opportunities for streamers, but his upcoming schedule is pretty brutal. Over the next four weeks, Fitzpatrick and the Jets face the Chiefs, Seahawks, Steelers and Cardinals. Three of those four teams finished among the six stingiest defenses to opposing quarterbacks in 2015.

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September 19, 2016

Look Back: Week 2 DraftKings Cash Game Lineup Review

Week 2 is in the books. Just when you think you know about the NFL, everything changes. More than any other sport, the NFL is a week-to-week league. I was very lucky again this week to just break even. My saving grace was a Fan Vice Freeroll! Don't take free rolls for granted as they could make or break a week.

Here are five thoughts about my Week 2:

  1. I was over-exposed to two games that were projected to be high scoring: NO-NYG and CIN-PIT. I had tons of Rashad Jennings, A.J. Green & Antonio Brown; not enough of DeAngelo Williams and Sterling Shepard. I expected Drew Brees to struggle on the road, but was not expecting a game like he had Sunday.
  2. Injuries were devastating again. One of my favorite Week 1 plays was Keenan Allen. He was lost for the year. This week, my favorite play was Danny Woodhead. Woodhead was having a good game as well until he got hurt. I also expected 40-plus from Carolina this week. I had a bunch of Jonathan Stewart lineups go down in flames, even the ones paired with Cam Newton and Kelvin Benjamin or Greg Olsen.
  3. The Chargers/Jaguars game was the shocker of the week for me. The Jaguars defense which many said would be promising this offseason got destroyed by Melvin Gordon and a cast of misfit receivers. T.J. Yeldon, a staple in my cash games and someone who I seemed to plug in for some savings when building GPPs, was awful. Eight catches for 10 yards! Corey Grant with the vulture TD grab in garbage time too. Extra tilting!
  4. Cheap defense strategy hurt this week as the high-end units I liked -- Carolina, Denver and Arizona -- all had big games. I elected for savings and had more shares of Baltimore, New England, Oakland and Jacksonville. Part of this was to get the high-end WRs in my lineup.
  5. Too much love for an old receiver coming off an Achilles injury. I had 60 percent exposure to Steve Smith on Sunday. It was one of those gut calls that just didn't pan out.

On to Week 3 ...

Continue reading "Look Back: Week 2 DraftKings Cash Game Lineup Review" »


Most-Accurate 2015 NFL Mock Draft
EDSFootball.com owner Kevin Hanson had the most accurate 2015 NFL Mock Draft among the 113 analysts/experts tracked by The Huddle Report.

> Hanson's early 2016 NFL Mock Draft






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