July 02, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 6 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 6 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.06 - Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers: Although Rob Gronkowski is my highest-ranked non-RB, I went with Brown here considering this league would start a minimum of three wideouts. As impressive as Brown's overall numbers have been over the past couple of seasons, it's his consistency that really stands out. Brown has five-plus catches and 50-plus yards in his all of his past 33 games.

2.07 - Jeremy Hill, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: No running back rushed for more yards than Hill (929) over the final nine games of the season. The second-year back has legit RB1 upside as the lead back in a run-heavy offense, but he's a solid option as the 19th player selected either way.

3.06 - Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers: Gordon should get the bulk of early-down carries for the Chargers and should see north of 250 touches as a rookie.

4.07 - Kelvin Benjamin, WR, Carolina Panthers: Benjamin was one of three 1,000-yard rookie receivers and was just one score shy of double-digit touchdowns in 2014. Drops were an issue and he showed up to OTAs heavier than expected, but he should approach 1,000 yards and double-digit touchdowns once again.

5.06 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: Not only is he coming off his first-ever 1,000-yard season, but Olsen has 800-plus yards in each of the past three seasons. The only tight end with more yards during that span is Jimmy Graham.

6.07 - Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers: Newton missed a couple of games and was less than 100 percent for much of the year, but he still finished seventh in fantasy points per game among QBs. Before last year, Newton as the QB4 or better in his first three NFL seasons.

7.06 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Averaging 5.22 catches and 60.89 yards per game from Weeks 2 to 10, Robinson was quietly having a strong rookie season before his Week 10 foot injury. With good health, a breakout season is on the horizon for ARob.

8.07 - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns: Rookie Duke Johnson has generated most of the buzz this offseason, but I expect Crowell to lead the team's backfield in workload and production.

9.06 - Darren McFadden, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Only 27 years old (he seems much older, doesn't he?), McFadden has struggled with durability over his career and his per-touch production has really slipped over the past three years -- 3.4 YPC or less each year. That said, Joseph Randle is unproven and McFadden gets a huge upgrade in offensive line (and offense in general) to make him a high-upside RB4 for this squad.

10.07 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: With excellent combination of size and speed, Johnson emerged in the second half last season with the Vikings. With continued development from second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, Johnson should pick up where he left off.

11.06 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Even though the Jets were the only team to throw for fewer yards than the 49ers over the past two seasons, Boldin has back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons and I still expect him to lead the team's receiving corps in production despite the free-agent addition of Torrey Smith.

12.07 - Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers: Before last year's injury-shortened season, Woodhead finished as the RB27 (or better) in three of his previous four seasons. While MG3 will fill the void of (the oft-injured) Ryan Mathews on early downs, Woodhead should get the majority of third-down snaps.

13.06 - John Brown, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Brown had a productive rookie season especially considering the injuries to the team's quarterbacks and he should build upon that success with good health from the team's signal-callers.

14.07 - Rueben Randle, WR, New York Giants: Coming off his best season as a pro (71/938/3), Randle is still only 24 years old as he enters his fourth season. And for what it's worth, Eli Manning has predicted a "breakout" season for Randle in 2015.

15.06 - Denver Broncos D/ST

16.07 - Nick Novak, K, San Diego Chargers

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football Resources:

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Chargers TE Antonio Gates suspended four games

Heading into the July 4th holiday weekend, the NFL announced a bunch of four-game suspensions for several star players.

Not only were Jets defensive end Sheldon Richardson and Cowboys linebacker Rolando McClain suspended for violating the substance-abuse policy, Chargers tight end Antonio Gates was suspended for four games for violating the league's policy on performance-enhancing drugs (PEDs).

Gates will miss games against the Lions, Bengals, Vikings and Browns and then be eligible to return for Monday Night Football in Week 5 when the Chargers host the Steelers.

Turning 35 years old last month, Gates posted a 69/821/12 stat line last season and finished second among tight ends in fantasy points behind only New England's Rob Gronkowski.

With Gates sidelined for the first four games of the season, it opens the door for 25-year-old tight end Ladarius Green. Although Green has yet to haul in 20 receptions in a single season and played just 27 percent of the team's offensive snaps last year, Green is a gifted athlete that ran a 4.53 forty at the Combine in 2012. Depending on how productive Green is over that four-game stretch, it's possible that Gates returns to a lesser role in favor of Green.

In addition, the suspension should lead to more targets for the team's top receivers -- Keenan Allen, Malcom Floyd and Stevie Johnson.

Continue reading "Chargers TE Antonio Gates suspended four games" »

July 01, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 12 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 12 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.12 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: In three seasons with Peyton Manning, Thomas has exceeded 90 catches and 1,400 yards with double-digit touchdowns every season.

2.01 - Jeremy Hill, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: Emerging as the Bengals lead back, Hill rushed for 929 yards in the team's final nine games. No running back had more during that span and he has legitimate RB1 overall upside going into his second season.

3.12 - Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers: The Bolts used a top-15 pick on MG3 to replace the departed (and oft-injured) Ryan Mathews. I expect Gordon to exceed 250 touches as a rookie.

4.01 - Brandin Cooks, WR, New Orleans Saints: Productive before suffering a season-ending injury, no rookie receiver had more receptions than Cooks (53) through Week 11. Trading away of their top pass-catchers this offseason, the Saints should feed Cooks a healthy dose of targets.

5.12 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Playing slightly more than the team's offensive snaps through Week 10, Kelce posted strong numbers despite the limitations. With a clean bill of health this offseason, the sky is the limit for Kelce in 2015.

6.01 - Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers: Newton has four seasons with 3,000-plus passing yards and 500-plus rushing yards, the most ever in the NFL. Missing a couple of games and playing at less than 100 percent in many others last season, 2014 was the first time in his four-year career that he did not finish as a top-four fantasy quarterback.

7.12 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Quietly, Robinson posted strong rookie numbers on a per-game basis until suffering a Week 10 season-ending foot injury. Provided he stays healthy, Robinson, who has generated some buzz this offseason, is poised for a breakout season.

8.01 - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns: Speaking of buzz, Duke Johnson has generated his fair share with the Browns. That said, I still expect Crowell to lead the team's backfield in touches and fantasy production.

9.12 - David Cobb, RB, Tennessee Titans: With Bishop Sankey disappointing last year and the team using phrases like "three-down back" to describe Cobb's skill set, it wouldn't surprise me if Cobb outproduces Sankey in 2015.

10.01 - Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers: Woodhead missed the final 13 games last season, but before that, he finished as a top-27 fantasy running back in three of the previous four seasons. While Gordon will dominate the early-down work, Woodhead should get the majority of third-down snaps.

11.12 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: With excellent size (6-2, 215) and sub-4.4 speed, Johnson emerged in the second half of last season with the Vikings, his third team in his two NFL seasons. With continued development from second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, Johnson should pick up where he left off.

12.01 - Torrey Smith, WR, San Francisco 49ers: I have Smith's new (and old Baltimore) teammate Anquan Boldin ranked higher, but I took Smith first figuring there would be a better chance of getting both if I did so. Off to a slow start in 2014, Smith set or tied career lows in receptions (49) and yards (767), but he posted a career high in touchdowns (11) and is bit of a boom-or-bust weekly receiver.

13.12 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Even though the Jets are the only team with fewer passing yards than the Niners over the past two seasons, Boldin has back-to-back 1,000-yard campaigns in his two years in San Francisco. Given all of the turnover on the roster (and coaching staff), it's possible/likely that the 49ers (need to) throw more often in 2015.

14.01 - Arizona Cardinals D/ST

15.12 - Shaun Suisham, K, Pittsburgh Steelers

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football Resources:

Continue reading "2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 12 Pick" »

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 3 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 3 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.03 - Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings: One of the league's most gifted running backs, last year was a lost season for Peterson as he missed all but Week 1. The lack of wear and tear last season could do him well this year and he certainly has the poential to post a top-three season in 2015.

2.10 - A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals: Green missed three games last season, but he now has four 1,000-yard seasons over his young four-year career. With good health, Green should post 90/1,300/10 numbers or very close to it.

3.03 - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Not only was Evans one of three rookie 1,000-yard receivers, but he is already one of the league's best red-zone weapons with 12 touchdowns as a rookie.

4.10 - Andre Ellington, RB, Arizona Cardinals: Battling injuries all season and ending up on IR, Ellington played just 12 games and averaged 3.3 YPC one year after leading all running backs at 5.5 YPC. In addition, he averaged more than 20 touches per game. If he can stay healthy, a big if given his workload, there is plenty of upside here.

5.03 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Despite being limited to a snap count early in the season, Kelce had an outstanding season (87/862/5). Without limitations in 2015, the sky is the limit for Baby Gronk.

6.10 - Giovani Bernard, RB,Cincinnati Bengals: Jeremy Hill clearly enters the season back in his change-of-pace role to Jeremy Hill. That said, the duo has shown that they can be productive together. Even though Hill rushed 100-plus yards in his final three games, Bernard finished as a weekly top-17 RB or better in each of those games.

7.03 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Quietly, Robinson posted strong numbers as a rookie before a Week 10 foot injury ended his season. Less quietly, Robinson has generated buzz with a strong offseason and is poised for a breakout if he can stay healthy.

8.10 - Darren McFadden, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Still only 27 years old, McFadden has struggled with durability for most of his career and he has struggled with production in each of the past three seasons. While he's expected to get a smaller share of the workload in a timeshare with Joseph Randle, his draft-day cost is now much cheaper than Randle's.

9.03 - Ryan Mathews, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: With a pair of 1,000-yard seasons in five years, Mathews has shown that he can be productive although durability has been an issue. DeMarco Murray is coming off a 497-touch season so it's no lock that he plays a full a 16-game season.

10.10 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: With a nice combination of size (6-2, 215) and sub-4.4 speed, Johnson emerged in the second half last year. With continued development from second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, Johnson should build upon last year's second-half success.

11.03 - Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions: Stafford is coming off a disappointing season, but I like the value in Round 11. It will be his second year in his new offense and Calvin Johnson missed or was a decoy in five games last season.

12.10 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: Averaging career lows in targets, receptions and yards, Colston could bounce back from last season's disappointment with the offseason trades of Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills.

13.03 - Arizona Cardinals D/ST

14.10 - John Brown, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Brown had a solid rookie season, especially considering the injuries to Carson Palmer and Drew Stanton. With better health from his quarterbacks, he should take a step forward in 2015.

15.03 - Justin Tucker, K, Baltimore Ravens:

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football Resources:

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June 30, 2015

Poll: Which AFC wide receiver will score the most fantasy points in 2015?

Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Antonio Brown led all receivers in fantasy points scored last season regardless of scoring format.

While Brown led the NFL in receptions (129) and receiving yards (1,698), the most impressive thing about Brown's production over the past couple of seasons has been his consistency. Oddly enough, Brown never finished with the most fantasy points among wide receivers in any given week last year despite leading the position on the year. Over the past two seasons, however, Brown has recorded at least five receptions and 50 receiving yards in every game.

Going into the 2015 season, Brown is my top-ranked fantasy receiver. And the majority of "experts" tracked by FantasyPros, including yours truly, have Brown ranked as their WR1.

My second-ranked wideout, Denver's Demaryius Thomas, is also the guy that finished second in fantasy points among wide receivers in 2014 although he was tied with Green Bay's Jordy Nelson.

In three seasons playing with Peyton Manning, Thomas has posted the following stat lines: 94/1,434/10 (2012), 92/1,430/14 (2013) and 111/1,619/11 (2014). Even if DT doesn't duplicate last year's career numbers, he appears to be a lock for 90 catches, 1,400 yards and double-digit touchdowns.

Among the top-eight wide receivers that I view as part of an "elite" tier, three of them play in the AFC. Along with Brown and Thomas, the third of that group is Cincinnati's A.J. Green. Green missed a few games last season, but he still finished with 69 catches for 1,041 yards and six touchdowns. In his previous two seasons, however, Green averaged 97.5 receptions, 1,388 yards and 11 touchdowns per season.

There are some other young AFC receivers on the rise, such as T.Y. Hilton and DeAndre Hopkins, but they are not yet in the same tier as Brown, Thomas and Green.

Of these AFC wide receivers, which one will score the most fantasy points in 2015 (using standard scoring)?

More Polls:

Continue reading "Poll: Which AFC wide receiver will score the most fantasy points in 2015?" »

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 10

We are entering the final stretch of our new Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft as 10 of the 15 rounds are now complete.

Here are Round 10 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

10.01 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Antonio Gates, TE, San Diego Chargers

Although his targets (98), receptions (69) and yards (821) were down year over year, Gates finished with 12 touchdowns, the second-most of his career, and scored the third-most (PPR) fantasy points among tight ends last season. Gates finished as a weekly top-two tight end four times and top eight at the position eight times last season. While Dan shouldn't expect another top-three finish from the 35-year-old Gates, a top-10 finish is certainly within reach.

10.02 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Charles Sims, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The current regime inherited Doug Martin, but used a relatively early pick on the versatile Sims, who rushed for 3,465 yards in college but also added 203 receptions for 2,108 yards. It wouldn't surprise me if he led the Bucs' backfield in fantasy points this season, but he was less than impressive when healthy over the final eight games of his rookie season -- 2.8 yards per carry. And reports are that Martin has had a good offseason. With that said, Martin has struggled with durability -- 15 missed games over the past two seasons -- that Sims has upside here.

10.03 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Reggie Bush, RB, San Francisco 49ers

Coming off one of the worst seasons of his career, Bush missed five games and gained a total of only 550 yards from scrimmage (50.0 per game) while averaging only 3.9 yards per carry and scoring just two touchdowns. Released by the Lions, Bush signed with the 49ers and will at least own a third-down role to unproven second-year back Carlos Hyde. And considering the offseason losses (via free agency and retirement) for the Niners, it's likely they throw the ball more often than they have in recent seasons.

10.04 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Torrey Smith, WR, San Francisco 49ers

Overall, it was a disappointing season for Smith, who either set or tied career lows with 49 receptions for 767 yards. On a positive note, however, Smith set a career high with 11 touchdowns and he was much more productive from Week 6 to 17. During that span, Smith averaged 3.8 catches for 59.1 yards and scored 10 of his 11 touchdowns. One of the league's more dangerous vertical threats, Smith fills a void for the 49ers, but his weekly production could remain relatively volatile.

10.05 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers

In Week 17 and their two playoff games, Adams was on the field for 91.2, 88.7 and 90.4 percent, respectively, of the team's snaps. While his numbers may not see a major spike with the Packers re-signing Randall Cobb, Adams will certainly improve upon his 38/446/3 rookie numbers and we've seen instances in which the Packers have had three productive fantasy wide receivers at the same time. In addition, Coach McCarthy dubbed Adams the "MVP" of OTAs.

10.06 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins

I get that there were concerns with Ajayi's knee, but it really surprised me that he slipped all the way to fifth round. Meanwhile, the Dolphins seemed fairly reluctant to give Lamar Miller a large workload (despite his level of production). The versatile Ajayi is a downhill runner with excellent size (6-0, 221) that also displayed excellent pass-catching ability with 50 receptions for 536 yards last season as well.

10.07 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Knile Davis, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

Davis had some big games when given the opportunity as he finished as a top-eight fantasy running back four times last season. With Jamaal Charles leaving Week 2 early (only two carries) and missing Week 3, Davis had a combined 60 touches for 237 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns in those two games. In the other games, Davis averaged just 6.92 touches per game but he had double-digit touches in four of those games as well. While he may be better as a handcuff for the Charles owner, Davis has the potential to provide Dan with some highly productive weeks as his RB5.

10.08 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Denard Robinson, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars signed Toby Gerhart last offseason expecting him to be the team's featured back, but Gerhart was a major disappointment. Of the team's running backs, Robinson was head and shoulders above the rest in terms of effectiveness. Shoelace got a shot at the featured role in Week 7 and posted back-to-back 100-yard games while averaging 4.3 yards per carry last season, but he finished the season on IR due to a foot injury. Going into 2015, he'll be nothing more than a change-of-pace option to T.J. Yeldon, on whom the Jags used a top-36 draft pick.

10.09 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): Chris Ivory, RB, New York Jets

Although he averaged a career-low 4.1 YPC, Ivory once again rushed for more than 800 yards and set a career high with six touchdowns. The Jets signed Stevan Ridley in free agency and traded a seventh-round pick for Zac Stacy, but Ivory should lead that trio in both workload and fantasy production although Bilal Powell will likely get most of the third-down snaps.

More productive than most probably realized, Ivory finished as a top-24 fantasy running back in PPR formats last season. As the 51st running back off the board, Ivory may not be an exciting pick, but there is some upside.

10.10 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints

Colston, who turned 32 in early June, finished with 59 receptions for 902 yards, both of which were the lowest of his career apart from an 11-game season in 2008. On a per-game basis, however, his 3.69 receptions, 6.25 targets and 56.38 yards per game were all career lows. One positive for Colston personally, not the offense in general, is that the team traded away both Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills so his targets and production are likely to see a bump in 2015.

10.11 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): Jordan Cameron, TE, Miami Dolphins

In 2013, Cameron had a breakout season with 80 receptions for 917 yards and seven touchdowns. When healthy, he is clearly a matchup nightmare for opposing defenses. Unfortunately, Cameron missed six games last season and has a history of concussions. Perhaps no injury is more worrisome from a fantasy outlook given the greater susceptibility and unpredictability of a recurrence. If Cameron plays 16 games in 2015, however, he has top-five upside for Brendan.

10.12 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans

This is earlier than I'd take Mariota, but there is fantasy upside given his dual-threat abilities. We've seen quarterbacks post big fantasy weeks with relatively modest passing numbers due to elite rushing stats. I like Mariota long term, but his rookie season production could be quite volatile on a weekly basis. With back-to-back picks, Sean takes the quarterback I would have targeted at 11.01.

- Continue to Round 11 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

Go back to earlier rounds:
- Round 1 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 3 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 4 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 5 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 6 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 7 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 8 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 9 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

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Continue reading "2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 10" »

June 29, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 11 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 11 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.11 - Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears: One of the league's most versatile backs, Forte is unlikely to come close to his record-setting receptions (102), but he's reached 1,400-plus YFS in all seven NFL seasons.

2.02 - Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys: Since entering the league in 2010, no player has caught more touchdown passes than Bryant's 56. Over the past three seasons, Bryant has had a minimum of 88 receptions, 1,233 yards and 12 touchdowns every year.

3.11 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: Hopkins took a big step forward in his age-22 season (76/1,210/6) and continued improvement is ahead for the third-year receiver.

4.02 - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers: With Frank Gore signing a free-agent deal with the Colts, Hyde moves atop the team's depth chart. With a more consistent workload, Hyde's 4.0 YPC should improve.

5.11 - Brandon Marshall, WR, New York Jets: Marshall's 1,000-yard streak ended as he missed a few games last year. With better health and a change of scenery, Marshall should once again exceed 1,000 yards although he's unlikely to approach the numbers in he posted in his first two seasons with the Bears.

6.02 - Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers: Newton has finished as a top-four fantasy quarterback in three of his four NFL seasons and posted solid per-game numbers last year.

[Poll: Which NFC South QB will score the most fantasy points in 2015?]

7.11 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Robinson quietly posted strong numbers for a Week 10 foot injury prematurely ended his rookie season. With good health, Robinson is poised for a breakout season.

8.02 - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns: While rookie Duke Johnson has generated plenty of buzz this offseason, I still believe that Crowell will lead the team's backs in workload and production in 2015.

9.11 - Delanie Walker, TE, Tennessee Titans: I considered Martellus Bennett at 6.02 and then there was a run of seven tight ends before my next pick (7.11). I'm not thrilled to start Walker, but he was my top-ranked fantasy tight end here.

10.02 - Torrey Smith, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Smith is coming off career lows in receptions (49) and yards (767), but he set a career high in touchdowns (11). With a career 16.9 Y/R, Smith is a boom-or-bust wideout, but a solid WR5 for this team.

11.11 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: Coming off per-game career lows in receptions, targets and yards, Colston should improve in all categories with the trades of Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills.

12.02 - Jerick McKinnon, RB, Minnesota Vikings: Virtually all of McKinnon's value would come from an injury to the 30-year-old Adrian Peterson, but I do like his talent and he was productive when given the opportunity last season (4.8 YPC).

13.11 - Denver Broncos D/ST

14.02 - Stephen Gostkowski, K, New England Patriots:

15.11 - Brian Quick, WR, St. Louis Rams: Quick seemed ready to break out last season, but unforunately a torn rotator cuff ended his season prematurely. If he can stay healthy, the talent is there for the breakout to come in 2015.

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football Resources:

Continue reading "2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 11 Pick" »

2015 Fantasy Football Average Draft Position (ADP) Weekly Changes: June 29th Update

Every Monday this offseason, we post an update in players that have had the biggest moves — both up and down — in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) from the previous week.

With this information, we can get a better sense of changes in the collective perceptions of fantasy football owners (mock drafters); in essence, it's a version of fantasy stock up/down for players. If a player is moving up the ADP chart, it may lead us to using a higher pick than his current ADP to make sure we secure a targeted player.

Of course, a player's ADP (and movement) is just one (small) piece in determining who to draft and our strategy used to assemble a fantasy roster.

For purposes of our weekly comparison(s), we use ADP data from 12-team mock drafts from Fantasy Football Calculator.

Biggest weekly gainers in ADP.

Quarterbacks:

  1. Nick Foles, St. Louis Rams: -5.1 (166.4 on 6/22 to 161.3 on 6/29)
  2. Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions: -3.5 (88.9 to 85.4)
  3. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons: -2.2 (74.8 to 72.6)

Running Backs:

  1. Devonta Freeman, Atlanta Falcons: -10.0 (101.4 to 91.4)
  2. Duke Johnson, Cleveland Browns: -7.9 (114.1 to 106.2)
  3. Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings: -7.1 (161.0 to 153.9)

Wide Receivers:

  1. Allen Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars: -14.0 (87.5 to 73.5)
  2. Marvin Jones, Cincinnati Bengals: -7.8 (147.9 to 140.1)
  3. Devin Funchess, Carolina Panthers: -7.7 (159.5 to 151.8)

Tight Ends:

  1. Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles: -14.2 (109.2 to 95.0)
  2. Charles Clay, Buffalo Bills: -8.1 (164.4 to 156.3)
  3. Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -6.5 (163.4 to 156.9)

Biggest weekly fallers in ADP.

Quarterbacks:

  1. Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears: +4.2 (150.8 on 6/22 to 155.0 on 6/29)
  2. Robert Griffin III, Washington Redskins: +2.5 (159.9 to 162.4)
  3. Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +2.3 (150.1 to 152.4)

Running Backs:

  1. Charles Sims, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +11.1 (93.9 to 105.0)
  2. Darren McFadden, Dallas Cowboys: +4.7 (77.2 to 81.9)
  3. Bishop Sankey, Tennessee Titans: +4.6 (100.0 to 104.6)

Wide Receivers:

  1. Breshad Perriman, Baltimore Ravens: +8.5 (94.0 to 102.5)
  2. Kendall Wright, Tennessee Titans: +7.7 (141.3 to 149.0)
  3. Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts: +6.5 (147.7 to 154.2)

Tight Ends:

  1. Josh Hill, New Orleans Saints: +16.4 (99.7 to 116.1)
  2. Coby Fleener, Indianapolis Colts: +4.3 (156.2 to 160.5)
  3. Martellus Bennett, Chicago Bears: +2.6 (76.2 to 78.8)

[Note: Negative numbers mean the player's ADP is improving (i.e., being drafted earlier) and vice versa.]

- Fantasy Football ADP Risers/Fallers: See full grid of player changes in ADP over past week

Our 2015 fantasy football rankings:

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Continue reading "2015 Fantasy Football Average Draft Position (ADP) Weekly Changes: June 29th Update" »

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 9

One week ago, we started a new PPR 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft. The mock is a "slow" draft and we posting the rounds as they are complete. With that said, another round of our 15-round mock is in the books.

Here are Round 9 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

9.01 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Doug Martin, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Just a couple of seasons ago, Martin racked up 1,926 yards from scrimmage, 49 receptions and 12 touchdowns in 16 games as a rookie, but 2012 feels like it was a decade ago. Over the past two seasons (combined), Martin has only 1,080 YFS, 25 receptions and three touchdowns in 17 games. To complicate matters for 2015, Charles Sims, the new regime's third-round pick from last year, will be healthy to start the year.

On a positive note, The Tampa Tribune has recently described this as Martin's "best offseason in three years" and writes that "the upswing in his play could not have come at a better time" (to hold off Sims for the featured-back role).

9.02 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): Mike Wallace, WR, Minnesota Vikings

The Dolphins certainly had some buyer's remorse after signing him to a big free-agent contract two offseasons ago and traded him to the Vikings this offseason. Wallace has three consecutive mediocre seasons of less than 1,000 yards and has averaged just 13.1, 12.7 and 12.9 Y/R over the past three seasons, respectively. Perhaps the change of scenery and Norv Turner's vertical-passing attack will help Wallace live up to his potential and exceed this draft slot (9.02) and even his ADP (7.09).

9.03 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers

Only the Jets have fewer passing yards than the 49ers over the past two seasons, yet Boldin is now two-for-two in 1,000-yard seasons with the Niners. In addition, both of his yardage totals (1,179 and 1,062, respectively) were higher than any of his previous six seasons. Boldin is unlikely to blow up for 150 yards and two touchdowns in any given week, but he provides me with consistent production as he exceeded 50 receiving yards in 12 of 16 games last season.

9.04 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers

Woodhead missed all but three games last season, but prior to the 2014 season, he had finished as a top-30 fantasy running back in three of his previous four seasons. In his first full season with the Chargers (2013) which also coincided with the only full NFL season for Ryan Mathews, who's now with the Eagles, Woodhead had 1,034 yards from scrimmage, 76 receptions and eight total touchdowns. If though Melvin Gordon was drafted to fill Mathews' void, Woodhead should get the majority of third-down snaps for the Bolts.

9.05 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Brandon LaFell, WR, New England Patriots

In his first season with the Patriots, LaFell had his best NFL season, by far, as he set career highs in receptions (74), yards (953) and touchdowns (seven). As solid as LaFell's overall numbers were, there was plenty of weekly inconistency as he had four weekly top-12 finishes but he finished outside the top-36 six times. At best, he's the team's third option in the passing game behind Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman, but he's a solid option in Round 9.

9.06 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions

No quarterback underachieved expectations more last season than Stafford, who finished as the QB15 in 2014. Even with the free-agent signing and breakout season from Golden Tate (99/1,331/4), Stafford threw for only 4,247 yards, a four-year low, and 22 touchdowns with 12 interceptions. With better health from Calvin Johnson, who missed a few games and was a decoy in others, Stafford should post better numbers in 2015.

9.07 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): Kenny Stills, WR, Miami Dolphins

Stills set career highs with 63 receptions for a team-high 931 yards in his second season with the Saints, but he was traded to the Dolphins this offseason. One of the areas in which Ryan Tannehill has struggled is his downfield accuracy, which doesn't necessarily bode well for the speedy Stills. While I don't dislike Stills, I'd prefer to draft him closer to his ADP (12.03).

9.08 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals

While it appears that the Cardinals remain committed to Andre Ellington in a workhorse role, Johnson is a big back (6-1, 224) with excellent receiving skills. In fact, Johnson had over 200 receiving yards in the game against Iowa last season. Coach Bruce Arians said of Johnson, "[h]e’s got good power, but his receiving ability is as close to Andre’s as anybody I’ve seen." In addition, general manager Steve Keim described him as a "three-down" back.

9.09 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals

Fitzgerald had 63 receptions for 784 yards and a career-low two touchdowns last season and his 784 yards were only four more than the career low he had as a rookie. Given the injuries to Carson Palmer and then Drew Stanton, the decline certainly wasn't solely the fault of Fitzgerald, who also missed two games. That said, Fitzgerald now has three consecutive seasons with less than 1,000 yards.

9.10 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers

Based on 2014 average draft position (ADP), Roethlisberger was one of the biggest values last season. Only four quarterbacks scored more fantasy points than Roethlisberger -- Aaron Rodgers, Andrew Luck, Russell Wilson and Peyton Manning. Once again, he's being overlooked as the 10th quarterback off the board, providing Sean with a nice value.

Big Ben threw for a career-high 4,952 yards, which tied Brees last season for the league lead, and 32 touchdowns, which tied a previous career high. It wouldn't surprise me if Roethlisberger posted another top-five finish in 2015.

9.11 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Eric Decker, WR, New York Jets

Decker's first year with the Jets (74/962/5) was worse than his recent seasons with the Broncos, which shouldn't be a surprise to anyone, but he still finished as a top-30 fantasy wide receiver in both standard- and PPR-scoring formats. Both of Decker's 100-yard games came in the final three weeks of the season including a massive 10/221/1 line against the Dolphins in Week 17. Given the team's quarterback situation, Decker's upside is capped, but the addition of Marshall as a true No. 1 wide receiver could actually help (take the attention off) Decker.

9.12 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots

As Brady faces a four-game suspension for the DeflateGate scandal, it's unclear whether -- and by how much -- his suspension will be reduced. There has been speculation that he would take it to court if his suspension isn't completely overturned.

Looking back at last season, Brady had a rough four-game start as he averaged just 197.75 Y/G with only four total touchdowns during that span. From Week 5 on, however, things clicked as only Peyton Manning (31) threw more touchdowns than Brady (29) over that stretch. With good health once again for Rob Gronkowski, Brady could post top-five production on a per-game basis in 2015.

And if Brady's suspension is overturned or even reduced to two games (or less), this would represent a tremendous value.

- Continue to Round 10 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

Go back to earlier rounds:
- Round 1 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 3 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 4 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 5 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 6 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 7 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 8 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

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Poll: Which NFC South QB will score the most fantasy points in 2015?

Based on 2015 Fantasy Football ADP from Fantasy Football Calculator, the first four quarterbacks off the board in standard 12-team mock drafts are Andrew Luck (2.04), Aaron Rodgers (2.06), Peyton Manning (4.01) and then Russell Wilson (4.10).

After the first four quarterbacks, however, three of the next four all play their football in the NFC South.

Leading one of the NFL's most prolific passing offenses ever, Saints quarterback Drew Brees has half of the 5,000-yard seasons in NFL history. And while his streak of three consecutive 5,000-yard seasons ended last year, he still led the NFL with 4,952 passing yards (tied with Pittsburgh's Ben Roethlisberger). Not only has Brees thrown for 4,388-plus yards in nine consecutive seasons, but he has at least 33 passing touchdowns in six straight as well.

For the first time in the past nine seasons, however, Brees finished outside the top-five fantasy quarterbacks (sixth) and the team traded two of their best pass-catchers (Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills) this offseason. Brees led the league in pass attempts (659) last season and has at least 650 pass attempts in five straight years, but it appears that the Saints will be more committed to their rushing attack going forward.

Meanwhile, Carolina's Cam Newton had a disappointing season as he missed two games and seemed at less than 100 percent for most of the year. Even so, Newton finished seventh among quarterbacks in fantasy points per game last year. And before last season, Newton finished as a top-four fantasy quarterback in each of his first three seasons.

In four NFL seasons, Newton has thrown for 3,000-plus yards while also rushing for 500-plus every year. The only other quarterback in NFL history to do that more than twice is Randall Cunningham (three times).

While Brees and Newton have almost always finished as top-five fantasy quarterbacks in their careers, Atlanta's Matt Ryan has yet to do so. Ryan has finished as a top-eight fantasy quarterback in four of the past five seasons, however.

Ryan has been consistent with 4,500-plus yards in three consecutive seasons and actually has the third-most during that span behind Brees and Manning. In addition, Ryan has the most talented wide receiver (Julio Jones) in the division as his primary target. Will this be the year that Ryan posts his first-ever top-five season?

[With Jameis Winston being a rookie in a division with three talented quarterbacks, I left him out of the poll. But in future seasons, he'll certainly challenge to be the division's top fantasy quarterback.]

Which NFC South QB do you expect to score the most fantasy points in 2015?

Related:

Continue reading "Poll: Which NFC South QB will score the most fantasy points in 2015?" »

June 28, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 7 Pick, 2-QB League

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 7 pick, PPR scoring, 2-QB league
  • Starting lineup: 2 QBs, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.07 - Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: Averaging more than five touches per game less in 2014, Charles still finished with the seventh-most fantasy points among running backs last season. With good health in 2015, Charles should see a bump in touches.

2.06 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Thomas has yet to sign his franchise tag, but he has more than 90 catches, 1,400 yards and double-digit touchdowns in all three seasons with Peyton Manning. In addition, he's coming off a career season (111/1,619/11).

3.07 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: Off to a slow start in a new offense last year, Eli finished as a top-five weekly fantasy QB in half of his final 10 games. With better health from his receivers and more comfort within the offensive scheme, Manning should build upon last year's strong finish.

4.06 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: Hopkins took a big step forward in his second season and should continue to improve in Year 3 although the less-than-ideal quarterback situation limits that upside some.

5.07 - C.J. Spiller, RB, New Orlans Saints: Dangerous in space, Spiller should be utilized more favorably than he was over the past two seasons in Buffalo. Moreover, Spiller should easily set a new career high in receptions with the Saints.

6.06 - Colin Kaepernick, QB, San Francisco 49ers: Kaepernick had a disappointing season and the 49ers have seen plenty of change this offseason, but he's a high-upside QB2 given his dual-threat abilities. Kaepernick actually set career highs with 105 rush attempts and 639 rushing yards, but he scored just one rushing touchdown in 2014. Meanwhile, the 49ers should find themselves trailing more often and put into situations where Kaepernick will need to throw.

7.07 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: Olsen has 800-plus yards in three consecutive seasons and exceeded 1,000 yards for the first time in his career last season. Over that three-year span, Olsen ranks second in yards and third in receptions among tight ends.

8.06 - Todd Gurley, RB, St. Louis Rams: One of the most talented backs to enter the league in years, Gurley is rehabbing from his torn ACL and the Rams will be careful with the 10th-overall pick.

9.07 - Joseph Randle, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Expected to handle the largest share of the backfield's touches, Randle gets to run behind one of the league's best offensive lines and averaged 6.73 YPC in limited action (51 carries) last season. He's a high-upside RB4 for this team.

10.06 - Torrey Smith, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Smith set a career low in yards (767) last season although he set a career high in touchdowns (11). He's a boom-or-bust WR3 for this team.

11.07 - Nick Foles, QB, St. Louis Rams: Foles provides me with a bye-week replacement and some insurance at quarterback.

12.06 - David Cobb, RB, Tennessee Titans: It wouldn't surprise if Cobb emerges as the team's lead back (over Bishop Sankey) at some point this season.

13.07 - Pierre Garcon, WR, Washington Redskins: Garcon's league-leading 113 receptions in 2013 were nearly cut in half to 68 last season. While there's no chance that he approaches 113 again, he should be more involved in the passing attack this season.

14.06 - Percy Harvin, WR, Buffalo Bills: Harvin's a versatile and dynamic playmaker, but he's no better than third among the team's weapons in a run-first offense with a poor quarterback situation. That said, he provides some receiver depth.

15.07 - New England Patriots D/ST

16.06 - Rueben Randle, WR, New York Giants: Randle had 71 receptions for 938 yards, both of which were career highs, and three touchdowns last season. Although he's third among the team's receivers behind Odell Beckham and Victor Cruz, Randle is just 24 years old and Eli has said that he expects a breakout season from Randle.

17.07 - Matt Prater, K, Detroit Lions

- View full mock draft results here

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Continue reading "2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 7 Pick, 2-QB League" »

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 8

Earlier today, we posted Round 7 of our new Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft and now another round is complete and posted.

Here are Round 8 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

8.01 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Darren Sproles, RB, Philadelphia Eagles

Replacing LeSean McCoy with DeMarco Murray and Ryan Mathews means that Sproles goes from second in line for touches to third. Recently described by Chip Kelly as a "Swiss army knife," Sproles may have the occasional productive game, but I personally wouldn't reach for the 32-year-old back a couple of rounds earlier than his current PPR ADP (10.03) as Dan did here.

8.02 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Julius Thomas, TE, Jacksonville Jaguars

Slowed by injuries, Thomas followed up a breakout 2013 season with only 43 catches for 489 yards, but he once again scored 12 touchdowns. Signing a massive free-agent deal with the Jaguars, Thomas is unlikely to approach that red-zone success again this year. Aside from the Browns (12), no other team threw fewer touchdowns than the Jaguars (15) last season, but he represents a fair value as he's going roughly a round earlier (7.04) in drafts this offseason.

8.03 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Kendall Wright, WR, Tennessee Titans

One year after his 94/1,079/2 breakout season in 2013, Wright's production dropped year over year to 57/715/6 although the issues at quarterback were at least partly to blame. And even though the Titans lost 14 games including nine of them by double digits, Wright saw 10 targets in only one game last season. While second-overall pick Marcus Mariota appeared to exceed expectations during OTAs, the ups and downs of an offense led by a rookie quarterback could mean that Wright doesn't have a bounce-back season in 2015. Given that uncertainty, I wouldn't select Wright more than three rounds earlier than his ADP (11.08) as Sean did.

8.04 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons

During the draft process last year, Freeman drew some comparisons to Frank Gore. Meanwhile, new offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan said that he "loved" Freeman when evaluating him last year. Averaging just 3.8 yards per carry as a rookie, Freeman had eight or fewer carries in all but one game, but he also finished with 30 receptions. Freeman played on just 21.5 percent of Atlanta's offensive snaps last season, but he should see a huge bump in snaps, touches and production in 2015 even though the Falcons drafted Tevin Coleman.

8.05 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): Zach Ertz, TE, Philadelphia Eagles

Ertz saw a year-over-year jump from 36 catches and 469 yards as a rookie to 58 catches for 702 yards, 11th-most among tight ends last season. The Eagles used their first-round pick on Nelson Agholor to replace Jeremy Maclin, but Ertz could become more involved in the passing game in 2015.

8.06 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): David Cobb, RB, Tennessee Titans

Last year's first running back selected, Bishop Sankey, was a disappointment for the Titans. With that said, it's certainly possible that Cobb, the team's fifth-round pick this year, could lead the team's backfield in touches as early as his rookie season. Coach Ken Whisenhunt described Cobb as a potential three-down back.

8.07 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Roddy White, WR, Atlanta Falcons

Coming off a disappointing season, White still averaged a respectable 5.71 catches and 65.79 yards per game with seven touchdowns last year. Had he not missed two games, he was on a 16-game pace of 91/1,053/8. With White turning 34 in November and Julio Jones now the clear-cut No. 1 wideout on the team, there may not be too much upside above last season's per-game averages, but he's a solid value here.

8.08 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Percy Harvin, WR, Buffalo Bills

Following his former head coach to Buffalo this offseason, Harvin is a dynamic playmaker in the open field. In 13 games with the Seahawks and Jets last season, Harvin had a total of 51 receptions for 483 yards, 33 carries for 202 yards and three total touchdowns. The drawback with Harvin is that he's the third option, at best, in an offense with subpar quarterback play.

8.09 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): Ryan Mathews, RB, San Diego Chargers

Two seasons ago, the oft-injured Mathews played a full 16-game season and rushed for a career-high 1,255 yards. Playing only six games last season and gaining a yard shy of 400 yards from scrimmage, Mathews has now missed multiple games in four of his five NFL seasons. Although Mathews will be (at least) second in line for touches behind DeMarco Murray, the Eagles play at such a fast pace and Murray has his own durability concerns -- especially following a 497-touch season -- that I would not be surprised if Mathews reached 200 carries if (a big if) he can stay healthy.

8.10 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): LeGarrette Blount, RB, New England Patriots

As we've seen from Blount in the postseason, he can go from one yard on three carries (vs. BAL) one week to 30 carries for 148 yards and three touchdowns (vs. IND) the next week. Blount's carries in his final six games through the Super Bowl were as follows: 20, eight, 10, three, 30 and 14. With some changes to the team's backfield this offseason, I think his weekly production will be smoothed out some but still a bit volatile. With that said, Blount is more than a two-round discount here from his current ADP (6.07). Plus, Blount is this team's RB4 and not needed on a weekly basis.

8.11 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions

At only 5-foot-9 and 205 pounds, Abdullah may lack the ideal size to be a bellcow back and he's had some ball-security issues (13 career fumbles) in his collegiate career at Nebraska. That said, Abdullah was highly productive at Nebraska with three consecutive 1,100-yard seasons including back-to-back 1,600-yard campaigns. Among running backs at the 2015 NFL Scouting Combine, Abdullah finished first in the vertical jump (42.5 inches), broad jump (10-10), 3-cone drill (6.79) and 20-yard shuttle (3.95).

Although I expect Joique Bell to still lead the team's backs in workload and fantasy production in 2015, Abdullah will likely see his role within the offense expand over the course of the season. And it's certainly not out of the question that he emerges as the team's lead back by the team the season is up given Bell's relatively weak production on a per-carry basis over the past two seasons (less than 4.0 YPC each season).

8.12 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins

With the exception of Jarvis Landry, all of Miami's top pass-catchers are newcomers including first-round rookie DeVante Parker. The 6-foot-3 Parker missed the first seven games of the season with a foot injury, but he closed the season with 43 catches for 855 yards and five touchdowns in just six games. Parker gives the Dolphins someone who can develop into a true No. 1 wideout long term, but unfortunately he recently underwent another surgery on the same foot and may miss most/all of training camp.

It's normally a difficult transition for college receivers into the NFL and the lack of reps certainly dampens his re-draft outlook. For me, this is too early for Parker in re-draft formats and more than two rounds earlier than his current ADP (11.06).

- Continue to Round 9 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

Go back to earlier rounds:
- Round 1 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 3 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 4 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 5 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 6 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 7 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft


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Continue reading "2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 8" »

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 7

Nearly a week into the new PPR Fantasy Football Mock Draft that we started on Monday, we are roughly halfway through the 15-round mock.

Here are Round 7 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

7.01 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Bishop Sankey, RB, Tennessee Titans

Like Sean's previous pick at the turn, I think this is a bit early as well. Sean is a Titans' fan so I can imagine the source of motivation for taking Sankey quite a bit earlier than his ADP (9.09), but I'm certainly not sold on him. It was a disappointing season for Sankey -- and the Titans offense in general -- as he averaged just 3.7 yards per carry as a rookie. It wouldn't surprise me at all if rookie David Cobb leads the Titans' backfield in fantasy production in 2015.

7.02 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints

After three consecutive 5,000-yard seasons, Brees fell just shy of that mark in 2014 but still finished with a league-high 4,952 yards and threw 33 touchdowns, which ties a seven-year low. For the first time since signing with the Saints in 2006, Brees finished outside the top-five fantasy quarterbacks (sixth) in 2014. Brees has thrown at least 650 pass attempts in five consecutive seasons and led the league in pass attempts per game (41.2) last season, but a transition to a more run-based offense has begun in earnest with both Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills traded in the offseason.

7.03 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): Vincent Jackson, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The good news is that V-Jax eclipsed the 1,000-yard mark for the fourth consecutive season and sixth time in the past seven years -- the exception was his holdout-shortened 2010 season. The bad news is that Jackson had just two touchdowns, the lowest of his career since his three-catch rookie season (2005). That said, he should at least be able to produce at his draft slot of WR32 in this mock.

7.04 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): Martavis Bryant, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

Inactive for the first six games, Bryant went on a scoring spree in his first four NFL games with a total of six touchdowns during that span. After that point, Bryant had just 12 catches for 239 yards and two touchdowns in the final six games of the season. Although Bryant could reach double-digit scores in 2015 and should start ahead of Markus Wheaton in two-WR sets, there will likely be some week-to-week inconsistency from Bryant as well, but he certainly has plenty of upside heading into his second season.

7.05 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons

Ryan has more than 4,500 passing yards in three consecutive seasons with the third-most (13,928) over that span behind only Brees (15,291) and Peyton Manning (14,863). In addition, Ryan has 26-plus touchdowns in five consecutive seasons and the sixth-most (143) during that span.

Over his past five seasons, Ryan has finished as a top-eight fantasy quarterback in four of them, which makes him a solid mid-QB1 option to target. That said, he has yet to finish as a top-six fantasy quarterback ever in his career -- and is the sixth fantasy QB off the board in this mock.

7.06 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Tre Mason, RB, St. Louis Rams

One year after Zac Stacy got a huge workload down the stretch, Mason, the team's third-round pick in 2014, emerged as the team's lead back over the second half of the season. Mason didn't get his first carry until Week 6, but he averaged 18.11 touches per game from Week 9 on. Unfortunately for Mason and his fantasy owners, the team used the 10th-overall pick on stud running back Todd Gurley. Mason may have a few games early this season as the featured back while Gurley rehabs from his ACL injury, but once Gurley is fully healthy, it's his job.

7.07 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers

Dealing with multiple injuries and missing two games, it was a down year for Newton who appeared to be less than 100 percent when he was on the field. That said, Newton has now exceeded 3,000 passing yards and 500 rushing yards in all four of his NFL seasons. Over those four seasons, he has averaged 3,606 passing yards and 20 passing touchdowns per season as well as 643 rushing yards and eight rushing touchdowns. And despite the down year, Newton finished seventh in fantasy points per game (17.78) among QBs.

7.08 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings

Possessing an impressive combination of size (6-2, 215) and athleticism (sub-4.4 forty), Johnson was reunited with Norv Turner in Minnesota after being released by the receiver-deficient Browns last offseason. In the final six games of the season, Johnson was on the field for all but 19 of the team's offensive snaps. And over his final seven games, Johnson posted 25 receptions for 415 yards and two touchdowns. With a full offseason and the continued development of second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, things should only be better for Johnson in 2015 and beyond.

7.09 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Tony Romo, QB, Dallas Cowboys

Over his past three seasons, Romo's pass attempts have dropped from 648 (2012) to 535 (2013) to 435 (2014). Despite the drop in volume, Romo threw 34 touchdowns, the most for him since 2007, with only nine interceptions, a four-year low. In addition, Romo led the league in Y/A (8.5), completion percentage (69.9), touchdown percentage (7.8) and passer rating (113.2) last year.

Assuming the team stays committed to the run game without DeMarco Murray, who signed a free-agent deal with the Eagles, Romo's upside could be somewhat limited if he throws in that 450-attempt range again this year. Despite his career year in efficiency, Romo finished just outside the top-10 fantasy quarterbacks last season.

7.10 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Duke Johnson, RB, Cleveland Browns

Johnson has generated plenty of buzz throughout offseason workouts and Sean once again lands Johnson after selecting him in our standard-scoring mock draft following the 2015 NFL Draft. The all-time rushing leader at The U., Johnson's production is especially impressive considering the school's alumni of talented backs (Frank Gore, Edgerrin James, Clinton Portis, etc.). While I like Johnson's skill set and his longer-term outlook, my only concern with Johnson is the potential for week-to-week variance in touches that we've seen with the Browns' backs last season.

7.11 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns

On a positive note, the coaching staff wants to lean on the rushing attack and the Browns have one of the better run-blocking offensive lines. On a less positive note (as noted with the previous pick), the coaching staff's allocation of carries was unpredictable on a weekly basis as the guy with the "best practice" during the week got the most carries. Ultimately, I still expect Crowell to be the most productive Browns running back in 2015.

7.12 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Victor Cruz, WR, New York Giants

With his season cut short after six games due to a torn patellar tendon, Cruz averaged just 56.2 yards per game, a four-year low, with only one touchdown. It appears that his rehab is going well as coach Tom Coughlin does not expect Cruz to start on the PUP list when training camp opens next month. That said, there is still significant separation between Cruz and and the team's new No. 1 wide receiver, Odell Beckham.

- Continue to Round 8 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

Go back to earlier rounds:
- Round 1 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 3 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 4 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 5 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 6 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

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Continue reading "2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 7" »

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 16 Teams, No. 9 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 16 teams, No. 9 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.09 - Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears: It's unlikely that Forte approaches the positional single-season receptions record (102) he set last year with the team's coaching change, but he has 1,400-plus yards from scrimmage in each of his seven of his NFL seasons. He should see a bump in carries, though, as the coaching staff tries to limit Jay Cutler's turnovers.

2.08 - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: One of year rookie receivers to reach the 1,000-yard milestone last season, Evans also scored 12 touchdowns as one of the league's best red-zone weapons.

3.09 - Brandin Cooks, WR, New Orleans Saints: Generated lots of positive buzz once again in the offseason, Cooks enters his second season as the team's top weapon on one of the league's most explosive passing offensives with Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills traded in the offseason.

4.08 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Limited in the first half of the season, Kelce still posted a 67/862/5 stat line last year. At full health in 2015, the sky is the limit for Kelce.

5.09 - LeGarrette Blount, RB, New England Patriots: In hindsight, I wish I had taken my second running back before this point, but Blount is clearly the team's lead back and should have some multi-touchdown games in New England's high-powered offense.

6.08 - Eli Manning, QB, New England Patriots: Following a slow start, Eli finished as a weekly top-five fantasy quarterback in five of his final 10 games and closed the year as a top-10 fantasy quarterback. With more comfort with the offense and healthier/additional options in the passing attack, Manning could post better numbers in 2015.

7.09 - Ryan Mathews, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: Durability is a concern for Mathews, but he has a pair of 1,000-yard seasons under his belt. Given DeMarco Murray's high volume of touches (497) last season, Mathews may have a few opportunities to carry the load in Philadelphia.

8.08 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: Johnson emerged last season in the second half and should build upon last year's breakout with continued development from second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater.

9.09 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Despite playing in one of the league's weakest passing attacks, Boldin has back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons in San Fran.

10.08 - Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Minnesota Vikings: Bridgewater closed the season strong with a completion rate of 68.0-plus percent in his final five games. With Adrian Peterson back to keep defenses honest, Bridgewater gives me a strong backup. With 30 QBs selected in this mock, there would not have been many options on the waiver wire, if necessary.

11.09 - Brian Quick, WR, St. Louis Rams: Quick was off to a solid start before a shoulder injury ended his season prematurely. Depending on his health, perhaps 2015 turns out to be the breakout season it appeared he was about to have in 2014.

12.08 - Cody Latimer, WR, Denver Broncos: With Julius Thomas and Wes Welker no longer in Denver, Latimer will have many more opportunities as the team's No. 3 wide receiver.

13.09 - Denver Broncos D/ST

14.08 - Bilal Powell, RB, New York Jets: Sadly, Powell is the best running back option available this late in this mock.

15.09 - Matt Prater, K, Detroit Lions:

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June 27, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 6

Continuing the new PPR Fantasy Football Mock Draft that we began on Monday, another round is complete and posted.

Here are Round 6 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

6.01 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Latavius Murray, RB, Oakland Raiders

Loaded with potential and upside, Murray is a physical freak that runs a sub-4.4 forty at 6-foot-3 and 225 pounds. Finally getting a chance to showcase what he could do down the stretch last season, Murray gained 478 yards from scrimmage over his final five games on a total of 83 touches (72 carries and 11 receptions). With Darren McFadden and Maurice Jones-Drew out and Trent Richardson and Roy Helu in, Murray should be given every opportunity to be the team's lead back in 2015.

6.02 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Peyton Manning, QB, Denver Broncos

The good news is that Manning has passed for 4,954 yards and 44 touchdowns per season over his three seasons in Denver. That said, Manning's most recent football was less inspiring -- 233.8 yards per game with five TDs and six INTs over his final five games. A thigh injury was at least partly to blame for his drop in production, but there are other concerns going into 2015: (1) offensive line losses (injury and free agency), (2) now 39 years old and (3) more of a balanced offense expected under Kubiak.

Given all of those things, Manning is still my fourth-ranked quarterback going into 2015 behind Aaron Rodgers, Andrew Luck and Russell Wilson and he has an average draft position of two rounds earlier than this.

6.03 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Joseph Randle, RB, Dallas Cowboys

Based on the composition of Sean's team through this point, Randle could be a key determinant to its success. Sean has perhaps the strongest receiving corps within the league as he used his first three picks on receivers -- Odell Beckham, Calvin Johnson and Jordan Matthews -- and a top-four tight end -- Greg Olsen. That means that he goes into the season with Carlos Hyde and Randle drafted as his top-two running backs.

We've seen how productive DeMarco Murray could be behind the Cowboys dominant offensive line with a high volume of work. Randle won't approach Murray's workload, obviously, and he's not nearly as talented as Murray, but he was productive on a per-touch basis (6.73 YPC) last year. I expect him to lead the backfield in touches and production even if it's a timeshare with McFadden and his high-upside nature lends well to Sean's strategy with this team's roster.

6.04 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Rashad Jennings, RB, New York Giants

Dealing with multiple injuries, Jennings played in just 11 games in his first season with the Giants. Second-year back Andre Williams will steal some goal-line opportunities and Shane Vereen will steal some of his passing-down work, which limits the weekly upside of the soon-to-be 30-year-old Jennings. On a positive note, the Giants used the ninth-overall pick on Ereck Flowers, one of the best run-blocking offensive linemen in this year's draft class. Only the Cardinals (3.3) and Chargers (3.4) averaged fewer YPC than the Giants (3.6) last season.

6.05 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): Shane Vereen, RB, New York Giants

Vereen is one of the league's better receiving backs and he set career highs last year with 52 catches for 447 yards. In fact, Vereen has a total of 99 receptions in 24 games over the past two seasons and has the potential to approach 70 receptions in 2015.

6.06 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

One of two second-round receivers selected by the Jaguars last season, A-Rob's season was cut short by a season-ending foot injury in Week 10, but he was quietly off to a strong rookie season. From Weeks 2 to 10, Robinson averaged 5.22 receptions and 60.89 yards per game. During that nine-game span, Robinson had a minimum of four receptions every game and more than 50 receiving yards in seven of nine games.

Especially if Blake Bortles takes a step forward going into his second season, Robinson could make a substantial leap forward in Year 2 with Cecil Shorts in Houston and Justin Blackmon unlikely to see the field this year.

6.07 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Darren McFadden, RB, Dallas Cowboys

Since entering the league as a top-four pick, McFadden has largely disappointed fantasy owners due to durability issues and/or a lack of production. Back in 2010 and 2011, he gave owners a glimpse of what could be with an average of 121.6 YFS per game and 5.27 YPC over 20 games played. For the first six seasons of his career, he missed at least three games every season and averaged only 11.17 per season before finally playing a full 16-game season in 2014. Over his past three seasons, however, he has averaged just 3.34 YPC.

Only 27 (turns 28 in August), McFadden has plenty of upside if he can stay healthy and get a sizable workload behind the Cowboys dominant offensive line although Randle appears to be the early favorite to lead the backfield's committee in touches.

6.08 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons

The biggest home run threat among rookie backs, Coleman rushed for 2,036 yards on his 270 carries last season with four 200-yard games and eight 60-yard runs, most in both categories. Clearly, that won't be repeated at the NFL level, but it clearly illustrates his big-play ability as he joins one of the league's better offenses.

Beat writer D. Orlando Ledbetter of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution gives Coleman the slight edge (1A to 1B) over Devonta Freeman in his early projected depth chart. That said, it has been Freeman in that role during the offseason workouts.

6.09 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): DeSean Jackson, WR, Washington Redskins

Despite the revolving door at quarterback, Jackson was one of the few bright spots for Washington's offense in 2014. In his first season with Washington, D-Jax finished with 56 catches for 1,169 yards and six touchdowns and he led the NFL in yards per reception (20.9). While he's better in standard-scoring formats (WR16 last year), he still finished as a top-24 receiver in PPR formats in 2014.

The biggest drawback of owning Jackson, however, is his boom-or-bust nature. Based on PPR scoring, Jackson finished as a weekly top-20 fantasy wide receiver in eight of 15 games. In his other seven games, he finished as the WR50 or worse six times.

6.10 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): Martellus Bennett, TE, Chicago Bears

Bennett set career highs across the board in 2014 with 90 receptions, 916 yards and six touchdowns. Finishing as a top-five scorer among tight ends, Bennett led the position in receptions and his 916 yards ranked third behind Gronkowski and Olsen. With the Bears trading Brandon Marshall to the Jets, Bennett has the potential to post even better numbers this season.

6.11 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): Nelson Agholor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

Landing in Chip Kelly's up-tempo offense bodes well for Agholor's short- and long-term fantasy outlook. While the Eagles lost Jeremy Maclin (6-0, 198, 4.48 forty) in free agency, Agholor (6-0, 198, 4.42 forty) has earned comparisons to the departed receiver. An excellent route runner, Agholor has the ability to play both inside and outside, is one of the most pro-ready receivers in this year's rookie crop and finished with a 104/1,313/12 stat line last year for USC.

6.12 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Montee Ball, RB, Denver Broncos

In general, I like the idea of drafting Ball late. But much later than this, however. I'm not sure why Sean was willing to take him so early especially given that his ADP (via FFC) of 12.01 is nearly twice this spot. If he wanted to make sure that he got Ball, he likely could have waited two more turns back at picks 10.12/11.01. This is definitely a head-scratcher.

- Continue to Round 7 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

Go back to earlier rounds:
- Round 1 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 3 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 4 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 5 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

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June 24, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 4 Pick, Super Flex

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 4 pick, PPR scoring, Super Flex
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and QB-eligible Flex (QB, RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.04 - Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: Charles has averaged 5.0-plus yards per carry in all seven of his NFL seasons, but he disappointed fantasy owners with his RB7 finish last year as he saw his touches drop from 21.93/G in 2013 to 16.4/G last year. Charles should see more touches in 2015.

2.09 - Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Posting career numbers virtually across the board, Roethlisberger finished as a top-five fantasy quarterback last year. With all 11 offensive starters returning including two of the league's most talented skill players (Antonio Brown and Le'Veon Bell), Big Ben has a chance for another top-five finish in 2015.

3.04 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: With QBs eligible at flex, this league/mock is a de facto 2-QB league. Eli started last season slowly in the team's new offensive scheme, but he finished strong with five weekly top-five performances in the final 10 weeks of the season to finish 2014 as the QB10.

4.09 - Brandin Cooks, WR, New Orleans Saints: One of the league's most dynamic weapons, Cooks was off to a good start in his rookie season before it ended prematurely. Like last year, Cooks has generated plenty of buzz in offseason workouts and has real breakout potential with Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills no longer on the roster.

5.04 - Lamar Miller, RB, Miami Dolphins: Miller had more than 15 carries in only four games last season yet he finished as a top-20 fantasy running back in 12 of 16 weeks and as the RB9 on the year. Even though the team drafted Jay Ajayi, Miller should see roughly the same number of touches this year as he had last season (15.88/G).

6.09 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Limited in the first half of the 2014 season, Kelce still finished as the TE6 in PPR formats. With no health/snap restrictions, the sky's the limit for Kelce in 2015.

7.04 - Brandon Marshall, WR, New York Jets: 2014 was a year to forget for the Bears and Marshall, who saw his 1,000-yard streak end. With good health, Marshall should once again exceed 1,000 yards in 2015 even if the Jets have the fewest passing yards over the past two seasons.

8.09 - Shane Vereen, RB, New York Giants: In the past two seasons, Vereen has a total of 99 receptions in 24 games.

9.04 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: One of my favorite wide receiver targets, Robinson is poised for a breakout after quietly posting strong rookie numbers. His season was cut short by a Week 10 foot injury, but he averaged 5.22 catches for 60.89 yards from Weeks 2 to 10.

10.09 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Even though the 49ers have the second-fewest passing yards since 2013, Boldin has exceeded 1,000 yards in both of his seasons with the Niners. Especially in PPR formats, I still expect him to outproduce his new (and former) teammate Torrey Smith.

11.04 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: Emerging in the second half last season, Johnson should build upon last year's second-half success especially with the continued development of second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater. Either way, he has plenty of upside as my WR5.

12.09 - Montee Ball, RB, Denver Broncos: Drafted in the first two rounds last season, Ball was one of fantasy's biggest disappointments. With C.J. Anderson having a firm grip on the featured-back role (at least entering the season), Ball has a much cheaper draft-day cost in 2015 but some upside as well.

13.04 - St. Louis Rams D/ST

14.09 - Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans: It was poor planning on my part, but both Roethlisberger and Manning share the same bye (Week 11). On a positive note, the fact that it's the last possible bye week and that Tennessee faces Jacksonville in Week 11, Mariota has some upside as a bye-week fill-in that week.

15.04 - Mason Crosby, K, Green Bay Packers:

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2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 5

Continuing the new 2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft we started on Monday, we have completed another round.

Here are Round 5 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

5.01 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Sammy Watkins, WR, Buffalo Bills

The fourth overall pick of the 2014 NFL Draft, Watkins finished his rookie campaign with 65 receptions for 982 yards and six touchdowns. While Watkins had four 100-yard games including a career-high 157 yards against his new head coach's former team, he also had nine games with 35 receiving yards or less. In a run-first offense with a less-than-ideal quarterback situation, there will still be plenty of weekly inconsistency from Watkins even though his overall numbers should improve on a year-over-year basis.

With only one running back on this roster so far (Le'Veon Bell, 1.01), I would have added an RB2 over Watkins (Sean's WR3) here as there are a few running backs on the board that I really like. And as great as Bell is (and will be) for this team, he stands to miss the first three games of the season.

5.02 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): T.J. Yeldon, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

Selected with a top-36 pick in this year's draft, Yeldon has excellent size (6-1, 225) and immediately goes to the front of the line in terms of the team's backfield depth chart. In fact, general manager David Caldwell said that he sees Yeldon as "a three-down back." Playing in an offense that ranked in the bottom two in both scoring and total offense last year could limit Yeldon's fantasy upside as a rookie, though.

5.03 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks

Finishing as a top-three fantasy quarterback in 2014, Wilson rushed for 849 yards and six touchdowns, both of which were career highs, and netted fantasy owners an average of 7.56 fantasy points per game from his rushing stats alone. While he won't post gaudy passing statistics in Seattle's run-dominant offense, Wilson is the first quarterback in league history to throw 20-plus touchdowns with 10 or fewer interceptions in each of his first three NFL seasons, per Pro Football Reference.

Wilson's volume of pass attempts may not jump a ton in 2015, but the Seahawks pulled off a blockbuster trade for tight end Jimmy Graham, which significantly boosts the team's weapons in the passing game and especially in the red zone.

5.04 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs

Kelce played only 52.3 percent of the team's offensive snaps from Weeks 1 to 10, but that percentage jumped to 86.7 percent from Weeks 11 to 17. Despite his snap-count limits during the first half of the season, Kelce still finished with 67 receptions, 862 yards and five touchdowns and the sixth-most fantasy points in PPR formats among tight ends last season. With good health, the sky is the limit for Kelce in 2015.

5.05 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders

No rookie receiver is more pro-ready than Cooper, the first Biletnikoff winner in Alabama history. Cooper racked up 124 receptions for 1,727 yards and 16 touchdowns last season and should become Derek Carr's go-to receiver immediately and the Raiders ranked fourth in the league in pass attempts per game (39.3) in 2014.

5.06 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona Cardinals

Opening (5/119) and closing (8/153/2) the season with a bang, Floyd had zero, one or two receptions in eight games last season and finished with a 47/841/6 line after his breakout second season (66/1,054/5). Given the team's quarterback injuries, however, it's no surprise that we didn't see Floyd take another step forward in 2014.

While there is some bounce-back appeal with Floyd, Dan is apparently much higher on Floyd than I am. Floyd's current ADP (via FFC) stands at 8.03 and I think Round 8 would be a fair spot for Floyd.

5.07 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): Alfred Morris, RB, Washington Redskins

Not much of a receiver, Morris is a decent value as the 23rd running back off the board. On average, he's going a round earlier than this in PPR mocks (ADP: 4.04, RB18). Morris averaged a career-low 4.1 YPC last season, but he rushed 265 times for 1,074, also career lows, and eight touchdowns.

Despite the shaky quarterback situation, Alf should benefit on a per-carry basis if RG3 is back as the starter with his athleticism putting additional strain on run defenses. Washington's offensive line struggled last year, but the team used the fifth-overall pick on Brandon Scherff and the addition of Bill Callahan to the coaching staff is certainly a positive for the team's offensive line play and rushing attack overall.

5.08 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers

I really like how this team is shaping up for Brendan. Through five rounds, he has Andrew Luck at quarterback, Dez Bryant and Emmanuel Sanders at receiver and Marshawn Lynch and Stewart at running back.

Over the final five games of the season, Stewart, who recently turned 28, rushed for 486 yards on 91 carries (5.34 YPC) and only DeMarco Murray (491) had more rushing yards during that span. With DeAngelo Williams now in Pittsburgh, it appears that the team finally recognizes that The Daily Show gives their offense the best opportunity for success.

5.09 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Kevin White, WR, Chicago Bears

From a dynasty standpoint, I'm a huge fan of White, who possesses a special combination of size (6-3, 215), speed (4.35 forty) and strength. During the draft process, NFL Network's Daniel Jeremiah compared White to Atlanta's Julio Jones.

That said, I'm not sure what to make of his 2015 re-draft impact. I do expect White to start early in his career, likely Week 1, but he's no better than fourth in line for targets/touches behind Alshon Jeffery, Matt Forte and Martellus Bennett. And based on reports from OTAs, it's possible that even Eddie Royal gets more targets than White.

5.10 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers

Posting career highs of 84 catches for 1,008 yards last season, Olsen now has at least 69 receptions and 816 yards while finishing as a top-seven fantasy tight end in each of the past three seasons. Over that three-year span, Graham (3,086) is the only tight end with more yards than Olsen (2,667) and only Graham (256) and Jason Witten (247) have more receptions than Olsen (226). Olsen has never had more than eight touchdowns in any season of his career, but he has at least five scores for seven consecutive seasons. In addition, Olsen is extremely durable having played all 16 games in seven consecutive seasons.

5.11 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): C.J. Spiller, RB, New Orleans Saints

His free-agent landing spot may not maximize his opportunities for carries, but Spiller is certainly more attractive in PPR formats (like this mock). I have faith in Sean Payton's ability to utilize Spiller correctly (or at least much better than Doug Marrone had) to maximize his production on a per-touch basis and many of the receptions that went to Pierre Thomas and Travaris Cadet last season could find their way to Spiller.

5.12 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Jeremy Maclin, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

After sitting out all of 2013 with a torn ACL, Maclin returned to the Eagles on a one-year deal and posted a career-best season (85/1,318/10) in Chip Kelly's offense. He then parlayed that success into a five-year deal to reunite with his former coach Andy Reid. Few players, if any, have seen their fantasy stock drop more in free agency than Maclin, however, as he transitions to an offense with a quarterback incapable and/or unwilling to challenge opposing defenses down the field. As the 28th receiver off the board, however, this is a fair spot for him.

- Continue to Round 6 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

Go back to earlier rounds:
- Round 1 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 3 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 4 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

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Poll: Which QB will score more fantasy points in 2015 - Aaron Rodgers or Andrew Luck?

In any fantasy football (mock) draft this season, the first quarterback to be selected will almost always be either Aaron Rodgers or Andrew Luck.

Based on ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator, Luck (2.04) and Rodgers (2.07) are both second-round picks, on average, and then the next three quarterbacks are being selected in the fourth or fifth round: Peyton Manning (4.01), Russell Wilson (4.10) and Drew Brees (5.05).

Based on my 2015 Fantasy Football Rankings, I have Rodgers ranked (slightly) ahead of Luck.

Here's what I wrote in my fantasy rankings on the two quarterbacks:

Rodgers: The reigning NFL Most Valuable Player, Rodgers was also the top-scoring fantasy quarterback as well. Since becoming Green Bay's starting quarterback seven years ago, Rodgers has finished as a top-two fantasy quarterback in six of seven seasons with the lone exception due to injury (broken clavicle, 2013). Over the past four seasons, Rodgers has compiled a combined 139:25 TD-to-INT ratio with an average of 8.5 yards per attempt, 112.6 passer rating and 67.0 completion percentage.

Luck: Throwing for 4,761 yards and a league-leading 40 touchdowns, both of which were career highs, Luck's 40 TDs last season nearly equalled his total from his first two seasons combined (46 TDs). During the season, Luck had the second-longest streak of 300-yard games (eight) in NFL history. Like with Rodgers, Luck gets a boost from his mobility and he has rushed 62-64 times in all three seasons with at least 255 yards each year and a total of 12 touchdowns.

Both signal-callers have talented players around them -- Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Davante Adams and Eddie Lacy in Green Bay and T.Y. Hilton, Andre Johnson, Frank Gore, Dwayne Allen and Coby Fleener in Indianapolis, among others.

Both are tremendous options, but which of these two stud QBs will score more fantasy points in 2015?

Continue reading "Poll: Which QB will score more fantasy points in 2015 - Aaron Rodgers or Andrew Luck?" »

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 4

On Monday, four of our contributors began a new 2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft.

With this being a "slow" mock draft, we are posting picks/rounds as they are complete and Round 4 is now complete and posted.

Here are Round 4 results of our 2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft:

4.01 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 3): Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans Saints

Durability has been a concern for Ingram with three or more missed games in three of his four NFL seasons. When he was on the field, however, Ingram averaged a career-high 17.4 rush attempts and 74.2 rushing yards per game while scoring nine times in 13 games. By trading two of their top pass-catchers and adding reinforcements to their offensive line, the transition to more of a run-game commitment should begin in earnest this season.

4.02 - Kevin Hanson (Team 3): Lamar Miller, RB, Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins coaching staff seemed reluctant to give Miller as much work as his fantasy owners would have liked, but Miller was highly productive on a per-touch basis (5.09 YPC, 7.24 Y/R). With more than 15 carries in only four games last season, Miller still managed to post his first-ever 1,000-yard season (1,099 rushing yards). In addition, Miller was very consistent throughout the season as he finished as a top-20 fantasy running back in 12 of 16 weeks.

With the Phins selecting Jay Ajayi in this year's draft, Miller's upside is perhaps capped as Ajayi has the skill set of a three-down back. That said, Miller averaged only 15.88 touches per game last season and it's difficult for me to imagine him averaging less than that in 2015.

4.03 - Sean Beazley (Team 3): Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers

With Frank Gore signing a free-agent deal with the Colts, Hyde projects atop the 49ers depth chart at running back although they signed Reggie Bush in free agency and drafted Mike Davis as well. Behind Gore last year, Hyde had just 83 carries for 333 yards and four touchdowns as a rookie.

Not only will his workload expand significantly, but I expect his effectiveness on a per-carry basis to increase from last year's 4.0 yards-per-carry average. On a positive note, Hyde has shed some weight and is now in the "mid 220-pound range," which should improve his elusiveness yet still allow him to flourish near the goal line.

4.04 - Sean Beazley (Team 2): Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

Better suited for his return to a change-of-pace role, Bernard should still have the opportunity to be productive as an RB2 in PPR leagues this year although he's Sean's RB1. As beat writer Paul Dehner Jr. noted earlier this offseason, "... once settling into a complementary role the final three weeks, [Bernard] returned to the explosive, multi-dimensional player the Bengals team envisioned."

Without a doubt, Jeremy Hill is poised for a monster season as the team's featured back. But in the final three games where Hill carried the ball at least 22 times for 100-plus yards, Bernard finished as a weekly top-12 running back in PPR scoring in each of those three games.

4.05 - Brendan Donahue (Team 3): Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos

In his first season with the Broncos, Sanders blew his previous career highs out of the water. With previous career highs set in 2013 of 67/740/6, Sanders finished with 101 receptions for 1,404 yards and nine touchdowns. While the Broncos offense should be more run-pass balanced than last year, Sanders is a solid WR2 for Brendan.

4.06 - Brendan Donahue (Team 2): Todd Gurley, RB, St. Louis Rams

Arguably the best running back prospect since Minnesota's Adrian Peterson, Gurley ended the drought of first-round running backs and possesses all of the physical tools to be a dominant RB1-type back for years to come. With his combination of size and speed, Gurley has the ability to run over and/or outrun opposing tacklers. Still only 20 years old (turns 21 in August), Gurley's rehab from his torn ACL likely means that the Rams will be cautious at the beginning the season and it wouldn't surprise me if he began the season on the PUP list. Because of the uncertainty with Gurley for the start of the season, there are a few backs that I'd prefer over him at this point.

4.07 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 2): Joique Bell, RB, Detroit Lions

There are some pauses for concern with Bell: (1) back-to-back seasons with less than 4.0 YPC, (2) the team's selection of Ameer Abdullah in the second round and (3) a couple of ("minor") offseason surgeries. With that said, Bell, the 20th RB off the board in this mock, still finished with the 13th-most fantasy points among running backs in PPR scoring last season. Not only did he set career highs with 223 carries for 860 yards, but Bell has a total of 139 receptions over the past three seasons.

4.08 - Dan Yanotchko (Team 1): Jarvis Landry, WR, Miami Dolphins

Among rookies, only his ex-LSU teammate Odell Beckham (91) had more receptions than Landry (84) last season. Over the final nine games of the season, Landry had a minimum of five receptions each game and racked up a total of 59 catches over that span. In addition, he had at least nine targets in six of his final eight games. While this is a little early (WR20) for Landry for my taste, he's clearly a stronger option in PPR formats and should improve upon his 84/758/5 rookie numbers, especially with the majority of the team's new pass-catchers being newcomers.

4.09 - Kevin Hanson (Team 2): Andre Johnson, WR, Indianapolis Colts

After back-to-back 1,400-yard seasons, Johnson finished with 85 receptions for just 936 yards and three touchdowns in 2014. Johnson's 62.4 Y/G and 11.0 Y/R were his lowest since 2005. Released by the Texans this offseason, Johnson signed with the Colts and gets a major upgrade in quarterback situation with Andrew Luck. Johnson, who turns 34 in July, may never record another 1,400-yard season, but 1,000-plus yards seems likely. In fact, Reggie Wayne's age-34 season (106/1,355/5) with the Colts gives some hope that he can really outperform this draft slot.

4.10 - Kevin Hanson (Team 1): Brandon Marshall, WR, New York Jets

A lot went wrong for Marshall and the Bears offense last season as he missed multiple games, was limited in others, Jay Cutler struggled and was benched, the coaching staff was replaced, etc. Posting his lowest totals for both receptions (61) and yards (721) since his rookie season, Marshall was traded to the Jets in the offseason and gets a fresh start (even if the passing offense isn't an upgrade). A return to his 2012 or 2013 numbers appear unlikely, but I expect him to start a new streak of 1,000-yard seasons. Before last year, Marshall had seven consecutive 1,000-yard seasons.

4.11 - Brendan Donahue (Team 1): Frank Gore, RB, Indianapolis Colts

Earlier in this round, I mentioned there were a few backs that I like more than Gurley, Brendan's pick for one of his other teams; Gore is one of those backs. Offensively, the Colts are a huge upgrade over the 49ers and they ran the second-most plays behind the Eagles while putting up the third-most yards and sixth-most points.

Gore has been remarkably consistent and durable as he rushed for 1,000-plus yards in eight of his past nine seasons with at least 1,100 rushing yards in four consecutive seasons. I'm not sure the streak will continue given his age (32), but Chuck Pagano has said that he still views Gore as an every-down back. One of the league's better pass-catching backs earlier in his career, Gore should be much more involved as a receiver than he has been over the past four seasons (average of 18 catches per season) in San Francisco.

4.12 - Sean Beazley (Team 1): Keenan Allen, WR, San Diego Chargers

While his receptions increased from 71 to 77 in 2014, Allen's yardage (1,046 to 783) and touchdowns (eight to four) both dropped and he finished as only the 48th-highest scoring wide receiver last season. Turning just 23 in April, Allen should have a bounce-back season in 2015.

- Continue to Round 5 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

Go back to earlier rounds:
- Round 1 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 2 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft
- Round 3 of our Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft

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Continue reading "2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: Round 4" »

June 23, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 14 Teams, No. 10 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 14 teams, No. 10 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.10 - Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots: No player is more dominant atop his position's rankings as Gronkowski. After two-injury plagued seasons, Gronk posted a stat line of 82/1,124/12 and scored nearly 20 percent more than last year's TE2 (Antonio Gates).

2.05 - Jeremy Hill, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: No running back rushed for more yards than Hill (929) over the final nine games of the season. Entering 2015 as the team's lead back, Hill has legitimate RB1 upside in 2015.

3.10 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: Hopkins took a big step forward in his second season with 1,210 yards and should take an additional step forward in year three. The only concern is the team's less-than-inspiring quarterback situation.

4.05 - Andre Ellington, RB, Arizona Cardinals: The obvious concern with Ellington is his ability to hold up for a full season in a featured-back role. And while his per-carry average plunged from 5.5 in 2013 to 3.3 in 2014, Ellington battled injuries all season (and is healthy now) and the team has upgraded its offensive line in both free agency (Iupati) and the draft (Humphries).

5.10 - Vincent Jackson, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: V-Jax scored just two touchdowns last year, but he posted another 1,000-yard season. At 6-foot-5, Jackson should see his red-zone production improve -- of course, it'd be hard for it to deteriorate.

6.05 - Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers: Four years into his NFL career, Newton has (an NFL-record) four seasons with 3,000-plus passing yards and 500-plus rushing yards. Despite missing a couple of games and being less than 100 percent most of the year, Newton still averaged the seventh-most fantasy points per game among QBs.

7.10 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: Going into the 2015 season, Joique Bell will top the team's backfield depth chart, but he has averaged less than 4.0 YPC in each of the past two seasons. It's certainly possible that Abdullah overtakes him as early as this season.

8.05 - Ryan Mathews, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: While he'll take on a secondary role behind fellow free-agent addition DeMarco Murray, Mathews is a talented runner in his own right with a pair of 1,000-yard seasons over his five-year career. While durability has been a concern for Mathews (avg. 12 games per year), Murray is coming off an historic 497-touch campaign and has had his own share of durability issues.

9.10 - Nelson Agholor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: In this year's rookie crop of receivers, few are as pro-ready as Agholor, who can play on both the outside and inside. Landing in Chip Kelly's high-octane offense could lead to similar production for Agholor as Jordan Matthews had as a rookie last season (WR25).

10.05 - David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals: With Ellington's durability concerns, it makes sense to cuff him with Johnson, especially in a deeper league. Johnson will be involved when Ellington is healthy and should get the coveted goal-line opportunities, but he would become a workhorse if/when Ellington misses time.

11.10 - John Brown, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Brown had a productive rookie season, especially considering the injuries to the team's quarterbacks, but the ultra-quick second-year receiver should build upon last year's solid rookie season.

12.05 - Colin Kaepernick, QB, San Francisco 49ers: Kaepernick had a disappointing season, but his unique physical tools give him the upside that few fantasy quarterbacks possess.

13.10 - Denver Broncos D/ST

14.05 - Justin Tucker, K, Baltimore Ravens

15.10 - Rueben Randle, WR, New York Giants: Entering his fourth season, Randle just turned 24 in May and had a career year last season (71/938/3). While Victor Cruz is expected to be ready for the start of the season, Randle has some upside in the last round of this mock.

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football Resources:

Continue reading "2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 14 Teams, No. 10 Pick" »


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Most-Accurate 2015 NFL Mock Draft
EDSFootball.com owner Kevin Hanson had the most accurate 2015 NFL Mock Draft among the 113 analysts/experts tracked by The Huddle Report.

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