January 25, 2015

Josh Gordon fails another drug test, faces year-long suspension

As Yogi Berra would say, it's déjà vu all over again.

Per ESPN's Adam Schefter, Cleveland Browns wide receiver Josh Gordon has failed another drug test and now faces a year-long suspension for the 2015 season. Gordon tested positive for alcohol, which is one of the things for which he was being tested since his DUI in July.

Gordon seemed to be one of the rare supplemental draft picks that worked out after leading the NFL in receiving in 2013 (although he was suspended for the first two games that season).

Last year, Gordon was suspended for the first 10 games of the season by the league for violating the substance-abuse policy and the final game of the season by the team for violating team rules.

There were offseason reports suggesting that the team and Gordon were likely to part ways. With the suspension looming, however, it would be virtually impossible to find a trade partner for Gordon.

At this point, an appeal of the suspension is unlikely to be successful as well.

Turning 24 years old in April, Gordon obviously has an issue and hopefully this leads to him seeking the help that he needs. But it's sad to see someone waste so much talent.

January 24, 2015

2014 NFL Postseason Award Predictions: Coach of the Year

On the eve of Super Bowl XLIX, the NFL will announce the winners of all the AP NFL postseason awards on the NFL Honors award-presentation show.

Over the course of the next week, I will post my thoughts on who should win each award and I'll start the process today with the AP NFL Coach of the Year.

[Related: Past winners of the AP NFL Coach of the Year Award]

Projected Winner: Bruce Arians, Arizona Cardinals

If Arians wins the award, it will mark the second time in three seasons that he has done so. That said, this was only the second season that he began a season as a team's head coach.

A couple of years ago, Arians filled in as the interim head coach for Chuck Pagano, who battled leukemia for the majority of the season. Despite facing such an enormous challenge so briefly into the new regime's tenure with a rookie quarterback (Andrew Luck) as well, Arians (and Pagano) guided the club to an 11-5 record and a return to the playoffs.

Since the Cardinals signed Arians as their head coach following that season, he has led the team to back-to-back seasons with double-digit wins in the tough NFC West including an 11-win season this year.

Just like in 2012, Arians would be the last guy to make excuses. That said, the Cardinals have dealt with more than their fair share of adversity this season.

Not only did starting quarterback Carson Palmer play just six games, but second-stringer Drew Stanton went down with a knee injury as well. Ryan Lindley started three games counting their playoff loss and rookie Logan Thomas nearly became a fourth starter for the team before Arians had a change of heart prior to Week 17's game against the Niners.

While the quarterback injuries were the most devastating, multiple key defensive players missed all or almost all of the season. After being suspended for the first four games of the 2013 season, inside linebacker Daryl Washington was suspended for the entire 2014 season. In addition, Darnell Dockett was lost for the entire year after tearing his ACL in August and the team's leading pass rusher from 2013, John Abraham, was lost for the season after Week 1.

In addition, other key players were lost for multiple games during the season -- Andre Ellington, Larry Fitzgerald, Calais Campbell and Tyrann Mathieu to name a few.

As the season progressed, the Cardinals embodied the "next man up" philosophy by winning 11 of their first 13 games. The injuries eventually became too much to overcome as they lost their final three regular-season games and were one-and-done in the postseason.

Few coaches can lead their teams to the success that Arians had with limited obstacles. Even fewer can do so when confronted with the challenges that Arians had to overcome.

Projected Runner-up: Jason Garrett, Dallas Cowboys

Expectations for the Cowboys were low. Several people (including yours truly) thought that the annual standard of mediocrity (8-8) would be difficult to repeat. Instead, the Cowboys were one of five teams to win a league-most 12 games along with the Patriots, Broncos, Packers and Seahawks. In addition, they were the only team to win all eight of their regular-season road games.

Not only did DeMarco Murray lead the NFL in rushing, but Tony Romo led the NFL in passer rating and Dez Bryant led all receivers in touchdowns. The offensive line has become one of the league's best with multiple Pro Bowlers and their strong commitment to the run game helped to mask the deficiencies of a bad defense.

No team exceeded expectations more than the Cowboys and Garrett is a close runner-up in my view.

Over the next couple of days, I will post the remainder of my predictions for all of the major NFL postseason awards as well as my prediction for Super Bowl XLIX.

If you're looking ahead to the NFL Draft, check out my 2015 NFL mock draft.

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January 23, 2015

Trent Richardson suspended for one game if he's back with Colts in 2015

This should come as a surprise to nobody, but Colts general manager Ryan Grigson was non-committal about the status of running back Trent Richardson for next season, according to ESPN's Mike Wells.

Guaranteed a salary of more than $3.1 million for 2015, Richardson is otherwise scheduled to become an unrestricted free agent in 2015.

If Richardson is back with the Colts in 2015, he will be suspended for a second game next season. (He was suspended for the AFC Championship Game.)

Since trading a first-round pick for T-Rich, he has rushed for 977 yards on 316 carries (3.09 per carry) and six touchdowns with 55 catches for 494 yards and a touchdown in 29 regular-season games. In three playoff games, he has one yard on four carries.

January 21, 2015

Fantasy NBA DraftKings DFS Values (Jan. 21st)

In order to fit studs like DeMarcus Cousins ($11,100), Kevin Durant ($10,700) or LeBron James ($10,700) into our DraftKings lineups tonight, finding values at other roster spots is imperative.

Like most Wednesdays, it's another large slate (12 games) today, which increases the odds of finding value at other spots.

For this post, I will focus on players with a salary of $6,500 or less to highlight the mid- and low-priced players that I like for tonight's games.

[Note: Our NBA DFS posts are primarily posted on our basketball blog, The Basketball Junkie.]

With that said, here are some DraftKings values for Wednesday's NBA games:

PG - Jarrett Jack, Brooklyn Nets (at SAC), $6,300: With Deron Williams out, Jack remains a strong option among the mid-priced point guards. In his past eight games, Jack is averaging 32.19 fantasy points per game with 38.5 or more in half of those games including back-to-back games against the Wizards. During that eight-game span, Jack has averaged 15.63 points, 7.38 assists, 3.5 rebounds and 3.13 three-pointers in nearly 37 minutes per game. Meanwhile, the Kings have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season.

PG - Mo Williams, Minnesota Timberwolves (vs. DAL), $6,200: Williams is coming off a disappointing performance (18 fantasy points in 29 minutes), but he had at least 25 fantasy points in the previous seven games with 42-plus points in three of them. Assuming that Ricky Rubio misses at least one more game, Williams has plenty of upside in what should be a fast-paced game. Both teams rank in the top-third of the league in terms of pace. (That said, I'll like Williams a little less if Kevin Martin (GTD) suits up tonight although he may be on a minutes restriction if he does.)

PG - Trey Burke, Utah Jazz (at CLE), $5,600: Burke has scored at least 22.75 fantasy points in 11 consecutive games and has averaged 30.68 points over that span. Burke is averaging 16.9 points, 5.1 assists and a steal per game during that span and gets a great matchup against Kyrie Irving and the Cavs, who have surrendered the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season.

PG - Elfrid Payton, Orlando Magic (at DET), $5,400: Payton has now scored 40-plus fantasy points in back-to-back games and 30-plus fantasy points in four consecutive games. Arguably the best defender in last year's draft class, Payton has multiple steals in all four of those games, but he has surprisingly stepped up offensively with 22 and 19 points in his past two games, respectively. Over his past four games, he is averaging 16.5 points, 7.8 assists, 4.5 rebounds and 2.3 steals per game.

PG - Langston Galloway, New York Knicks (at PHI), $3,600: With three opportunities to start a point guard on DraftKings (PG, G and UTIL spots), that's typically a strategy that I use most nights and will do so again tonight in many of my lineups. There are plenty of great mid-priced options, as mentioned above, but Galloway is a much cheaper option that is likely to draw another start and no team allows more fantasy points to opposing point guards than the 76ers. Galloway has averaged 21.75 fantasy points in his five games with the Knicks including a pair of 30-point fantasy outings.

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SG - Wesley Matthews, Portland Trail Blazers (at PHO), $5,700: Matthews' minutes won't directly benefit from the injury to LaMarcus Aldridge, but his usage rate and shot attempts will. With Aldridge playing only 14 minutes before his injury on Monday, Matthews took a season-high 20 shot attempts including 12 three-point attempts. He now has 26 three-point attempts in his past two games. Dollar for dollar, Matthews may be my favorite play among SGs tonight.

SG - Eric Gordon, New Orleans Pelicans (vs. LAL), $5,400: If Jrue Holiday (ankle) misses another game, that would benefit Gordon. Since returning from his own injury on Jan. 5th, Gordon has played 33-plus minutes in seven of eight games. In his past seven games, Gordon has scored a minimum of 22.5 fantasy points and he's averaged 27.57 per game over that span.

SG - J.R. Smith, Cleveland Cavaliers (vs. UTA), $4,900: Smith has averaged over 35 minutes per game in his past six outings with 17.0 points, 3.3 treys and 1.8 steals per game during that span. With at least 22.5 fantasy points in five of those six games, he has averaged 28.58 fantasy points over that stretch. Meanwhile, Utah has allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards this season.

SF - Nicolas Batum, Portland Trail Blazers (at PHO), $5,400: Things haven't gone so well for Batum (and his fantasy/DFS owners), but that has led to a more modest price tag. Although he has failed to reach 20 fantasy points in four consecutive games, Batum could shoulder a little more of the load with Aldridge out. In addition, the Suns play at the third-fastest pace and rank fifth in most turnovers per game (15.3) and Batum is less of a scorer and more of a player that contributes across multiple stat categories.

SF - Jeff Green, Memphis Grizzlies (vs. TOR), $5,000: Excluding his debut with the Grizzlies, Green has scored 28.25-31.25 fantasy points with at least 30 minutes in his other three games with his new team. During that three-game span, he has at least 14 shot attempts each night and has posted an average of 16.3 points, 6.0 rebounds and a steal per game. The Raptors have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards this season.

PF - Donatas Motiejunas, Houston Rockets (at GS), $5,500: In a game with a 218.0 over/under, there should be plenty of fantasy points tonight. Motiejunas has now scored double-digit (real) points in 12 consecutive games and has now scored at least 24.75 fantasy points in seven consecutive games. Against the Warriors on Jan. 17th, Motiejunas scored 29.75 fantasy points in less than 22 minutes, a 12-game low in minutes. Over the past 12 games, he has averaged nearly 30 minutes per game.

PF - Nerlens Noel, Philadelphia 76ers (vs. NYK), $5,300: While he may lack some consistency, Noel has been getting consistent playing time with 30-plus minutes in six of his past seven games. Over his past four games, Noel has averaged 11.75 points, 8.25 rebounds, 2.5 steals and 2.25 blocks per game. Noel needs 31.8 fantasy points to reach six times his salary and he has scored 31.5 or more fantasy points in three of his past four games.

PF - Channing Frye, Orlando Magic (at DET), $5,000: This play is contingent upon the status of Tobias Harris, who is considered a game-time decision for tonight's game. If Harris can't go, Frye should continue to benefit. In the five-game stretch that Harris has missed, Frye has averaged nearly 36 minutes and 27.95 fantasy points per game. Frye's shooting percentage (15-of-51, 29.4 percent) during that stretch has been awful, but 41 of his 51 attempts have been from behind the arc and he still has a minimum of 21.5 fantasy points in those games despite poor shooting.

C - Tyson Chandler, Dallas Mavericks (at MIN), $6,300: Typically Chandler isn't someone that finds his way into my lineups, but he now has three consecutive double-doubles with at least 35 fantasy points. Meanwhile, the T'Wolves have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season so Chandler has an excellent shot at reaching value once again.

C - Alex Len, Phoenix Suns (vs. POR), $4,800: With injuries to Robin Lopez and LMA, Len gets a favorable matchup against a Blazers' front court that lacks depth. Len is coming off his worst performance (21 fantasy points in 19 minutes) over his past seven games, but he had a minimum of 26 fantasy points with an average of 30.54 in his previous six games.

C - Chris Kaman, Portland Trail Blazers (at PHO), $4,400: Kaman had just 12 fantasy points in 19 minutes on MLK Jr. Day, but he averaged 28 minutes and 26.31 fantasy points in his previous four games. With the injuries in the Blazers' front court, Kaman should see close to 30 minutes tonight and he has averaged 1.05 DK points per minute this season.

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January 18, 2015

NFC Championship Game Prediction: Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers

The rematch of the NFL regular-season opener between the Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers will determine which team represents the NFC in Super Bowl XLIX.

Vegas lines for the NFC Championship Game: Seahawks -8.0, O/U: 46.5

Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson is one of the most mobile quarterbacks in the league and he rushed for 849 yards, tied for 16th in the NFL with Denver's C.J. Anderson, and six touchdowns. In addition, only eight other players had more 100-yard rushing games than Wilson (three).

That said, Wilson uses his mobility first to extend pass plays. Wilson boasts an efficient 72:25 career TD-to-INT ratio over his first three seasons. No other quarterback has begun his NFL career with 70-plus touchdowns and less than 30 interceptions in his first three NFL seasons.

The team lacks an elite wide receiver, however. In fact, Wilson has as many 100-yard rushing games as the entire Seahawks pass-catchers have 100-yard receiving games (three).

With Wilson spreading the wealth around, Doug Baldwin led the team in targets with 98, but 53 other players had more than he had this season. Tight end Luke Willson has excellent speed (4.51 forty) at the position and has emerged with 239 yards and three touchdowns over his past three games. On the season, Baldwin (two) and Willson (one) have all three of the team's 100-yard receiving games.

[Related: Baldwin provides value as the lowest cost-per-point receiver in FanDuel contests this weekend.]

When it comes to volume, Marshawn Lynch should expect to see another heavy workload. Lynch, who is four-for-four in seasons with 1,200-plus rushing yards and double-digit touchdowns as a Seahawk, carried the ball 20 times for 110 yards and two touchdowns in the season opener.

Along with Matt Forte (Week 4) and Mark Ingram (Week 8), Lynch is one of three 100-yard rushers allowed by the Packers in the regular season. After Week 8, however, they have been much better against the run. In their final eight regular-season games, the Packers allowed just 3.43 yards per carry (only the Lions and Patriots held opponents to less).

Keeping Lynch from going Beast Mode will be a key to pulling off the upset, but the Packers will need a strong outing from their own physical running back as well. Second-year back Eddie Lacy started the season slowly, but he has finished the season strong. Over his past 10 games, Lacy has 173 carries for 871 yards (5.03 YPC), 30 receptions for 351 yards and nine total touchdowns.

Of course, the biggest key could be Aaron Rodgers -- and specifically his (injured) calf.

Perhaps the biggest favorite to win another MVP award, Rodgers posted his sixth-consecutive season with a triple-digit passer rating and the second-highest of his career (111.0). With a 28:0 TD-to-INT ratio at home (including last week's playoff win), Rodgers has a more human ratio (13:5) on the road. Rodgers threw for only 189 yards, one touchdown and one interception against the Seahawks in Week 1.

Green Bay has one of the league's better 1-2 duos at wide receiver with Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb and Davante Adams has emerged as a trusted third option for Rodgers, but the Legion of Boom led the NFL in total defense, scoring defense and passing defense. Meanwhile, it's a tough matchup for Lacy as well as the Seahawks allowed the third-fewest rushing yards (81.5 YPG, 3.4 YPC) this season.

While he may not generate the type of chunk running plays that Wilson does, Rodgers is one of the league's best at extending plays due to his mobility when he's healthy. But he's not healthy. Against a much more formidable defense this week, Rodgers is unlikely to have the type of success he had last week.

I expect the Seahawks to advance and for Wilson to become the first quarterback in league history to start two Super Bowls in his first three NFL seasons.

Final score prediction: Seattle Seahawks 28, Green Bay Packers 20

-> My AFC Championship Game Prediction for Patriots vs. Colts

Related: NFC Championship Game History - Fantasy Football Playoff Rankings

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January 17, 2015

AFC Championship Game Prediction: New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts

Regardless of the sport, few franchises have been as consistent and successful as the New England Patriots and Indianapolis Colts over the past decade-plus.

Winners of double-digit regular-season games in 12 consecutive seasons, the Patriots will be appearing in their fourth consecutive AFC Championship Game. For the third time over the past four years, the path to the Super Bowl runs through Foxboro.

Meanwhile, the Colts have won double-digit games in 12 of the past 13 seasons. The one exception was Peyton Manning's (neck) missed season (2-14) and the Colts earned ("lucked" into) the right to draft Andrew Luck with the first overall pick of the 2012 NFL Draft.

Despite both team's regular-season success, this year will mark only the third time ever that these two franchises have met in the AFC Championship Game and they split the other two matchups in this round.

Vegas lines for AFC Championship Game: Patriots -7.0, O/U: 54.0

As much as any team in the league, the Patriots tailor their game plans to their opponents on a weekly basis. Facing one of the league's best run defenses in the Divisional Round, the Patriots essentially abandoned their running game with only one second-half rush attempt aside from kneeldowns. And that rush attempt was from quarterback Tom Brady.

This week against the Colts, we should see much more of the ground attack from the Patriots. Not only did Jonas Gray rush for 201 yards and four touchdowns against the Colts in Week 11, but LeGarrette Blount rushed for 166 yards and four touchdowns last postseason against the Colts. On the season, the Colts ranked in the bottom half of the league in rushing yards allowed (113.4 per game and 4.3 per carry). In the playoffs, they have allowed 4.83 YPC (41 carries for 198 yards) to the Bengals and Broncos.

Given their success running the ball, Brady threw only 30 pass attempts in Week 11 and just 25 pass attempts against them in the playoffs last year. Of course, Rob Gronkowski is a difficult matchup regardless of the opponent, but the Colts in general have struggled against tight ends. The Colts have allowed a stat line of 83/954/10 to opposing tight ends; only three teams allowed more yards to the position this year.

If the Colts are going to pull off the upset, third-year quarterback Andrew Luck will need to shoulder most of the load. On a positive note, Luck has thrown for more than 300 yards in all three of his previous matchups against the Patriots. That said, Luck has completed only 53.85 percent of his pass attempts (70 of 130) with more interceptions (eight) than touchdowns (six).

By signing shutdown cornerback Darrelle Revis in the offseason, the Patriots pass defense is as good as it's been in a while. Based on PFF pass-coverage grades, the Patriots graded out as a top-five defense in pass coverage. Although he shadowed Reggie Wayne the first time around, the chances that Revis shadows T.Y. Hilton seems high especially considering he recently posted a picture of Hilton on Instagram.

Even if Revis shadows and shuts down Hilton, who had only three catches for 24 yards the first time around, the Colts offense spread the ball around quite a bit. Both of their tight ends (Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen) and running back Dan Herron, who has 18 receptions over the past two weeks, are heavily involved in the pass offense as well.

Herron has a total of 53 touches including those 18 receptions over the past two weeks for a total of 236 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns. With Trent Richardson inactive last week and not making the trip this week, Herron is clearly the guy. That said, the Colts have not had a 100-yard rusher since Dec. 16, 2012 (Vick Ballard).

In each of the three games that Luck has faced the Patriots, the Colts have lost every game by 21 points or more. While I think they game will be closer this time around, the Patriots seem to have Luck's number and I expect Brady to make his sixth Super Bowl appearance.

Final score prediction: New England Patriots 31, Indianapolis Colts 20

Related: AFC Championship Game History - Fantasy Football Playoff Rankings

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Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): FanDuel Favorite Plays for Championship Games

After posting my favorite DraftKings plays for this weekend earlier this week, tonight I turn my attention to FanDuel contests.

Like with the DraftKings post, I will focus on plays that I like regardless of salary (as opposed to normal emphasis placed on low-priced values) given that there is only a two-game slate this weekend.

As you can imagine with only four teams in action, there is a ton of overlap between these two posts. With that said, here are the FanDuel plays that will be in many of my lineups this weekend:

QB - Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts (at NE), $9,200

Separated by only $300 of salary, the four starting quarterbacks are priced in the same tier and Luck is my top-ranked quarterback for the weekend. Based on my fantasy football projections, Luck is the best value on a cost-per-projected-point basis ($443.37) despite owning this weekend's highest salary. More so than any of the other three quarterbacks this weekend, the Colts will rely on Luck to do the heavy lifting to give them a shot to advance to Super Bowl XLIX.

QB - Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks (vs. GB), $8,900

Wilson is my second-ranked fantasy quarterback yet he's the least expensive of the starters this weekend. In terms of salary per projected point, Wilson's cost ($445.89) is only slightly more than Luck's and a lot lower than those of Tom Brady ($475.94) and Aaron Rodgers ($604.25). Even though 18 quarterbacks threw the ball more than Wilson over the course of the regular season, only Rodgers and Luck scored more fantasy points this season. Keeping mistakes to a minimum (72:26 TD-to-INT ratio over three seasons), Wilson also rushed for 849 yards and six touchdowns. Only 15 running backs outgained Wilson this season.

FanDuel's $2M NFL Sunday Million: FanDuel is running a one-day contest this Sunday with $2 Million in prizes ($200K to first).

RB - Marshawn Lynch, Seattle Seahawks (vs. GB), $8,600

Even though Lynch is the highest-priced running back, it would be difficult to fade Lynch in a two-game slate. After all, only the next guy on the list has a lower cost per point than Lynch. Regardless of position, few NFL players have as high of a ceiling and floor as Lynch, who has four consecutive seasons of 1,200-plus rushing yards and double-digit rushing scores. Lynch had 110 yards and two scores in his first matchup against the Packers and has averaged 17.7 FanDuel points per game this season.

RB - Dan Herron, Indianapolis Colts (at NE), $7,000

Even though he's better on DraftKings than FanDuel due to the difference in scoring (full-PPR at DraftKings; half-PPR at FanDuel), I love Herron on both sites this weekend. In two playoff games, Herron has 18 catches on 19 targets. Given the talent in New England's secondary, Herron could certainly see 8-10 receptions like he has had in the first two playoff games. Despite losing some of the clock-killing fourth-quarter carries against the Bengals after a couple of fumbles, Herron has a total of 53 touches in two playoff games for 236 yards and two scores.

RB - LeGarrette Blount, New England Patriots (vs. IND), $5,400

Trying to figure out what Bill Belichick will do with his allocation of touches to the team's group of running backs is always a risky proposition. That said, the Patriots ground game against the Colts rush defense is one of the more favorable matchups of the weekend in general terms.

Even though Jonas Gray rushed for 201 yards and four touchdowns against the Colts in Week 11, that was just before Blount was reunited with the Pats. In the playoffs last year against the Colts, Blount himself rushed for four touchdowns (and 166 yards). Given Gray was inactive last week and has only 20 total carries since the addition of Blount, I suspect that Belichick & Co. will put the majority of their faith in Blount on Sunday.

At DraftKings, I have about a 75/25 ratio of Blount to Gray. At FanDuel, I'm rolling exclusively with Blount out of this duo. Gray's salary ($2,800) on DraftKings is only 62.22 percent that of Blount's ($4,500). On FanDuel, however, the difference is just $100 ($5,400 for Blount, $5,300 for Gray) so all of my diversification with Gray will come via my DraftKings lineups.

WR - Jordy Nelson, Green Bay Packers (at SEA), $8,900

The matchup against the league's stingiest defense to opposing wide receivers, Aaron Rodgers' calf injury and Nelson's sub-par 2/22 performance last week may not inspire a ton of confidence. That said, I expect a bounce-back week from Nelson, who had a 9/83 line in Week 1 against the Seahawks with all 14 of his targets coming on the opposite side of the field than Richard Sherman. Nelson may be the most-expensive wide receiver option this weekend, but he's second at the position in terms of lowest cost per point ($609.59).

WR - Julian Edelman, New England Patriots (vs. IND), $7,500

Edelman had five catches for 50 yards on eight targets and two rush attempts for 31 yards in Week 11 against the Colts. Edelman missed the final two regular-season games with a concussion, but he has had double-digit targets and at least seven receptions in his past five games played since the first matchup against the Colts. In addition, he has at least 74 yards in four of those five games. Over his past seven games played, Edelman has a minimum of 8.3 FanDuel points and double-digit points in six of those seven games. In addition, he has at least 17.44 points in each of his past three games.

WR - Doug Baldwin, Seattle Seahawks (vs. GB), $6,200

Given the team's run-first philosophy, Baldwin has averaged just 6.13 targets per game, which potentially caps his upside and my level of enthusiasm for playing him. That said, Baldwin has a minimum of 6.6 FanDuel points over his past five games with an average of 11.54 points per game during that stretch. Earlier I noted that Nelson had the second-lowest cost per point among wideouts; Baldwin's cost per point ($590.48) is the lowest.

WR - Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts (at NE), $5,300

The first time around this season, it was Reggie Wayne that visited Revis Island. This time around, it would make sense for the tourist to be Hilton. Earlier this week, Revis seemed to hint that would be the case by posting a picture of Hilton on his Instagram account although he said he was "just promoting the game." (Um, ok.) While Luck spreads the wealth around, Moncrief has the most upside among the wide receivers not named T.Y. and could benefit a little more than usual if Revis shadows Hilton. Although Moncrief provides some salary-cap relief and has seen a boost in his snap count over the second half of the season, there is still plenty of risk with Moncrief as he's a boom-or-bust option. Moncrief has a couple of games this season with more than 20 fantasy points, but he has scored 4.8 points or less in five of his past seven games.

TE - Rob Gronkowski, New England Patriots (vs. IND), $8,200

This just in: Gronk is good. Of course, you don't need me to tell you that Gronk is a stud, but he has the third-lowest cost per projected point behind Herron and Lynch this week making him more than worthy of his lofty price tag.

TE - Luke Willson, Seattle Seahawks (vs. GB), $5,400

Capitalizing on his limited opportunities in the team's run-first offense, Willson has a total of 239 yards and three touchdowns in his past three games. One of the faster tight ends in the league with 4.5 speed, Willson will likely be the least-owned of the top-four tight end options this weekend and it wouldn't surprise me if he finished second behind only Gronk in production.

In addition, check out our site's sortable FanDuel NFL cheat sheet.

Here are my fantasy football playoff rankings:

Has your team been eliminated from the playoffs? Check out my 2015 NFL mock draft for a look ahead to this April's draft.

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January 16, 2015

2015 NFL Mock Draft: Jan. 16th Update

With four teams still alive in the playoffs, the actual draft order for the first 28 selections of this year's draft is set.

The final four picks, however, will be based on how the remaining teams fare in this weekend's Conference Championship Games and then Super Bowl XLIX. In other words, the Super Bowl winner will have the 32nd pick, the Super Bowl runner-up will have the 31st pick, et cetera.

[Note: Future updates will be posted on our main 2015 NFL Mock Draft page.]

With that said, here is my projection for the first round of the 2015 NFL Draft:

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Draft History): Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon

Although the NFL Draft is more than three months away, it appears that the Bucs will select a quarterback with the first overall pick. Over the next three months, however, there will plenty of debate on whether it should be Mariota or Florida State's Jameis Winston as that pick.

If the decision were purely based on the field, the selection would almost certainly be Winston. And while the pick still may be Winston, there are plenty of questions about his maturity off the field. With Mariota, there are absolutely no questions about his character.

There will naturally be some questions about Mariota's ability to transition from Oregon's spread offense to a pro-style system, however. That said, Mariota possesses good size, a strong arm to stretch the field and difference-making mobility for the position in addition to impeccable intangibles.

Over the course of his collegiate career, Mariota threw for 10,796 yards, rushed for 2,237 yards and accounted for 136 touchdowns -- 105 passing, 29 rushing and two receiving -- with only 14 interceptions.

2. Tennessee Titans (Draft History): Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State

Media reports suggest that the Titans could go in a different direction assuming that they believe ex-LSU quarterback Zach Mettenberger could be their long-term solution -- or at least get a chance to try to prove that he's their long-term solution at the position.

Winston has all of the tools to be a franchise-changing quarterback -- size, strong arm, accuracy, football intelligence, on-the-field leadership, etc. Although he lost his final collegiate game, Winston helped lead the Seminoles to wins in 26 of 27 games.

FanDuel's $2M NFL Sunday Million: FanDuel is running a one-day contest this Sunday with $2 Million in prizes ($200K to first).

3. Jacksonville Jaguars (Draft History): Leonard Williams, DL, USC

Drawing a ton of favorable comparisons to players like J.J. Watt, Gerald McCoy and Richard Seymour, Williams is a disruptive force along the line of the scrimmage. While defensive line may be one of the relative strengths of the Jaguars, Williams is arguably the top prospect in this year's draft class.

4. Oakland Raiders (Draft History): Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama

The Raiders have found their quarterback of the future with last year's second-round pick Derek Carr, but one of their focuses in free agency and/or the draft should be to improve the weapons around him. As Alabama's first Biletnikoff winner in school history, Cooper finished with 124 receptions for 1,727 yards and 16 touchdowns, all of which ranked first or second in the nation this season.

5. Washington Redskins (Draft History): Randy Gregory, DE, Nebraska

Outside linebackers Brian Orakpo and Ryan Kerrigan are set for unrestricted free agency in 2015 and 2016, respectively. If they are unable to re-sign one or both, adding a difference maker like Gregory would make a ton of sense here. Either way, you'll never hear a general manager complain of having too many talented pass-rushers.

6. New York Jets (Draft History): Shane Ray, DE/OLB, Missouri

Ideally for the Jets, one (or both) of the top-two quarterback prospects will slip to them here. If not, they get an explosive edge rusher in Ray, who ranked third in the country with 14.5 sacks this season. Current starting outside linebackers -- Quinton Coples and Calvin Pace -- are both due to become free agents after the 2015 season and Pace turns 35 in October.

7. Chicago Bears (Draft History): Landon Collins, S, Alabama

One of the biggest disappointments in the NFL this season, the Bears have plenty of holes to address and could go in a number of different directions. Not only are upgrades needed in their secondary, but starting safeties Chris Conte and Ryan Mundy are scheduled for free agency in 2015 and 2016, respectively.

8. Atlanta Falcons (Draft History): Vic Beasley, OLB, Clemson

One of the best pass rushers in this year's draft class, Beasley has a total of 25.0 sacks and 44.5 tackles for loss in 26 games over the past two seasons combined. Only the Bengals (20) have generated fewer sacks this season than the Falcons (22), who had the third-fewest last season as well.

9. New York Giants (Draft History): Alvin "Bud" Dupree, DE, Kentucky

The Giants had just 34 sacks in 2013, but they finished fourth in the league with 47 sacks this season. The majority of the 13-sack difference can be attributed to the bounce-back season of Jason Pierre-Paul, who had 12.5 sacks in 2014 after getting only 2.0 in the previous season. That said, Pierre-Paul is due to hit free agency in March.

If the Giants are unable to re-sign JPP, adding a pass-rusher would make sense to fill at least part of the void. Either way, a strong pass rush has long been one of the staples of successful Giants teams. A former tight end, Dupree is a freak athlete with a 40.5-inch vertical and 11-foot broad jump at 6-foot-4 and 264 pounds. Over the past three seasons, Dupree has 21.0 sacks and 34.5 tackles for loss.

10. St. Louis Rams (Draft History): Brandon Scherff, OT, Iowa

Even after selecting Greg Robinson with the second overall pick last year, offensive line is still one of the units in needs of upgrades and reinforcements. The Rams ranked in the bottom 10 of both run blocking (-55.1) and pass blocking (-27.5) grades from PFF last season.

11. Minnesota Vikings (Draft History): Devante Parker, WR, Louisville

A broken foot sidelined Parker for the first seven games of the season, but the 6-foot-3 wideout finished with a 43/855/5 line in just six games. NFL.com's Jeremiah compared Parker to Keenan Allen saying Parker is "smooth, physical & has outstanding instincts/ball skills."

12. Cleveland Browns (Draft History): Kevin White, WR, West Virginia

The highs and lows with Josh Gordon have been extremely high (no pun intended) and extremely low. Suspended by the league for the first 10 games of last season, Gordon was also suspended by the club for their regular-season finale. And based on reports from beat writers, the sense is that Gordon won't be back in 2015.

With two first-round picks in this year's draft, it would only make sense for one of them to be used on a receiver given the uncertainty surrounding Gordon whether he's back with the club or not. White has the speed, size and ball skills to be a difference maker and NFL.com's Daniel Jeremiah recently tweeted that White was his top-ranked receiver while also comparing him to Julio Jones.

13. New Orleans Saints (Draft History): Dante Fowler, DE/OLB, Florida

Bad against both the run (29th in the NFL) and pass (25th), the Saints allowed the second-most yards (384.0 per game) in the NFL and fifth-most points (26.5 per game). They also struggled to get to the quarterback as they finished in the bottom eight in sacks (34). A versatile player with a non-stop motor, Fowler led Florida in tackles for loss (15.0), sacks (8.5) and QB hurries (17).

14. Miami Dolphins (Draft History): Shaq Thompson, OLB, Washington

Not only has he played defensive back and linebacker in his collegiate career, Thompson also rushed for 100-plus yards in back-to-back games against Colorado and UCLA this season. Not surprisingly, Thompson won the Paul Hornung Award as college football's most versatile player. While he may get the 'tweener label, Thompson is an outstanding athlete that is solid against the run as well as in pass coverage and rushing the passer.

15. San Francisco 49ers (Draft History): Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Oklahoma

With Michael Crabtree about to enter free agency and 34-year-old Anquan Boldin set to enter the final season of his contract, the 49ers could use this pick on a receiver. Off-the-field issues led to his dismissal from Mizzou (and subsequent transfer to Oklahoma), but Green-Beckham has as much physical talent as any receiver in this year's draft class.

16. Houston Texans (Draft History): Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State

In terms of defensive units, the secondary was the team's weak link last year. In addition, starting cornerbacks Kareem Jackson and Johnathan Joseph are set to become unrestricted free agents in 2015 and 2016, respectively. Given the character concerns of Marcus Peters, who was kicked off Washington's football team, Waynes could end up being the first cornerback off the board in this year's draft.

-> Continue to picks 17-32

-> For more mocks, check out our 2015 NFL Mock Draft Database

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January 15, 2015

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings Favorite Plays for Conference Games

Hopefully it's been a profitable season for you in daily fantasy football as this week marks the last hoorah for NFL DFS players.

Given that there are only two games this week, I will focus on the players that I like (regardless of salary) as opposed to the regular season where I try to focus more specifically on lower-priced options.

Here are the DraftKings plays that will be in many of my lineups this weekend:

QB - Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts (at NE), $8,200

With only a two-game slate, I will have exposure to all four starting quarterbacks this week. That said, Luck is my top-ranked fantasy quarterback for the weekend, but he's only the second-most expensive behind Tom Brady ($8,500). Granted, the matchup against the Patriots cornerbacks isn't great, but Luck involves his tight ends and running backs in the passing game as much as any other quarterback not named Alex (Smith) as well. Of the remaining four quarterbacks, no other quarterback threw it as much as Luck this season or had as many 300-yard games. [Note: DraftKings awards a three-point bonus to 300-yard passers.] To a lesser degree than the next guy on this list, Luck has the ability to make plays with his legs, but it can still be a huge boost to his fantasy production.

QB - Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks (vs. GB), $8,000

Even though 18 quarterbacks threw the ball more than Wilson in the regular season, only two quarterbacks -- Aaron Rodgers and Luck -- scored more fantasy points this season. Wilson has a terrific 72:26 career TD-to-INT ratio, but the plays he makes as a runner is his fantasy bread and butter. With 849 rushing yards and six rushing scores this season, Wilson was tied for 16th with Denver's C.J. Anderson in rushing.

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RB - Marshawn Lynch, Seattle Seahawks (vs. GB), $7,600

Even though Lynch is the highest-priced running back, it would be difficult to fade Lynch in a two-game slate. Few players at any position in the entire NFL have as high of a ceiling and floor as Lynch, who has four consecutive seasons of 1,200-plus rushing yards and double-digit rushing scores. In the first matchup between these two seasons, Lynch rushed for 110 yards and two scores. Using DraftKings scoring, Lynch has averaged 19.3 fantasy points per game this season.

RB - Dan Herron, Indianapolis Colts (at NE), $5,900

As much as I like Lynch, Herron is actually my top-ranked running back this week in full PPR formats (like DraftKings). In two playoff games, Herron has 18 catches on 19 targets. Given the talent in New England's secondary, Herron could certainly see 8-10 receptions like he has had in the first two playoff games. The only concern with Herron is his fumbling issues (two of them in the Wild Card round), but he otherwise has a total of 53 touches (including those 18 receptions) for 236 yards and two touchdowns. Barely above the game's average salary ($5,555), Herron is a must-start this weekend in both GPPs and cash games.

RB - LeGarrette Blount, New England Patriots (vs. IND), $4,500
RB - Jonas Gray, New England Patriots (vs. IND), $2,800

After Lynch and Herron, there are more risks at the running back position. As much as I love Eddie Lacy's talent, his matchup against the Seahawks often leads me to paying up for Lynch or down for Herron. Another risk this weekend (and every weekend) is trying to figure out what Bill Belichick will do when it comes to the allocation of touches to the team's running backs.

Since Gray rushed for 201 yards and four touchdowns against the Colts in Week 11, the team re-signed Blount and Gray has a total of just 20 carries since that point and was a healthy scratch last weekend. Meanwhile, Blount himself had a four-touchdown game with 166 rushing yards against the Colts in last year's playoffs. Given the success that the team has had running the ball against the Colts recently, it's only logical that Blount and/or Gray get plenty of cracks at trying to break that defense.

The question comes down to which one? My gut tells me that Blount will be "the guy" this weekend and I'll have about three times as many shares of Blount than Gray. In case my gut leads me astray, I have subsituted Gray for Blount in some of my lineups to go along with the upgrade at another position that the extra salary-cap space allows.

WR - Jordy Nelson, Green Bay Packers (at SEA), $7,600

With a much more productive performance last weekend than Nelson, teammate Randall Cobb has the highest salary among wide receivers this weekend. Even though the matchup against the league's stingiest defense to opposing wide receivers does not inspire a ton of confidence, I expect a bounce-back week from Nelson, who had 14 targets in Week 1 against the Seahawks.

WR - Doug Baldwin, Seattle Seahawks (vs. GB), $5,000

Of team's No. 1 wide receivers this weekend, Baldwin is at least $2,000 cheaper than all of them. In addition, his salary is $555 less than the average salary per player that fits into the $50,000 salary cap. Given the team's run-first philosophy, Baldwin has averaged just 6.13 targets per game, which potentially caps his upside and my enthusiasm for playing him. That said, Baldwin has a minimum of 8.1 DK points over his past five games with an average of 14.24 DK points per game during that stretch. Based on my fantasy football projections, Baldwin's cost per point ($400) ranks second to only teammate Kevin Norwood ($388.89) at wide receiver this weekend.

WR - Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts (at NE), $3,500

Moncrief has played greater than 50 percent of the team's offensive snaps since Week 13 and he had his second-most targets (eight) last week, both of which are encouraging even though he finished with just two catches for 32 yards against the Broncos. Given the rookie's talent and the attention that should be given to T.Y. Hilton, I'm willing to roll the dice on Moncrief as a way to generate some salary-cap relief in tournaments. Despite an average of just 6.8 DK points this season, Moncrief has shown his upside with performances of 27.3 (Week 8) and 32.0 (Week 13) DK points.

WR - Kevin Norwood, Seattle Seahawks (vs. GB), $2,100

Before this weekend, the position-minimum salary for wide receivers was $3,000. With Paul Richardson (torn ACL) out and Norwood expected to get a slight boost in the offense, I'm willing to use Norwood as a decent punt option. Even though I hope that Norwood hauls in a couple of receptions with an expanded role, the lineup flexibility he creates is the real reason that I'm rolling the dice with Norwood in several lineups.

TE - Rob Gronkowski, New England Patriots (vs. IND), $7,800

Certainly you don't need me to tell you that Gronk is a good play this weekend or any weekend for that matter. But if you're going to pay up at a position this week, it should be at tight end. Like Lynch, few players have Gronk's combination of a high ceiling and high floor. Except for Week 2, Gronk has finished as a top-12 weekly PPR tight end with double-digit fantasy points every week and he averaged 18.9 DK points per game. Since Week 5, Gronk has finished with 25-plus DK points in one-third (four) of his 12 games.

TE - Luke Willson, Seattle Seahawks (vs. GB), $4,000

Granted, the Seahawks are a run-first offense that spread around their limited targets in the passing game. That said, Willson has capitalized on his opportunities with a total of 239 yards and three touchdowns in his past three games. One of the faster tight ends in the league with 4.5 speed, Willson will likely be the least-owned of the top-four tight end options this weekend and it wouldn't surprise me if he finished second behind only Gronk in production.

In addition, check out our site's DraftKings Championship Games Cheat Sheet.

Here are my fantasy football playoff rankings:

Has your team been eliminated from the playoffs? Check out my 2015 NFL mock draft for a look ahead to this April's draft.

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January 14, 2015

Marcus Mariota to declare for the 2015 NFL Draft

The deadline for underclassmen to declare for the 2015 NFL Draft is tomorrow (Thursday, January 15th).

Per ESPN's Chris Mortensen, Oregon quarterback Marcus Mariota will forgo his final year of eligibility and enter the 2015 NFL Draft, which was widely expected.

Mariota will battle Florida State's Jameis Winston, who declared earlier this offseason, to be the first quarterback selected and potentially the first prospect selected in the draft.

Beyond Mariota and Winston, this is not viewed as a particularly strong class at quarterback.

Both Tampa Bay and Tennessee, who own the top-two picks, could be in the market for a franchise quarterback although the Titans could go in a different direction if they believe that Zach Mettenberger is their quarterback of the future.

If one or both of the top two quarterbacks get past Tennessee, it's difficult to envision either quarterback falling outside of the top-10 picks.

In my latest 2015 NFL mock draft, I have Mariota going first overall to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as do the majority of mock drafts in our 2015 NFL mock draft database.

Mariota, the reigning Heisman Trophy winner, has a unique combination of dual-threat skills although there will be some concern about his transition from Oregon's spread offense to a pro-style offense.

While he certainly did not have a great game against Ohio State on Monday, Mariota finishes his collegiate career with 10,796 passing yards, 105 touchdowns and only 14 interceptions to go along with 2,237 rushing yards and 29 rushing touchdowns. He also has two receptions, both of which were turned into touchdowns.

Fantasy Football Playoff Rankings (Conference Championship Games): Tight Ends

Here are my tight end rankings for Sunday's Conference Championship Games:

1. Rob Gronkowski, New England Patriots (vs. IND)

Whether or not he once again throws Sergio Brown "out of the club," it's Gronk's fantasy owners that are ready for a fiesta. Counting last week's playoff win, Gronk has posted a 16-game line of 89/1,232/13 this season. With Tom Brady throwing only 30 pass attempts in Week 11 against the Colts as Jonas Gray ran the ball at will, Gronk had just five targets, but he still finished with four catches for 71 yards and a touchdown. While he has the highest ceiling of any tight end, Gronk also has the highest floor as he finished as a top-12 fantasy tight end in all but two games this season.

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2. Coby Fleener, Indianapolis Colts (at NE)

Teammate Dwayne Allen left their regular-season matchup against the Patriots early and Fleener finished with seven catches for a career-high 144 yards. With Allen healthy again, however, we shouldn't expect a repeat performance from Fleener as he has just eight targets in two playoff games.

3. Luke Willson, Seattle Seahawks (vs. GB)

With 4.5 speed, Willson is one of the faster tight ends in the league and he's put together an impressive three-game stretch. Even though the Seahawks have a run-first offense that spreads ahead targets, Wilson has turned his 11 targets into nine catches for 239 yards and three touchdowns over the past three games.

4. Dwayne Allen, Indianapolis Colts (at NE)

Although Fleener (51/774 on 92 targets) has nearly twice as many targets, receptions and yards than Allen (29/395 on 50 targets), both tight ends had the same amount of touchdowns (eight). Only four other tight ends -- Gronk and three out of the playoffs (Antonio Gates, Julius Thomas and Jimmy Graham) -- had more. Allen is more reliant on touchdowns than Fleener for a productive outing, but the second likeliest tight end (after Gronk) to score this weekend.

5. Andrew Quarless, Green Bay Packers (at SEA)

Quarless had four catches for 31 yards and a touchdown last week against the Cowboys. Although the Seahawks have the league's top-ranked pass defense (and overall defense), opposing tight ends have fared better than opposing wide receivers or running backs in terms of fantasy points allowed. Either way, it's difficult to count on anyone outside of the top-four fantasy tight ends this weekend.

6. Tim Wright, New England Patriots (vs. IND)

The good news is that 18.18 percent of Wright's targets went for touchdowns in the regular season. The bad news is that he had just 26 catches and 33 targets over the course of the entire season.

7. Richard Rodgers, Green Bay Packers (at SEA)

Rodgers was targeted only once last week and made the most the target (13-yard touchdown) after getting targeted five times in Week 17. Rodgers is nothing more than a roll of the dice this week (like most weeks).

More fantasy football playoff rankings:

Has your team been eliminated from the playoffs? Check out my 2015 NFL mock draft. (Or our NFL mock draft database.)

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Fantasy Football Playoff Rankings (Conference Championship Games): Wide Receivers

Here are my wide receiver rankings for Sunday's Conference Championship Games:

1. Jordy Nelson, Green Bay Packers (at SEA)

Nelson had just two receptions for a season-low 22 yards on five targets last week against the Cowboys, but he'll of course figure prominently into their offensive gameplan this week. The first time these two teams met, Nelson was targeted 14 times and finished with nine receptions for 83 yards. All 14 of those targets were thrown to the opposite side of Richard Sherman.

2. T.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis Colts (at NE)

Hilton set a career high with 1,345 yards this season, but his performance against the Patriots in Week 11 was one of his worst outings of the season. Hilton finished with just three catches for 24 yards on seven targets in that first matchup. That said, I expect a better showing from Hilton in the rematch.

FanDuel's $2M NFL Sunday Million: FanDuel is running a one-day contest this Sunday with $2 Million in prizes ($200K to first).

3. Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers (at SEA)

Cobb set career highs across the board this season with 91 receptions for 1,287 yards and 12 touchdowns. Even though the Seahawks allow the fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, Cobb had a 6/58/1 line on nine targets against the Seahawks in Week 1. Cobb now has 58-plus yards in 12 consecutive games and at least 80 receiving yards in four consecutive games.

4. Julian Edelman, New England Patriots (vs. IND)

Edelman had five catches for 50 yards on eight targets and two rush attempts for 31 yards in Week 11 against the Colts. Since then, Edelman has had double-digit targets and at least seven receptions in five consecutive games. In addition, he has at least 74 yards in four of those five games.

5. Doug Baldwin, Seattle Seahawks (vs. GB)

Even though he is the team's No. 1 option in the passing game, the Seahawks are a run-first team that spreads their modest targets around. Baldwin ranked only 54th in the league in targets this season with an average of just 6.13 per game and has had more than six targets in just five of 17 games counting last week.

6. Brandon LaFell, New England Patriots (vs. IND)

The success that the Patriots have had running the ball against the Colts led to Tom Brady only throwing it 30 times against them in Week 11. In turn, LaFell was targeted that game only four times, which ties his low from Week 3 through the end of the season.

7. Jermaine Kearse, Seattle Seahawks (vs. GB)

129 yards. A touchdown. Great game, indeed. But Kearse had just three targets and he's not going to average 43.0 yards per reception every week. Kearse gets a slight boost with the injury to rookie Paul Richardson, who had seen an expanded role within the offense recently. That said, it's just as possible that his three targets turns out to be one catch for eight yards like what happened in Week 1 against the Packers.

8. Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts (at NE)

Since Week 13, Moncrief has played greater than 50.0 percent of the team's offensive snaps every game. Although he had just two catches for 32 yards last week, Moncrief's eight targets were the second-most of his career.

9. Danny Amendola, New England Patriots (vs. IND)

Since signing a contract with the Patriots a couple of offseasons ago, Amendola has been a huge disappointment. That said, Amendola has been more productive over his past three games (17/168/2 on 24 targets) than he was from Weeks 1 to 15 (15/113/1 on 24 targets). Like with LaFell (and Edelman), however, the biggest concern with Amendola is the expected focus on the ground game against the Colts.

10. Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers (at SEA)

Adams had his best game as a pro against the Cowboys last week with 7/117/1 on 11 targets. The first time the Packers faced the Seahawks, they sacrificed Jarrett Boykin on the Richard Sherman side and that could potentially happen with Adams this week.

11. Hakeem Nicks, Indianapolis Colts (at NE)

The good news is that Nicks played a full 16-game season for the first time in his career. The bad news is that he set career lows in receptions (38), targets (68), yards (405) and Y/R (10.7).

12. Kevin Norwood, Seattle Seahawks (vs. GB)

The ACL injury to fellow rookie Paul Richardson will open up more opportunities for Norwood, who had only nine catches for 102 yards during the regular season. That said, expectations remain low for the No. 3 receiver in Seattle's run-first offense.

More fantasy football playoff rankings:

Has your team been eliminated from the playoffs? Check out my 2015 NFL mock draft. (Or our NFL mock draft database.)

Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) LIKE us on Facebook and/or (3) add us to your Google+ circle