August 03, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Projections: Denver Broncos

In addition to viewing our 2015 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we have posted our preseason projections per team.

Below you find our 2015 fantasy football projections for the Denver Broncos:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Peyton Manning387586460237.514.728-310.2317.48
With a slow finish to the season, Manning finished the year as the QB4 (312.68 fantasy points) behind Rodgers (354.14), Luck (350.74) and Wilson (327.6). In the first 11 games of the season, Manning averaged 23.96 fantasy points per game (323.45 YPG, 34 TDs and nine INTs). In the final five games of the season, however, he averaged just 9.83 FPPG (233.8 YPG, five TDs and six INTs) and never scored more than 13.02 fantasy points in any of those games. Much of the decline can be attributed to last year's thigh injury, but Manning's passing production also tends to slow as the weather turns colder. In a more balanced offense with some issues on the offensive line, it's possible that Manning fails to produce a top-five fantasy season.
Brock Osweiler59590.20.22203.16

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Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
C.J. Anderson290133410.2342651.7231.3
From Week 10 to 17 last year, Anderson finished as a top-five fantasy running back in six of eight games. In the other two games, he was still very productive as the RB10 and RB16 for those given weeks. With a healthy backfield and new coaching staff entering 2015, there is perhaps some uncertainty about how the workload will be allocated, but it appears that CJA is set for a featured-back role. In his mailbag column, Troy Renck of the Denver Post projects Anderson to average 18 carries per game as the team's "bellcow" and to "roll for 1,400 yards."
Montee Ball943853.5161150.272.2
Three different Broncos running backs had more than 20 touches in a game last season -- Ball (Week 1), Ronnie Hillman (Weeks 6 and 8) and C.J. Anderson (Weeks 12 through 16). Going into 2015, Anderson is the clear favorite for the featured role under new head coach Gary Kubiak, but it wouldn't be a complete surprise if Ball occupies that role at some point in the season as well. That said, Ball averaged just 3.13 yards per carry in the games he did play last season.
Ronnie Hillman421681.5221580.343.4
Hillman had a couple of very productive games last season, but he is currently third, at least, on the depth chart behind C.J. Anderson and Montee Ball (and perhaps Juwan Jamison). Perhaps he's worth a flier in the final rounds of drafts, but there is also speculation that he could be on the roster bubble.
Juwan Jamison381821.3430029

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Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Demaryius Thomas101145412000217.4
Despite his slow start, Thomas reached the 100-yard mark in 10 of his final 13 games and finished with a full-season stat line of 111 catches and 1,619 yards, both of which were career highs, and 11 touchdowns. With the Broncos using their franchise tag on Thomas, he's yet to sign the tender or reach a long-term deal ahead of the looming July 15th deadline. That said, a fourth consecutive year of 90-plus receptions, 1,400-plus yards and double-digit touchdowns seems like a strong possibility with Peyton Manning back for (at least) one more year.
Emmanuel Sanders769807.35330145.1
In his first season with the Broncos, Sanders blew his previous career highs out of the water. With previous career highs set in 2013 of 67/740/6, Sanders finished with 101 receptions for 1,404 yards and nine touchdowns. The Broncos offense will be more balanced this season, but Sanders is a solid mid-tier WR2 option heading into 2015.
Cody Latimer405406.300091.8
As a rookie, Latimer played just 37 offensive snaps and had just two receptions for 23 yards on four targets. Two of the team's top pass-catchers -- Wes Welker and Julius Thomas -- have departed via free agency. Going into his second season, Latimer should see a big bump in snaps as Emmanuel Sanders could move inside in three-WR sets and Latimer has plenty of upside.
Andre Caldwell161731.300025.1
Jordan Taylor7880.500011.8

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Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Owen Daniels525685.489.2
Once again, Daniels is reunited with Gary Kubiak. Daniels had 48 catches for 527 yards and four touchdowns last season in Baltimore. While I don't expect 12 touchdowns from Daniels, which is something that Julius Thomas has done in back-to-back years in Denver, I would expect an improvement across the board over his 48/527/4 line from last season.
Virgil Green242902.745.2

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August 02, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Projections: Houston Texans

In addition to viewing our 2015 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we have posted our preseason projections per team.

Below you find our 2015 fantasy football projections for the Houston Texans:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Brian Hoyer247414302616.612.426390.1179.54
With less than an iron grip on the starting job, early reports have put Hoyer in the lead for the starting gig over former fellow Patriots backup Ryan Mallett. No team ran the ball more than the Texans, who ranked last in the NFL in passing-play percentage (48.07 percent) last year. There is little reason to expect a significant change in philosophy with any of the team's quarterbacks under center in 2015.
Ryan Mallett47865983.33.14-4033.62
Tom Savage36400.10.10001.9

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Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Arian Foster28412649.1403323.2233.4
Did you know that the Houston Texans led the NFL in rush attempts in 2014? When healthy, Foster is one of the league's few true workhorse backs. Although Foster missed three games in 2014, he averaged 95.8 rushing yards per game and 4.8 yards per carry, both of which were four-year highs, and scored double-digit touchdowns (13). Not only did Foster finish as a top-five fantasy running back last season, he also finished as a top-12 fantasy running back in 10 of 13 weeks last season.
Alfred Blue1444821.712860.771.2
Blue averaged just 3.1 YPC as a rookie last season and he backs up one of the league's few workhorses in Arian Foster, but he finished as a top-40 fantasy running back in 2014. The Texans were more committed to the run than any other team in the league and Foster, who missed three games last season, is always a candidate to miss a game or two. Blue ranked 24th in carries (169) last season.
Jonathan Grimes451710.4539023.4
Chris Polk331240.5214016.8
Kenny Hilliard5200.10002.6

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Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
DeAndre Hopkins7812256.4000160.9
Emerging as the team's most productive wide receiver last season, Hopkins took a huge step forward in his second season with a 76/1,210/6 stat line and the team released Andre Johnson in the offseason. If there's any concern when it comes to Hopkins taking another step forward in his third season, it's the team's less-than-inspiring quarterback play, but he's a borderline WR1/WR2 option in fantasy leagues heading into 2015.
Cecil Shorts515661.900068
Nate Washington345202.200065.2
Jaelen Strong334463.300064.4
Keshawn Martin3350.10004.1

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Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Garrett Graham232531.232.5
Ryan Griffin8880.612.4
C.J. Fiedorowicz8600.48.4

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2015 Fantasy Football Projections: Detroit Lions

In addition to viewing our 2015 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we have posted our preseason projections per team.

Below you find our 2015 fantasy football projections for the Detroit Lions:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Matthew Stafford388631462527.814.539822301.9
No quarterback underachieved expectations more last season than Stafford, who finished as the QB15 in 2014. Even with the free-agent signing and breakout season from Golden Tate (99/1,331/4), Stafford threw for only 4,247 yards, a four-year low, and 22 touchdowns with 12 interceptions. With better health from Calvin Johnson, who missed a few games and was a decoy in others, Stafford should post better numbers in 2015.

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Joique Bell2108407.6333000.3161.4
Scoring the 14th-most fantasy points among running backs in 2014, Bell finished with 223 carries for 860 yards, both of which were career highs, as well as 34 receptions for 322 yards and eight total touchdowns. That said, it was the second consecutive season that Bell has averaged under 4.0 YPC. While I expect Bell to lead the team's backfield in touches in 2015, second-round rookie Ameer Abdullah weakens Bell's grip on the featured-back role and it wouldn't surprise me if Abdullah emerged as the lead back at some point during the season. Plus, Bell was placed on the active/PUP list as he continues to recover from offseason surgeries (Achilles/knee).
Ameer Abdullah1355944.5423490.7125.5
At only 5-foot-9 and 205 pounds, Abdullah may lack the ideal size to be a bellcow back and he's had some ball-security issues (13 career fumbles at Nebraska). That said, Abdullah was highly productive at Nebraska with three consecutive 1,100-yard seasons including back-to-back 1,600-yard campaigns. Among running backs at the 2015 NFL Scouting Combine, Abdullah finished first in the vertical jump (42.5 inches), broad jump (10-10), 3-cone drill (6.79) and 20-yard shuttle (3.95). In addition, his role within the offense should expand as the season progresses.
Theo Riddick26810.3262240.837.1
Riddick had 34 receptions for 316 yards and four touchdowns in his second season and prior to the draft, it seemed like Riddick would have a legitimate opportunity to take a big step forward in 2015. With the addition of Ameer Abdullah to the team's backfield, however, those expectations have been tempered.

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Calvin Johnson9414579.7000203.9
Including playoff appearances, Megatron has more 200-yard games (six) than any other receiver in league history. And while he still has as much potential as any receiver to take over a given game, he has missed a total of five games in 2013 and 2014. Johnson also appeared in a few games as a decoy, which can be even worse for fantasy owners than missed games. With five consecutive 1,000-yard seasons, however, Megatron has averaged a stat line of 90/1,467/11 during that span.
Golden Tate8110136.25300141.5
Tate had a career year with 99 catches for 1,331 yards and four touchdowns plus 30 rushing yards. From Weeks 4 to 8, Calvin Johnson missed three games and was a decoy in two other games (19 total yards). During that same five-game span, Tate averaged 119.8 yards per game and scored three of his four touchdowns. If Megatron is healthy for the entire season, Tate is unlikely to repeat last year's career numbers, but he's otherwise a solid low-end WR2 in 2015.
Corey Fuller243501.700045.2
Jeremy Ross13163100022.3
Ryan Broyles4420.10004.8

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Tight Ends





PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Eric Ebron414353.765.7
Rookie tight ends typically struggle and Ebron, the 10th-overall pick in 2014, posted a modest 25/248/1 stat line over 13 games last season. There is plenty of upside with Ebron, but he needs to cut down on drops, which were still a problem in the offseason.
Joseph Fauria141612.832.9
Brandon Pettigrew161310.817.9

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2015 Fantasy Football Projections: Pittsburgh Steelers

In addition to viewing our 2015 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we have posted our preseason projections per team.

Below you find our 2015 fantasy football projections for the Pittsburgh Steelers:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ben Roethlisberger408616489731.411.131900.2320.58
Based on his 2014 average draft position (ADP), Roethlisberger was one of the biggest draft values last season. Only four quarterbacks scored more fantasy points and he threw for a career-high 4,952 yards, which tied Drew Brees last season for the league lead, and 32 touchdowns, which tied a previous career high. With continuity on the offensive line and one of the league's best group of pass catchers, it wouldn't surprise me if Big Ben posted another top-five finish in 2015.

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Le'Veon Bell262119210686322.6258
Unfortunately for Bell (and his fantasy owners), he's suspended for the first two games of the season (although that was cut from his initial three-game ban). Once he returns, however, Bell's versatility makes him a true three-down back and his production won't vary much based on game flow. Named 2014 AP First-Team All-Pro Team, Bell racked up 1,361 rushing yards, 83 receptions for 854 yards and 11 total touchdowns in his second season. Bell broke single-season franchise records for yards from scrimmage and receptions by a running back. Over the course of last year, he averaged 17.97 fantasy points per game although his production spiked to 24.7/G with LeGarrette Blount out of the picture down the stretch.
DeAngelo Williams782891.6171280.151.9
Williams has had some really productive NFL seasons -- 1,515 rushing yards and 18 rushing scores in 2008, as an example -- and has averaged 4.78 YPC over his career. Now 32 years old, Williams won't be the featured back for his new team (starting in Week 4). With Le'Veon Bell suspended for the first three games, however, Williams is expected to lead the team's backfield in touches during that span. After that point, however, Williams would do well to average five carries per game over the final 13 games.
Dri Archer227701260013.7
Josh Harris24820.10008.8

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Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Antonio Brown122163512.85230242.6
Surprisingly, Brown never finished as the highest-scoring fantasy wide receiver in any given week in 2014. (In fact, that applies to both standard- and PPR-scoring formats.) Yet no wide receiver had more fantasy points over the course of the season -- in either format -- than Brown. Over the past two seasons, Brown has a combined 239 receptions for 3,197 yards and 21 touchdowns. More impressive than his overall level of production, however, is his consistency. Counting the playoffs, Brown has at least five catches and 50 yards in 33 consecutive games.
Martavis Bryant579417.93150143
Inactive for the first six games, Bryant went on a scoring spree in his first four NFL games with a total of six touchdowns during that span. After that point, Bryant had just 12 catches for 239 yards and two touchdowns in the final six games of the season. Recent comments from Big Ben suggest that Markus Wheaton will start opposite Brown in two-WR sets, but Bryant is clearly the more talented option and he has plenty of upside heading into his second season.
Markus Wheaton485402.9312072.6
Per NFL Network's Albert Breer, Wheaton "[probably] had best offseason of the Steelers WRs." And Big Ben has predicted a breakout season for Wheaton. That said, Wheaton barely finished as a top-60 fantasy receiver (either format) last year with his 53/644/2 slash line.
Sammie Coates7920.600012.8
Darrius Heyward-Bey33200003.2

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Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Heath Miller606663.386.4
Miller parlayed 91 targets last season into a 66/761/3 stat line, which was good for the 11th-most fantasy points among tight ends in 2014. While he only has four touchdowns in 30 games over the past two seasons, but he's one of 10 tight ends I have projected for 60-plus catches in 2015.
Jesse James141711.224.3

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Continue reading "2015 Fantasy Football Projections: Pittsburgh Steelers" »

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 10 Teams, 6th Pick, 2-QB League

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 10 teams, No. 6 pick, standard scoring, 2-QB league
  • Starting lineup: 2 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.06 - Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: With the top-three QBs already off the board, I went with my top-ranked non-QB. Getting only 246 touches last season (after 320-plus in back-to-back years), Charles posted his fifth 1,000-yard season of his career and finished with the seventh-most fantasy points among RBs. Charles has always been productive on a per-touch basis (5.0+ YPC each season of his career) and he should get more than 246 touches this year.

2.05 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos: Emerging as the team's lead back in the second half of 2014, Anderson finished as a top-five fantasy RB in six of his final eight games and no worse than the weekly RB16 during that span. The Broncos should be more run-pass balanced than they've been recently giving CJA a ton of upside, especially as my RB2.

3.06 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: Nelson is coming off career highs in receptions (98) and yards (1,519) with 13 touchdowns, second-most of his career. Playing with the league's best quarterback (Aaron Rodgers) in last year's highest-scoring offense, Nelson is a lock for another huge season with good health.

4.05 - Ryan Tannehill, QB, Miami Dolphins: Setting career highs in passing yards (4.045) and touchdowns (27) as well as rushing yards (311), Tannehill scored the eighth-most fantasy points among QBs last season. Reports this offseason have been positive and it's certainly possible that Tannehill repeats last year's QB8 production at his discounted cost (QB12 in this mock).

5.06 - Brandin Cooks, WR, New Orleans Saints: With the team's offseason trades of Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills, Cooks enters 2015 as the team's top weapon in the passing game. Provided he stays healthy, Cooks is poised to break out in his sophomore campaign.

6.05 - Colin Kaepernick, QB, San Francisco 49ers: It was a disappointing season for Kaepernick, but he's a high-upside QB2 for this squad. Not only does he have 1,578 yards and 10 touchdowns rushing over the past three seasons, but the 49ers are likely to throw more often given all the changes to their roster.

7.06 - Joseph Randle, RB, Dallas Cowboys: With DeMarco Murray now in Philadelphia, Randle enters 2015 as the primary back in the team's committee. While it's obvious that he won't duplicate last year's 6.73 YPC on limited touches, the Cowboys have one of the league's best offensive lines and the team plans to stay committed to their ground game.

8.05 - Brandon Marshall, WR, New York Jets: Missing three games last year, Marshall ended a seven-year streak of 1,000-yard seasons and was traded this offseason to the Jets. Assuming Marshall stays healthy, I see him finishing with 1,000-plus yards and eight or so touchdowns despite the team's recent offensive struggles.

9.06 - Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: Entering 2015 as the change-of-pace back to Jeremy Hill, Bernard will still be plenty involved in one of the league's more run-dominant offenses. Bernard is a solid value in Round 9 as my RB4.

10.05 - Jay Cutler, QB, Chicago Bears: Especially considering I waited on QBs in this mock, I wanted to draft a high-upside QB3 for depth and in case Kaepernick has another disappointing season. There are plenty of question marks with the turnover-prone Cutler, but he has plenty of talented pass-catchers in his offense and the Bears are likely to trail often this year.

11.06 - Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Fitzgerald has now fallen short of the 1,000-yard mark in three consecutive seasons. In the games that he has played with Carson Palmer, however, he has averaged 1,045 yards per 16 games so perhaps he bucks the trend if both players can stay healthy for a full season.

12.05 - Delanie Walker, TE, Tennessee Titans: Walker set career highs of 63 receptions for 890 yards last season. While he may not duplicate that production this year, he was my highest-ranked tight end here and my team needed a starter.

13.06 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: Setting per-game career lows in targets, receptions and yards, Colston could see a bump in production with the offseason trades of Graham and Stills.

14.05 - Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers: Before missing the majority of last season, Woodhead has finished as a top-27 fantasy RB in three of the previous four years. Despite the selection of Melvin Gordon with the 15th-overall pick, Woodhead should get the bulk of third-down snaps for the Chargers.

15.06 - Knile Davis, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: In games that Charles has missed, Davis has been highly productive with monster workloads.

16.05 - Denver Broncos D/ST

17.06 - Mason Crosby, K, Green Bay Packers:

- View full mock draft results here

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July 31, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 1st Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 1 pick, PPR scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.01 - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: In his second season, Bell set franchise records for most receptions (83) by a running back and yards from scrimmage (2,215). While he'll miss the first two games due to suspension, Bell's a true three-down back and should lead running backs in PPR fantasy points per game this season.

2.12 - Randall Cobb, WR, Green Bay Packers: Cobb set career highs across the board in his age-24 season -- 91 catches, 1,287 yards and 12 touchdowns. He may not duplicate the red-zone production, but he has the benefit of playing with the league's best quarterback, Aaron Rodgers, within the league's highest-scoring offense.

3.01 - T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts: Hilton has seen his yardage increase in all three seasons: 861 (2012), 1,083 (2013) and 1,345 (2014). Like Cobb, Hilton has the benefit of playing in a high-powered offense with an elite quarterback (Andrew Luck).

4.12 - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers: Over the final five games of the season, only DeMarco Murray rushed for more yards than Stewart. There is durability concern as he has missed 20 games over the past three seasons, but he has plenty of upside if he can stay healthy.

5.01 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Speaking of upside, the sky's the limit for Kelce without any health or snap restrictions entering the 2015 season. Even though he played only 52.3 percent of the team's offensive snaps in the first 10 games last season, Kelce finished with 67/862/5 in 2014.

6.12 - Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers: With Frank Gore now in Indy, Hyde is set to lead the team in touches in 2015. Compared to his current ADP (4.09), Hyde is a steal at this point in the mock.

7.01 - Joique Bell, RB, Detroit Lions: There is some concern with Bell, who's had a couple of offseason surgeries and has "no timetable" to return from PUP. In addition, the Lions drafted Ameer Abdullah in the second round. That said, he's a solid RB4 and finished as a top-13 fantasy running back last year despite averaging less than 4.0 YPC.

8.12 - Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Freeman currently tops the team's depth chart, but it's possible/likely that rookie Tevin Coleman takes over that role by the end of the season. That said, both backs should be heavily involved in the team's rushing attack.

9.01 - Ryan Tannehill, QB, Miami Dolphins: Finishing as a top-eight fantasy quarterback in 2014, Tannehill posted career highs of 66.4-percent completion rate, 4,045 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns and 311 rushing yards. It wouldn't surprise me if he duplicated last year's production.

10.12 - Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Fitzgerald failed to reach 1,000 yards for a third straight season, but the team has struggled with injuries at quarterback. If Carson Palmer can stay healthy, it's possible that drought ends this year as Fitzgerald has averaged 1,045 receiving yards per 16 games in games he's played with Palmer.

11.01 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Despite the 49ers ranking second-to-last in the NFL in passing yards over the past two seasons, Boldin has posted back-to-back 1,000-yard campaigns. Considering the turnover from last year's roster, the 49ers should (trail and) throw the ball more often in 2015.

12.12 - Pierre Garcon, WR, Washington Redskins: Only two seasons ago, Garcon led the NFL in receptions (113). With that total nearly cut in half in his first year in Gruden's offense, it's expected that Garcon will be more frequently targeted, but it's highly unlikely that he approaches triple digits again.

13.01 - Arizona Cardinals D/ST

14.12 - Rueben Randle, WR, New York Giants: Randle posted career highs as Odell Beckham and Victor Cruz missed a total of 14 games last season. Given the frequency with which the team uses three-WR sets, it's possible that he duplicates last year's numbers in his age-24 season.

15.01 - Stephen Gostkowski, K, New England Patriots

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Seahawks, Russell Wilson agree to 4-year extension

The Seattle Seahawks and quarterback Russell Wilson have agreed to a four-year extension, which keeps him under contract through the 2019 season, per SI's Peter King.

The deal makes Wilson the second-highest paid quarterback in the league behind only Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers. And as King notes, it puts him ahead of Ben Roethlisberger ($21.85 million per year), Cam Newton ($20.76M) and Matt Ryan ($20.75M).

Since the Seahawks drafted Wilson in the third round of the 2012 NFL Draft, no team has fewer pass attempts than the Seahawks (1,279). But only Rodgers and Andrew Luck scored more fantasy points than Wilson last season.

Wilson threw for 3,475 yards, 20 touchdowns and seven interceptions and now has thrown 20-plus touchdowns with 10 or fewer interceptions in each of his first three seasons. Based on data from Pro Football Reference, no other player has more than one such season in his first three years.

Of course, Wilson's fantasy success is largely derived from his rushing stats, but the addition of tight end Jimmy Graham finally gives him an elite red-zone weapon.

Setting career highs with 118 rush attempts, 849 yards and six touchdowns, Wilson averaged 7.56 fantasy points per game from his rushing stats alone last year. While he's unlikely to rush for 849 yards again, he should rush for 500-plus yards.

Going into the 2015 season, Wilson is my third-ranked fantasy quarterback.

More 2015 Fantasy Football Content:
- 2015 Fantasy Football Projections
- 2015 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule
- 2015 Fantasy Football Profiles
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
- 12 Players Undervalued Compared to Current ADPs

Continue reading "Seahawks, Russell Wilson agree to 4-year extension" »

July 30, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Projections: Minnesota Vikings

In addition to viewing our 2015 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we have posted our preseason projections per team.

Below you find our 2015 fantasy football projections for the Minnesota Vikings:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Teddy Bridgewater353530403924.913.8542321.14.3
Bridgewater improved throughout his rookie season, which is something you always want to see with a young quarterback. All four of his games with a completion percentage of at least 70 percent occurred within the final five games of the season. In addition, Bridgewater posted a 1:5 TD-to-INT ratio in his first four games but improved to a 13:7 TD-to-INT ratio for the remainder of the season. With the attention that Adrian Peterson commands from opposing defenses, it should open up the passing offense for Bridgewater in year two.

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Adrian Peterson298135611.6382720.9237.8
One of the league's all-time best running backs, Peterson rushed for 2,097 yards back just a couple of seasons ago. After last year's lost season, it was unclear where he would play in 2015, but the draft has come and gone and Peterson reported to the team. Assuming that he plays all 16 games (or close to it), the 30-year-old Peterson should finish as a top-five (or better) back in 2015.
Jerick McKinnon723351.5281820.362.5
When McKinnon was on the field last year, he was productive (4.76 YPC) and he averaged 16.38 touches per game from Weeks 4 to 12 before missing the rest of the year due to injury. McKinnon's volume of work won't approach anything close to 16 touches per game with Adrian Peterson back as the team's workhorse.
Matt Asiata361302.115950.336.9
DuJuan Harris0000000

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Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Charles Johnson7410295.5000135.9
Possessing an impressive combination of size (6-2, 225) and athleticism (sub-4.4 forty), Johnson was reunited with Norv Turner in Minnesota after being released by the receiver-deficient Browns last offseason. In the final six games of the season, Johnson was on the field for all but 19 of the team's offensive snaps. And over his final seven games, Johnson posted 25 receptions for 415 yards and two touchdowns. With a full offseason and the continued development of second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, Johnson should pick up where he left off last season.
Mike Wallace537956.4180118.7
The Dolphins certainly had some buyer's remorse after signing him to a big free-agent contract two offseasons ago and traded him to the Vikings this offseason. Wallace has three consecutive mediocre seasons of less than 1,000 yards and has averaged just 13.1, 12.7 and 12.9 Y/R over the past three seasons, respectively. Perhaps the change of scenery and Norv Turner's vertical-passing attack will help Wallace live up to his potential and exceed this ranking.
Cordarrelle Patterson293282.3121261.568.2
Jarius Wright364902.2436065.8
Stefon Diggs101310.300014.9

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Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Kyle Rudolph494905.380.8
Rudolph has failed to reach double-digit games in each of the past two seasons. While he has the potential to excel in the red zone (nine touchdowns in 2012), Rudolph has just five touchdowns in 17 games over the past two years. While Norv Turner runs a tight end-friendly offense, Rudolph actually posted three-year lows on a per-game basis in receptions (2.67/G) and receiving yards (25.7/G) in his only season with Turner.
MyCole Pruitt212271.431.1

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July 29, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 14 Teams, 3rd Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 14 teams, No. 3 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.03 - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: With the league reducing his suspension to two games, it wouldn't surprise me if Bell scored the most fantasy points among running backs this season. Either way, I expect him to lead all running backs in per-game fantasy scoring.

2.12 - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Scoring the 10th-most fantasy points among wide receivers as a rookie, Evans was one of three rookies to exceed 1,000 yards and scored 12 touchdowns. Only 21 years old (turns 22 next month), Evans could be in store for even better production in year two.

3.03 - Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers: Replacing (the oft-injured) Ryan Mathews as the team's featured back, Gordon is likely to lead all rookie running backs in fantasy production in 2015.

4.12 - Brandon Marshall, WR, New York Jets: On all levels, it was a disappointing season for Marshall, who ended a seven-year streak of 1,000-yard seasons. Despite transitioning to one of the league's weaker passing offenses, Marshall is projected for 1,000-plus yards in my 2015 fantasy football projections (WR16).

5.03 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Despite playing roughly half of the team's offensive snaps in the first 10 games, Kelce had 67 receptions for 862 yards and five touchdowns last season. Without any health restrictions or snap counts, the sky's the limit for him in 2015.

6.12 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: Starting slowly in a new offensive scheme, Manning still finished as a top-10 fantasy quarterback on the season while finishing as a weekly top-five fantasy quarterback in five of his final 10 games. Only Aaron Rodgers had as many during that stretch. With better health from the team's receivers and more familiarity with the offense, Eli should post even better numbers in 2015.

7.03 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: The Lions used a second-round pick on Abdullah, who was highly productive at Nebraska (back-to-back 1,600-yard seasons). Abdullah isn't the biggest back (5-8 3/4, 205), but he led all running back prospects in the vertical jump (42.5) and broad jump (10-10) as well as the 3-cone and 20-yard shuttle at the 2015 NFL Scouting Combine. Joique Bell is coming off multiple offseason surgeries and has averaged less than 4.0 YPC in each of the past two seasons.

8.12 - Charles Johnson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: With excellent size (6-2, 225) and speed (sub-4.4 forty), Johnson emerged in the second half of the 2014 season as a viable WR2/3. Going into 2015, Johnson should pick up where he left off and I expect him to lead Vikings receivers in fantasy production even though they traded for Mike Wallace this offseason.

9.03 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Even though the 49ers have the second-fewest passing yards over the past two years, Boldin has back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons.

10.12 - Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins: Lamar Miller was highly productive last season and should lead the team's backs in production once again this season. That said, the Dolphins have been reluctant to give Miller a large workload, which means the talented rookie should get a fair amount of touches as the team's No. 2 back.

11.03 - Terrance West, RB, Cleveland Browns: Likely to be third in production behind Isaiah Crowell and Duke Johnson, West adds some depth to this team's running back corps, but his weekly production is likely to be very inconsistent.

12.12 - Robert Griffin III, QB, Washington Redskins: It's been a rough two years for Griffin. The 24th QB off the board in this mock, however, RG3 has some upside as a backup given his unique athleticism.

13.03 - Rueben Randle, WR, New York Giants: Randle set career highs with 71 catches and 938 yards in his age-23 season. Even if Odell Beckham and Victor Cruz play all 16 games, Randle could potentially post similar numbers to last season. If either misses time, there is the potential that he takes another step forward statistically.

14.12 - Miami Dolphins D/ST

15.03 - Justin Tucker, K, Baltimore Ravens

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football Resources:

Continue reading "2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 14 Teams, 3rd Pick" »

2015 Fantasy Football Projections: San Francisco 49ers

In addition to viewing our 2015 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we have posted our preseason projections per team.

Below you find our 2015 fantasy football projections for the San Francisco 49ers:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Colin Kaepernick324522386323.213.1944942.2296.82
Kaepernick averaged fewer yards per attempt (7.0), threw fewer touchdowns (19) and more interceptions (10) than he did in 2013 (7.7 Y/A, 21 TDs and eight INTs) despite throwing more pass attempts (478 in 2014 vs. 416 in 2013). Given the changes to the roster and coaching staff, the 49ers should find themselves trailing (and throwing) more often in 2015. Meanwhile, the addition of Torrey Smith gives the 49ers a vertical threat that can take advantage of Kaepernick's strong arm. He also set career highs in rush attempts (105) and rushing yards (639) even though he rushed for only one touchdown last year (after nine touchdowns in the previous two years combined). While I wouldn't want to count on him as my every-week starter, few QB2 options have as much upside as Kaepernick.

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Carlos Hyde2309898.3191180.4162.9
With Frank Gore signing a free-agent deal with the Colts, Hyde projects atop the 49ers depth chart at running back although they signed Reggie Bush in free agency and drafted Mike Davis as well. With Gore ahead of him last year on the depth chart, Hyde had just 83 carries for 333 yards and four touchdowns as a rookie. Not only will his workload expand significantly, but I expect his effectiveness on a per-carry basis to increase from last year's 4.0 yards-per-carry average. On a positive note, Hyde has shed some weight and is now in the "mid 220-pound range," which should improve his elusiveness yet still allow him to flourish near the goal line. On a not-so-positive note, the 49ers have lost Anthony Davis (retirement) and Mike Iupati (free agency) along the offensive line.
Reggie Bush753082.9513641.794.8
Coming off one of the worst seasons of his career, Bush missed five games and gained a total of only 550 yards from scrimmage (50.0 per game) while averaging just 3.9 yards per carry and scoring just two touchdowns. Released by the Lions, Bush signed with the 49ers and will at least own a change-of-pace role to unproven second-year back Carlos Hyde.
Kendall Hunter642882.41068050
Mike Davis502101.5642034.2

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Anquan Boldin7710255.3140134.7
Even though the 49ers have the second-fewest passing yards over the past two seasons, Boldin has back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons with the Niners. In addition, both of his yardage totals (1,179 and 1,062, respectively) were higher than any of his previous six seasons. Boldin is unlikely to blow up for 150 yards and two touchdowns in any given week, but he provides owners with consistent production -- 50-plus receiving yards in 12 of 16 games last season.
Torrey Smith508257.2000125.7
Overall, it was a disappointing season for Smith, who either set or tied career lows with 49 receptions for 767 yards. On a positive note, however, Smith set a career high with 11 touchdowns and he was much more productive from Week 6 to 17. During that span, Smith averaged 3.8/59.1/0.9 per game and scored the 14th-most fantasy points among receivers on a per-game basis. One of the league's more dangerous vertical threats, Smith fills a void for the 49ers, but his weekly production could remain relatively volatile.
Jerome Simpson202781.400036.2
Quinton Patton172070.800025.5
Bruce Ellington9970.65260.217.1
DeAndre Smelter8980.600013.4

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:


Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Vernon Davis395154.880.3
After a 4/44/2 game to open the season, it was all downhill for Davis from there. Last season's 245 yards, 9.4 Y/R and two touchdowns either set or tied career lows for Davis, who had 792-plus yards in four of his previous five seasons with a total of 44 touchdowns during that span.
Vance McDonald121560.116.2
Blake Bell4460.25.8
Rory Anderson2240.13

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Continue reading "2015 Fantasy Football Projections: San Francisco 49ers" »

2015 Fantasy Football Projections: San Diego Chargers

In addition to viewing our 2015 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we have posted our preseason projections per team.

Below you find our 2015 fantasy football projections for the San Diego Chargers:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Philip Rivers379565446431.615.830780.1297.56
Winning the Comeback Player of the Year award in 2013, Rivers followed up his bounce-back season with 4,286 yards and 31 touchdowns but he also threw 18 interceptions. Dealing with a back injury, Rivers threw seven of those interceptions in the final three games of the season. Rivers should be a relatively safe bet for 4,000-plus yards and around 30 touchdowns once again in 2015.

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Melvin Gordon25511737.1231751.2184.6
For re-draft purposes, I expect Gordon to be the most productive rookie running back in 2015. MG3 has drawn some comparisons to Jamaal Charles and he enters a favorable situation with the injury-prone Ryan Mathews no longer in San Diego. The Bolts should give Gordon the bulk of the early-down work as I have him projected for more than 275 touches as a rookie.
Danny Woodhead833492.3483603.3104.5
Woodhead missed all but three games last season, but prior to the 2014 season, he had finished as a top-30 fantasy running back in three of his previous four seasons. In his first full season with the Chargers (2013) which also coincided with the only full season for Ryan Mathews, Woodhead had 1,034 yards from scrimmage, 76 receptions and eight total touchdowns. Even though Gordon will get the bulk of early-down work, Woodhead should get the majority of third-down snaps.
Branden Oliver381441.212890.231.7
Donald Brown401360.68590.123.7

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Keenan Allen8210456.6000144.1
While his receptions increased from 71 to 77 in 2014, Allen's yardage (1,046 to 783) and touchdowns (eight to four) both dropped and he finished as only the 48th-highest scoring wide receiver last season. Allen turned 23 this spring and should have a bounce-back season in 2015.
Malcom Floyd447045.4000102.8
For only the second time in his career, Floyd played a full 16-game season and finished with 856 yards and six touchdowns, both of which tied career highs. Floyd played just two games in 2013, but he has averaged 17.5 Y/R and 61.7 Y/G over the past five seasons. And during that five-year stretch, he has finished as a top-38 receiver four times.
Steve Johnson526404.400090.4
Dontrelle Inman151990.900025.3
Jacoby Jones6780.1320010.4
Titus Davis3320.10003.8

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:


Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Antonio Gates455135.483.7
Although his targets (98), receptions (69) and yards (821) were down year over year, Gates finished with 12 touchdowns, the second-most of his career, and scored more fantasy points than all tight ends not named Gronkowski. That said, he enters the 2015 season facing a four-game suspension for PEDs and turned 35 years old last month.
Ladarius Green415703.980.4
Disappointing those that expected an expanded role for him within the offense last season, Green had just 19 receptions for 226 yards and no touchdowns in 2014. Meanwhile, Antonio Gates finished second among all tight ends in fantasy points in his age-34 season. For at least the first four games of the season, however, Green will see his role expand with Gates suspended.

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July 28, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 7 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 7 pick, point-per-reception (PPR) scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.07 - Eddie Lacy, RB, Green Bay Packers: In his young NFL career, Lacy has rushed for 1,100-plus yards in both seasons. Playing in a high-powered offense led by Aaron Rodgers means that Lacy will get plenty of scoring opportunities; he has 24 total TDs over the past two years.

2.06 - A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals: While he missed three games last season, Green now has four 1,000-yard seasons in his young four-year career. Green has averaged a 16-game line of 94/1,357/10 over the past three seasons.

3.07 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: Hopkins took a big step forward in year two with a 76/1,210/6 stat line. Building upon his breakout season may be constrained by the team's less-than-ideal quarterback situation, but he's a high-end WR2.

4.06 - Andre Ellington, RB, Arizona Cardinals: Ellington had a disappointing and injury-plagued season, but there are a few reasons for optimism in 2015. Not only should he once again get 20 or so touches per game (perhaps that causes worries, not optimism), but Ellington's foot is healthy and the team upgraded their offensive line via the draft and free agency.

5.07 - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers: Over the final five games of the season, only DeMarco Murray rushed for more yards than Stewart. If Stewart can stay healthy, a big if considering he's played only 28 games over the past three years, he has plenty of upside here as my flex.

6.06 - Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: Not only did Olsen post his first-ever 1,000-yard season last year, but he has three consecutive 800-yard seasons and only Jimmy Graham has more yards among tight ends during that span. Olsen is a reliable, consistent and durable option at a position with a lot of question marks.

7.07 - Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers: Newton has four consecutive 3,000/500 seasons to start his career, which are the most in NFL history. While he had a disappointing 2014 season, Newton finished seventh among QBs in fantasy points per game last year and finished as a top-four fantasy QB in each of his first three seasons.

8.06 - Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints: A little earlier than I'd like to take Colston, who was my top-ranked receiver available at this point, he should bounce back some after posting per-game career lows in targets, receptions and yards last year given the team's offseason moves.

9.07 - Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Freeman currently tops the team's depth chart, but it's likely that rookie Tevin Coleman moves into that role by season's end. Either way, the duo will both be heavily involved and Freeman is a solid RB4.

10.06 - Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers: While Melvin Gordon will dominate the early-down work in place of the departed (and oft-injured) Ryan Mathews, Woodhead should continue to handle the bulk of third-down snaps. Woodhead played only three games last year due to injury, but he had 76 receptions in 2013 (his first season in San Diego).

11.07 - Rueben Randle, WR, New York Giants: Odell Beckham and Victor Cruz missed a total of 14 games last season as Randle set career highs in receptions and yards last year. With ODB and Cruz healthy going into the 2015 season, Randle may not duplicate last year's numbers but he just turned 24.

12.06 - Torrey Smith, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Smith is a TD-dependent fantasy option, but he provides some depth as my WR5.

13.07 - Brian Quick, WR, St. Louis Rams: Quick was off to a great start before a torn rotator cuff ended his season prematurely. Provided he can stay healthy, perhaps this will be Quick's breakout season.

14.06 - Arizona Cardinals D/ST

15.07 - Dwayne Bowe, WR, Cleveland Browns: With zero touchdowns for Bowe (and all of the Chiefs' receivers last year), it feels so long ago that he led the NFL in receiving touchdowns (2010).

16.06 - Dan Bailey, K, Dallas Cowboys:

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football Resources:

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NFL cuts suspension for Le'Veon Bell to two games

Although the league upheld the four-game ban for Tom Brady, the NFL reduced the suspension for Pittsburgh Steelers running back Le'Veon Bell from three to two games.

Missing games against the Patriots and 49ers in Weeks 1 and 2, Bell will be eligible to return in Week 3 against the Rams.

Even though the Steelers signed veteran running back DeAngelo Williams, Bell will remain a true three-down back once he returns from his suspension.

Before the reduced suspension, Bell was projected to score only 0.3 fantasy points less than my projected top fantasy running back (Jamaal Charles).

With the reduction of his ban, Bell will move to the top spot in my fantasy rankings in both standard- and PPR-scoring formats. Bell was already the top-ranked back in my PPR running back rankings.

Bell was the top-scoring fantasy running back in PPR formats last season and only DeMarco Murray scored more than Bell in standard-scoring formats. Setting the franchise record for most yards from scrimmage (2,215), Bell rushed for 1,361 yards while adding 83 receptions for 854 yards and 11 total touchdowns.

With LeGarrette Blount out of the picture down the stretch, Bell gained 1,002 yards (167.0/G) on 156 touches (26.0/G) with eight touchdowns over the final six games of the season.

Continue reading "NFL cuts suspension for Le'Veon Bell to two games" »

NFL upholds Tom Brady's four-game suspension

The NFL announced on Tuesday that New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady's suspension will be upheld and keep him off the field for the team's first four games.

For now, at least ...

Brady and the NFLPA will take the league to court and is likely to seek an injunction to allow him to play while the case plays out in court.

"(Brady has) a lot of obstacles to get back on the field and the key one is trying to get a quick release, and the quick release would have to come through an injunction," [Temple's Gabe] Feldman told NFL Network's Andrew Siciliano. "It's very difficult for anyone to get a court to grant an injunction -- very high standards -- and it's particularly high in this case where you'd be asking a judge to interfere with the Commissioner's internal decision."

If an injunction is granted, the risk is that Brady loses the case and has to serve his four-game suspension at some point later in the season, perhaps in the playoffs, depending on when it's resolved.

That said, the league's track record in these types of cases has not often worked in favor of the NFL.

While I expect Brady to win in court, Jimmy Garoppolo would start against the Steelers, Bills, Jaguars and Cowboys with Brady eligible to return against the Colts in Week 6. (The Patriots have their bye in Week 4.)

Continue reading "NFL upholds Tom Brady's four-game suspension" »

July 27, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 2 Pick

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 2 pick, standard scoring
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Flex (RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.02 - Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Finishing second to only DeMarco Murray in fantasy points scored among running backs last season, Bell racked up 2,215 yards from scrimmage and 11 scores in his age-22 season. With LeGarrette Blount out of the picture, Bell totalled 1,002 YFS (167.0/G) on 156 touches (26/G) with eight touchdowns over the final six games.

2.11 - A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals: Green missed three games last season, but he still posted the fourth consecutive 1,000-yard season in his young NFL career. With better health in 2015, Green should finish with roughly 1,300 yards and 10 touchdowns.

3.02 - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: One of three rookie receivers to exceed 1,000 yards, Evans was also one of five receivers to score 12-plus touchdowns. Going into the 2015 season, no team's wide receivers have a more favorable fantasy strength of schedule than Evans and the Bucs' wideouts.

4.11 - C.J. Spiller, RB, New Orleans Saints: Following his 2012 breakout season, Spiller was misused in his past two seasons in Buffalo, but that's unlikely to happen with the Saints. Better in PPR formats, Spiller could haul in 60 receptions as the Saints focus on getting Spiller the ball in space.

5.02 - T.J. Yeldon, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars: Selected with a top-36 pick by the Jaguars to be the team's three-down back, Yeldon could finish among the top-10 backs in workload in 2015. The biggest concern with Yeldon is the general sluggishness of Jacksonville's offense, but he's a strong flex option for this squad.

6.11 - Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers: Newton had a somewhat disappointing season last year, but he's now had four consecutive 3,000/500 seasons to begin his career. In his first four seasons, Newton has finished as a top-four fantasy QB three times and another one is certainly possible with better health.

7.02 - Zach Ertz, TE, Philadelphia Eagles: Ertz took a step forward in year two with 58 receptions for 702 yards, but he barely played more than half of the team's offensive snaps last year. With Jeremy Maclin now in Kansas City and positive reports this offseason, Ertz could be poised for a breakout in 2015.

8.11 - Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns: Rookie Duke Johnson has generated plenty of buzz this offseason, but I expect Crowell to lead the Browns' backfield in both touches and production.

9.02 - Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Floyd was unable to build upon his 2013 breakout campaign, but a significant part of that was due to the team's injuries at quarterback. Provided Carson Palmer stays healthy, Floyd should improve upon last year's disappointing season.

10.11 - Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals: In the 22 games that Palmer and Fitzgerald have played together over the past two years, Fitzgerald has averaged 5.18/65.32/0.55 per game -- equivalent to 83/1,045/9 over 16 games. If both players can stay healthy over a full 16-game season, perhaps Fitzgerald breaks his three-year drought of 1,000-yard seasons.

11.02 - Brandon LaFell, WR, New England Patriots: LaFell shattered previous career highs playing with Tom Brady and the Patriots last year. With the current group of pass-catchers essentially the same as last year, LaFell could duplicate last year's production and is a nice value as my WR5.

12.11 - Fred Jackson, RB, Buffalo Bills: With the trade for LeSean McCoy, the Bills are likely to give Jackson less than the 207 touches he had last year. While he set a career low of 3.7 YPC, he set a career high with 66 receptions.

13.02 - Rueben Randle, WR, New York Giants: Randle set career highs in both receptions (71) and yards (938) last season in his age-23 season. With better health from the team's wide receivers, it's possible that Randle won't exceed last year's production, but Eli Manning has talked about Randle taking another step forward in 2015.

14.11 - Baltimore Ravens D/ST

15.02 - Steven Hauschka, K, Seattle Seahawks

- View full mock draft results here

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2015 Fantasy Football Resources:

Continue reading "2015 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, No. 2 Pick" »

2015 Fantasy Football Average Draft Position (ADP) Weekly Movement: July 27th Update

Every Monday this offseason, we post an update in players that have had the biggest moves — both up and down — in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) from the previous week.

With this information, we can get a better sense of changes in the collective perceptions of fantasy football owners (mock drafters); in essence, it's a version of fantasy stock up/down for players. If a player is moving up the ADP chart, it may lead us to using a higher pick than his current ADP to make sure we secure a targeted player.

Of course, a player's ADP (and movement) is just one (small) piece in determining who to draft and our strategy used to assemble a fantasy roster.

For purposes of our weekly comparison(s), we use ADP data from 12-team mock drafts from Fantasy Football Calculator.

Biggest weekly gainers in ADP.

Quarterbacks:

  1. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens: -3.7 (144.6 on 7/20 to 140.9 on 7/27)
  2. Sam Bradford, Philadelphia Eagles: -2.8 (128.9 to 126.1)
  3. Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys: -1.2 (78.1 to 76.9)

Running Backs:

  1. Cameron Artis-Payne, Carolina Panthers: -4.4 (146.1 to 141.7)
  2. Bishop Sankey, Tennessee Titans: -2.6 (108.9 to 106.3)
  3. Denard Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars: -2.6 (157.7 to 155.1)

Wide Receivers:

  1. Stevie Johnson, San Diego Chargers: -6.4 (161.1 to 154.7)
  2. Marvin Jones, Cincinnati Bengals: -4.3 (146.4 to 142.1)
  3. Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts: -2.9 (157.4 to 154.5)

Tight Ends:

  1. Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings: -5.8 (155.0 to 149.2)
  2. Jason Witten, Dallas Cowboys: -5.5 (115.0 to 109.5)
  3. Coby Fleener, Indianapolis Colts: -3.4 (154.6 to 151.2)

Biggest weekly fallers in ADP.

Quarterbacks:

  1. Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears: +5.2 (150.9 on 7/20 to 156.1 on 7/27)
  2. Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers: +4.4 (136.5 to 140.9)
  3. Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals: +3.9 (127.9 to 131.8)

Running Backs:

  1. Charles Sims, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +7.3 (120.9 to 128.2)
  2. Terrance West, Cleveland Browns: +3.3 (152.7 to 156.0)
  3. Reggie Bush, San Francisco 49ers: +3.1 (115.9 to 119.0)

Wide Receivers:

  1. Percy Harvin, Buffalo Bills: +6.6 (121.7 to 128.3)
  2. Dwayne Bowe, Kansas City Chiefs: +4.8 (156.8 to 161.6)
  3. Rueben Randle, New York Giants: +3.7 (138.1 to 141.8)

Tight Ends:

  1. Josh Hill, New Orleans Saints: +8.0 (111.2 to 119.2)
  2. Ladarius Green, San Diego Chargers: +4.3 (146.1 to 150.4)
  3. Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles: +2.3 (83.6 to 85.9)

[Note: Negative numbers mean the player's ADP is improving (i.e., being drafted earlier) and vice versa.]

- Fantasy Football ADP Risers/Fallers: See full grid of player changes in ADP over past week

Our 2015 fantasy football rankings:

More of our content:

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Continue reading "2015 Fantasy Football Average Draft Position (ADP) Weekly Movement: July 27th Update" »

2015 Fantasy Football Projections: Chicago Bears

In addition to viewing our 2015 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we have posted our preseason projections per team.

Below you find our 2015 fantasy football projections for the Chicago Bears:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Jay Cutler359552398827.316311460.9272.72
Benched a game in favor of Jimmy Clausen, Cutler played only 15 games and led the league in multi-interception games (seven) last season. Despite the massive contract given to Cutler from the last regime in the previous offseason, he's clearly not in the team's long-term plans and could have a short leash if he doesn't cut down on the turnovers. Per CSN Chicago, the plan is to "take some things away from Cutler and shrink the game for him," which will hopefully cut down on his interception rate. On a positive note, they drafted the talented Kevin White with the seventh overall pick to give him another dynamic weapon opposite Alshon Jeffery.
Jimmy Clausen24392631.31.525014.72

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Matt Forte28011906.7584522.5219.4
Not only did Forte lead all running backs in receptions (102) last year, but only three players had more -- Antonio Brown (129), Demaryius Thomas (111) and Julio Jones (104) -- as he broke the single-season record for receptions by a running back. With the coaching change, Forte isn't likely to see anywhere close to triple-digit receptions again, but he could certainly finish in the neighborhood of 60-70 catches. And although Forte averaged less than four yards per carry for the first time since 2009, he has rushed for 1,000-plus yards in three consecutive seasons and has exceeded 1,400 yards from scrimmage in all seven of his NFL seasons. Only the Raiders (337) and Bucs (353) ran the ball less than the Bears (355) last season and I'd expect the Bears to be more committed to the run in 2015 to limit Jay Cutler's turnovers.
Jeremy Langford461960.76440.128.8
Jacquizz Rodgers24860.3161070.624.7
Ka'Deem Carey381630.6321022
Daniel Thomas12440.40006.8

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Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Alshon Jeffery8611759.58490179.4
With the Bears trading Brandon Marshall to the Jets and using a top-seven pick on West Virginia's Kevin White, Jeffery now takes over as the team's clear No. 1 wide receiver. Despite year-over-year dips in both receptions (85) and receiving yards (1,133), Jeffery posted a career high in touchdowns (10) and finished with the 11th-most fantasy points among wide receivers last season.
Kevin White426434.6214093.3
White has a special combination of size (6-3, 215), speed (4.35 forty) and strength and I really like his long-term outlook. During the draft process, NFL Network's Daniel Jeremiah compared White to Atlanta's Julio Jones and White should start early in his career, perhaps Week 1. With Alshon Jeffery, Matt Forte and Martellus Bennett on the roster, however, White figures to be no better than fourth in line for targets/touches as a rookie. And it's certainly possible that Eddie Royal finishes ahead of him in targets as well.
Eddie Royal536043.2320081.6
Royal posted a 62/778/7 line last year with the Chargers and finished as a top-32 fantasy wide receiver (both scoring formats). Reunited with Jay Cutler via free agency this offseason, Royal's best season was his rookie campaign (91/980/5 with 109 rushing yards) with Cutler as his quarterback.
Marquess Wilson353361.800044.4
One of my favorite sleepers last offseason before he broke his clavicle, Wilson, still only 22 years old, had less than 20 receiving yards in all but one of his seven games played last season. Even though the Bears traded Brandon Marshall, they used the seventh-overall pick on Kevin White, which lessens his breakout potential in 2015.

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Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Martellus Bennett747776.2114.9
Setting career highs across the board in 2014 with 90 receptions, 916 yards and six touchdowns, Bennett finished as a top-five scorer among tight ends and led the position in receptions. With the Bears trading Brandon Marshall to the Jets, Bennett has the potential to match those numbers this season.
Dante Rosario10920.19.8

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July 26, 2015

2015 Fantasy Football Projections: New Orleans Saints

In addition to viewing our 2015 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we have posted our preseason projections per team.

Below you find our 2015 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Drew Brees422630470632.115.1311181.5322.34
After three consecutive 5,000-yard seasons, Brees fell just shy of that mark in 2014 but still tied for the league lead with 4,952 passing yards and threw 33 touchdowns. For the first time since signing with the Saints in 2006, Brees finished outside the top-five fantasy quarterbacks (sixth) in 2014. And while he has thrown at least 650 pass attempts in five consecutive seasons and he led the league in pass attempts per game (41.2) last season, a transition to a more run-based offense appears set to begin with their offseason moves.

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Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Mark Ingram24410749.3261590179.1
Once again, Ingram missed multiple games and has now missed a total of 14 games over his four-year career. That said, Ingram set career highs -- 226 carries, 964 rushing yards, nine touchdowns and 29 receptions -- in the 13 games he did play in 2014. Re-signing with the Saints, Ingram should lead the team in carries. And given the team's offseason moves, a transition to more of a run-based offense appears to be in the offing.
C.J. Spiller1487254.7604862.6164.9
Spiller's free-agent landing spot may not maximize his opportunities for workload volume given the presence of Mark Ingram and Khiry Robinson. That said, I have faith in Sean Payton's ability to utilize Spiller correctly (or at least much better than Doug Marrone had) to maximize his production on a per-touch basis. While Spiller may never rush for 1,000 yards again, he should be a low-end RB2 option in standard-scoring leagues with plenty of upside in PPR formats.
Khiry Robinson652992.3746048.3
Before the team re-signed Mark Ingram and upgraded Pierre Thomas' roster spot with C.J. Spiller in free agency, there was some optimism that this could be the year that fantasy owners got a breakout season from Robinson. At this point, however, a breakout is unlikely without an injury to either Ingram or Spiller. A big back (6-0, 220), Robinson has been productive when given the opportunity (4.8 yards per carry in 2014), but how many opportunities will he get in 2015?

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Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Brandin Cooks9410435.5121101.2155.5
Before suffering a season-ending injury in Week 11, Cook's 86.3 fantasy points ranked 25th among all wide receivers and his 53 receptions led all rookie receivers. Once again generating plenty of buzz in the offseason, Cooks is poised for a major breakout with the offseason trades of Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills.
Marques Colston679116.1000127.7
On a per-game basis, Colston's 3.69 receptions, 6.25 targets and 56.38 yards per game were all career lows. One positive for Colston personally, not the offense in general, is that the team traded away both Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills so perhaps his targets and production will see a slight bump in 2015.
Nick Toon354663.700068.8
Appearing in only eight games last season, Toon had just 17 catches for 215 yards and a touchdown on 23 targets. Entering 2015 as the team's No. 3 receiver, Toon will see a big bump in snaps, targets and receptions this season.
Brandon Coleman242762.800044.4
Seantavius Jones242952.300043.3
Joe Morgan18257116032.3

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Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Josh Hill394765.580.6
Trading Graham (and Kenny Stills) should open up opportunities for Hill, but ESPN beat reporter Mike Triplett recently wrote that he doesn't expect a "major breakthrough" for Hill in a mailbag response to a fantasy question. Targeted just 20 times last season, Hill turned those targets into 14 receptions for 176 yards and five touchdowns.
Ben Watson282912.644.7

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2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 9th Pick, Super Flex

Using the Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros), we continue our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Per Day Series for the 2015 season.

From May 28th through Labor Day weekend, we will complete one mock draft per day and post the results.

[Follow @EDSFootball on Twitter for updates.]

Here are the league settings (all customizable) for today's mock:

  • 12 teams, No. 9 pick, PPR scoring, QB-eligible flex
  • Starting lineup: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, K, D/ST and Super Flex (QB, RB, WR or TE)
  • Six bench spots, any position

With that said, here is my roster from today's mock draft:

1.09 - Eddie Lacy, RB, Green Bay Packers: Lacy started last season slowly against three stout run defenses, but he averaged 108.9 scrimmage yards and a touchdown per game with 4.89 yards per carry over the final 13 games. Playing with the league's best quarterback (Aaron Rodgers) in the league's highest-scoring offense, Lacy won't face many eight-men fronts and will get plenty of scoring opportunities.

2.04 - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons: Jones shattered previous career highs with 104 receptions and 1,593 yards in his age-25 season. Not only do I expect Jones to post another 100/1,500 season, I expect more touchdowns than the six touchdowns he had last season.

3.09 - Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: With the ability to start two quarterbacks in this league, it is a de facto 2-QB league and hence QBs will be drafted earlier than usual. The 11th signal-caller off the board in this mock, Manning finished as a top-10 fantasy QB last year despite a slow start in a new offense. Over the final 10 games, Manning posted five weekly top-five games, tied with Rodgers for the most during that span. With healthier and better weapons as well as more comfort with the offensive scheme, Manning should build upon last year's bounce-back season.

4.04 - Justin Forsett, RB, Baltimore Ravens: Breaking out in his age-29 season, Forsett rushed for a career-high 1,266 yards, more than doubling his previous career high, and finished as the RB8 in PPR formats last year. WIth Marc Trestman running the offense, Forsett should easily establish a new career high in receptions. Forte broke the single-season record for running backs with 102 catches in Trestman's offense last year.

5.09 - Colin Kaepernick, QB, San Francisco 49ers: Last year was a disappointing season for Kaepernick, who still finished as a top-16 fantasy QB last year. Despite setting career highs with 104 carries and 639 rushing yards, he only rushed for one score after racking up nine of them over the previous two seasons. Not only does Kaepernick have upside due to his rushing ability, the 49ers should (trail and) throw more often this season than they have recently.

6.04 - Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Matthews finished as a top-25 fantasy wide receiver last year despite ranking third among the team's receivers in snaps. Entering the season as the team's No. 1 wide receiver, Matthews has plenty of upside heading into year two.

7.09 - Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: Going into 2015, the roles for Bernard and Jeremy Hill will be reversed compared to last season with Bernard back in a change-of-pace role. In one of the league's most run-based offenses, Bernard still has RB2 upside especially in PPR formats. As an example, Bernard finished as a weekly top-12 fantasy RB (PPR) in the final three games of the season when Hill also rushed for 100-plus yards in each of those outings.

8.04 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Prior to his season-ending Week 10 foot injury, Robinson had nine consecutive games with four-plus receptions. Generating plenty of buzz this offseason, Robinson is poised for a breakout year in his age-22 season with good health.

9.09 - Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Currently sitting atop the team's depth chart, Freeman is likely to concede that role to third-round rookie Tevin Coleman by season's end. That said, the duo is likely to form a committee with both backs heavily involved.

10.04 - Darren McFadden, RB, Dallas Cowboys: While I expect Joseph Randle to handle the largest share of the team's carries, it's far from a lock and McFadden is available more than six rounds later than Randle (4.01) in this mock. McFadden has three disappointing seasons in a row (3.4 YPC or less), but he's still only 27 years old (turns 28 next month) and the Cowboys offensive line is arguably the best in the league.

11.09 - Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers: Only the Jets have fewer passing yards over the past two seasons than the 49ers yet Boldin has back-to-back 1,000-yard campaigns with the Niners. As noted earlier, the 49ers could find themselves in more passing situations this year and Boldin is a nice value as my WR4.

12.04 - Owen Daniels, TE, Denver Broncos: Reunited for a third stint with Coach Kubiak, Daniels is a solid punt at tight end. I strongly considered Travis Kelce over Matthews in Round 6 and then I wasn't thrilled with any of the options earlier than this. While Daniels won't score the 12 touchdowns that Julius Thomas did in each of the past two seasons, playing with Peyton Manning in a TE-friendly offense is about as good of a free-agent landing spot as Daniels could have expected.

13.09 - St. Louis Rams D/ST

14.04 - Stephen Gostkowski, K, New England Patriots

15.09 - Victor Cruz, WR, New York Giants: Cruz missed the final 10 games with a torn patellar tendon, but he is expected to be ready for Week 1 against the Cowboys. Even though Odell Beckham is now the team's primary target, Cruz is a solid value in the 15th round.

- View full mock draft results here

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Continue reading "2015 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 9th Pick, Super Flex" »

2015 Fantasy Football Projections: Indianapolis Colts

In addition to viewing our 2015 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we have posted our preseason projections per team.

Below you find our 2015 fantasy football projections for the Indianapolis Colts:

Quarterbacks

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Andrew Luck383617483737.614.8632773.2375.98
Throwing for 4,761 yards and a league-leading 40 touchdowns, both of which were career highs, Luck's 40 TDs last season nearly equalled his total from his first two seasons combined (46 TDs). During the season, Luck had the second-longest streak of 300-yard games (eight) in NFL history. Not only does Luck lead one of the league's most prolific passing offenses, but he gets a boost from his mobility with at least 255 rushing yards each year and a total of 12 rushing scores.

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Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Frank Gore26011058.1342821.5196.3
With the exception of an 11-game season in 2010, Gore has rushed for 1,000-plus yards in eight of his past nine seasons with at least 1,100 rushing yards in four consecutive seasons. Coach Pagano has said that he still views Gore as an every-down back, which means he should get the opportunity to extend the streak. One of the league's better pass-catching backs earlier in his career, Gore should be much more involved as a receiver than he has been over the past four seasons (average of 18 catches per season) in San Francisco.
Dan Herron723171.9181400.861.9
Part of last year's Boom (Herron) and Bust (Trent Richardson) backfield, Herron was the more productive back in the duo down the stretch. And in the team's three playoff games, Herron was a workhorse with a total of 298 yards from scrimmage on 65 touches including 20 receptions. With the release of Richardson but addition of Gore, Herron should handle a secondary role to Gore, who has been extremely durable -- no missed games in the past four years. That said, the 32-year-old Gore has the third-most touches (1,301 including playoffs) over that four-year span.
Josh Robinson542191.812780.141.1

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Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
T.Y. Hilton8413446.72120175.8
Hilton had a breakout 82/1,345/7 season last year. And that breakout year would have been even better if he weren't limited down the stretch by a hamstring injury. With good health, Hilton could set new career highs in both receptions and yards this season.
Andre Johnson8610816.6000147.7
After back-to-back 1,400-yard seasons, Johnson finished with 85 receptions for just 936 yards and three touchdowns in 2014. Johnson's 62.4 Y/G and 11.0 Y/R were his lowest since 2005. Released by the Texans this offseason, Johnson signed with the Colts and gets a major upgrade in quarterback situation with Andrew Luck. Johnson, who turns 34 in July, may never record another 1,400-yard season, but 1,000-plus yards seems likely.
Donte Moncrief385474.2210080.9
Moncrief (6-foot-2, 220 pounds, 4.4 speed) flashed his potential with a couple of big games last season -- 7/113/1 in Week 8 and 3/134/2 in Week 13. Playing only 39.1 percent of the team's offensive snaps last season, Moncrief should improve upon last year's 32/444/3 rookie campaign. The signing of Andre Johnson, who was released by the Texans, and selection of Phillip Dorsett in Round 1, however, will limit his opportunity for a true breakout season.
Phillip Dorsett283782.7321056.1
Griff Whalen44200004.2

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Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Dwayne Allen364468.595.6
With eight touchdowns on only 29 receptions in 13 games, Allen is one of the league's better red-zone options at the position. In weeks he doesn't score, however, Allen's lack of volume (2.23 catches per game) will lead to mostly boom (scores a touchdown) or bust (doesn't score a touchdown) outcomes.
Coby Fleener434996.588.9
Fleener finished with 774 yards and eight touchdowns, both of which were career highs, on 51 receptions last season. Unsurprisingly, Fleener's best games last season came in games that Dwayne Allen was out. In the four games that Allen missed or left early due to injury, Fleener had 355 yards and four touchdowns. In the other 12 games, he had just 419 yards and four touchdowns. Assuming that Fleener and Allen are healthy for the entire season, I prefer Allen over Fleener.

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Most-Accurate 2015 NFL Mock Draft
EDSFootball.com owner Kevin Hanson had the most accurate 2015 NFL Mock Draft among the 113 analysts/experts tracked by The Huddle Report.

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